Week 6 is here people and I’ll try to keep my banter quick because we’ve been cutting it close to kickoff recently and we certainly don’t want to run out of time before we can get our picks off. I mean could you imagine how embarrassing that would be? Now maybe our Week 5 picks didn’t invoke conversations about the worst coaching decisions of all time but we did double down on the Browns which is quite the blunder on its own as it handed the Dawg two bad losses. Thankfully not all was lost or tied last weekend as the Over and the Lock both hit for us with relative ease. Dan Quinn’s historic levels of incompetence guaranteed the Over would hit and the Packers chucked moon balls all over the Bears on their way to blowing them out. That means after a 2-2 week we’re a mediocre 10-11-1 here at Bick’s Picks so far this season. But that also means we’re only a quarter of the way through the season which means there’s still so much football left, so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Chargers @ Chiefs (41.5)

Once again a 41.5 total is calling my name. Maybe I’m misguided but man numbers like these immediately get my interest. Just talking myself into there being 6 touchdowns in this game and not being able to shake that feeling. Now my fixation on numbers aside I do like this game to have some scoring. The Chiefs are coming off a bye which is when Andy Reid teams thrive. Now the Chargers being a complete mess might give some pause but it’s a divisional game and I think they Herbert give us enough in garbage time to get us to our total. And if not at the very least we can keep track of which popstar biddy gets more screen time Taylor Swift or Madison Beer.

Over 41.5 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Bills @ Raiders (+5.5)

I won’t lie, picking a Dawg this week was a little tricky. The big road Dawgs didn’t have spreads quite big enough and the close home Dawgs were too close. Instead because of some fear and loathing I found myself in Vegas. You’d think I’d be betting against Kirk especially after last week but instead this seems like a good bounce back spot. They’ve been a nice surprise this year and I think being back at home will result in a better showing. Meanwhile a soft Bills defense and some Josh Allen foolishness, I think Buffalo gives the Raiders enough chances to keep it close. So here’s hoping I’ll be saying You Like That one more time.

Raiders +5.5 (-112)

Bick’s Stone Cold Locks of the Century of the Week

Ravens(ML) @ Browns & Panthers(ML) @ Eagles

Yup that’s right we’re doing a little parlay for the Lock. Honestly I had to as I was torn between both these teams and couldn’t just pick one. Couple that with the fact both favored teams have awkward -3 lines so let’s avoid that nonsense and just pick them both to win. Sure the Ravens are turning to Snoop Huntley again with Lamar out but as we learned last week the Browns are still the Browns. Then there’s the Eagles. As a fellow member of the NFC Least dumpster fire I’ll avoid throwing too many stones from my glass house but let’s just say things could be going better for Philly. Meanwhile the Panthers are coming off a bye and seemed poised to take advantage. No doubt both these road favorites come with some risk but at the end of the early slate I think we’ll have a couple wins for the Lock.

Ravens ML & Panthers ML (+156)

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Brady’s 2 TD Play of the Day

The Play: Kyren Williams 2+ TDs

We finally got a win on the board last week as the Lions carved up the Cardinals defense and Gibbs found the end zone twice! We can’t rely on Gibbs again this week as he’s on a bye this week but we can still hope for a poor showing by the Cardinals defense as they go on the road to face another tough offense in LA. For this one bet Kyren Williams to find the end zone twice.

Brady’s 2 TD Play of the Day: Kyren Williams 2+ TDs +300

Week 5 is here people and maybe just maybe we’ve gotten back on track here at Bick’s Picks. We were oh so close to a perfect week but alas it was not meant to be as we ended up finishing 3-1. Early on we were rolling as the Rams comeback gave us a win for the Over and the Jags eventually took care of business for the Dawg against the Bungles by covering AND winning outright. Unfortunately the winning ended for us after that but man did the Chiefs and Raiders make it exciting. That -4.5 for the Chiefs looked like a bad choice until Kenneth Walker decided to go nuts. Heck Tyquan Thornton even sacrificed his ankle for the cause but I should’ve known that Kirk would put me in my place. In the end I certainly won’t complain about a winning week especially since we needed it after not getting a bet right the week before. But hey let’s not get too cocky, it’s a long season and we’re only a month in so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Giants @ Commanders (41.5)

You had to know I couldn’t stay away from them for long and maybe picking an Over will be more acceptable for those who are skeptical of my homer picks. Frankly I had to be on this game somehow because my guy Jayden is back and I figured the Over was the right way to do it. Sure Washington is the favorite but we always make division games harder than we should. Heck we make everything more difficult than we should. Jameis WILL have some big plays and if Jayden is actually healthy enough to play like they say he is then I expect our offense to show up as well. Also you guys should know I’m a sucker for a total like this so let’s get those 6 TDs and maybe a win for the kid.

Over 41.5 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Browns (+2.5)(ML) @ Jets

I’m sure you’ve noticed but we’re definitely trying to pad our stats double dipping with the Dawgs. Picking the spread and the upset has just seemed like the right call and has mostly paid off so far. Now this one might be tougher for people to hop on than the Jags but just think of this as a bet against the Jets. Things started off well for them but the return of Geno has started to turn ugly. Meanwhile after an embarrassing Week 1 showing Cleveland has responded by rattling off 3 straight wins and somehow Deshaun Watson looks competent?? Wild times but as you might guess riding with the Browns is about their defense. They should control this game and give their offense enough short fields to get us a win. Meanwhile the New York offense that has mostly been cheeks should struggle to do much of anything. Time for the Dawg Pound to get a couple wins for the Dawg.

Browns +2.5 (-105)

Browns ML (+120)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Bears @ Packers (ML)

Now here me out I know the Packers kinda suck and I know Da Bears have some Mike Ditka juju going on but deep in my plums I got Green Bay winning this. Chicago hasn’t been favored at Lambeau in nearly 20 years and somehow it’s with a backup QB. I’m far from a Caleb believer but he was the reason they stole two games last season and he doesn’t have his gameday nail polish on so there’s a chance Love and LaFleur don’t mess this up. I really don’t have any big reasons why I like the cheese in this spot so I’ll just say fuck Ben Johnson and lock it in.

Packers ML (+105)

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Brady’s 2 TD Play of the Day

The Play: Jahmyr Gibbs 2+ TDs

Week 4 was another disappointment, even as Derrick Henry scored very early on in the game and things were looking good. Unfortunately he was held out of the end zone the rest of the way and we took another loss. This week we are going with what I think is the safest player to bet on scoring twice. Jahmyr Gibbs has already found the end zone 7 times in the first four games and he faces a very poor defense in Arizona this week. Look for the Lions to put up some big numbers this week and I expect Gibbs to get his fair share of those points. 

Brady’s 2 TD Play of the Day: Jahmyr Gibbs 2+ TDs +115

Week 4 is here people and I don’t know about you, but there’s something about your team playing a morning international game that annoys the bejesus out of me. I won’t lie, overall I’ve come around on these games and rather enjoy them as long as my squad isn’t involved. I mean it’s hard to hate having football all Sunday long. However enough about Washington as always this isn’t a blog about them BUT man oh man should I have picked them as the Dawg last week because I actually would’ve gotten something right. Instead we farted a dismal 0-3 Week 3. The Vikes and Bucs were a painful watch for the Over as it felt in reach but sloppy flag-ridden football killed that bet. Then there’s the Dawg where the Titans had a chance to prove us right but instead Cam Ward threw a pick in the endzone in the final minute. And lastly there’s the Bungles who decided to do that thing where they routinely make me look like a fool for believing in them. Safe to say things could be going better here but hey we fall? So we can chase our losses, so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Rams @ Eagles (42.5)

Full disclosure all these write ups are gonna be brief because I’m locked into London football but maybe that means less rambling and better picks. As for this Over even though I don’t love the number both of these teams should be able to score. Sure both have had their issues so far but come on Stafford and Hurts should be able to get us there. If not then I can just complain about the Iggles which I’m always ready to do.

Over 42.5 (-120)

Fade Dawgs

Jaguars (+2.5)(ML) @ Bengals

Maybe it’s because I’m watching a London game but riding with Jacksonville today feels right. Sure I haven’t always believed in Trevor Lawrence but something about the Jags this year seems legit. And then there’s the Bengals who I foolishly bought into after the first couple weeks only for them to get pantsed by a geretric Aaron Rodgers. I think last week showed us who both of these teams really are and I like the Jags to not only cover but also to win outright. Hope you’ve been practicing your Liam Coen impersonation because we’ll be saying DUUUUUUVALLL today. 

Jaguars +2.5 (-105)

Jaguars ML (+124)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Chiefs (-4.5) @ Raiders

Feel like I was obligated to feature this matchup of undefeated teams in some way but won’t even hide it, this is a hater pick all day every day. Think Kirk has been great so far but that horseshoe falls out of his butt today. Spags knows how to make a QB like Cousins uncomfortable and this fun start for Vegas is gonna end very abruptly today. Mahomes and company are also coming off a sloppy performance against the Dolphins so I think they will bounce back and remind everyone who owns the AFC West.

Chiefs -4.5 (-120)

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Brady’s 2 TD Play of the Day

The Play: Derrick Henry 2+ TDs

We are off to a very poor start with the parlays this year and I think it’s time for a shake up. The point of contributing to Bick’s Picks is to help make everyone some money and I have not lived up to that. The parlays haven’t worked but I’ve hit a player to score 2 touchdowns every week so far so we are going to do that instead. This week the pick is going to be Derrick Henry as he faces off against his old team the Titans. Henry is off to a hot start this year and has already found the end zone 6 times. Look for that to continue Sunday and bet on Henry to score at least twice. 

Brady’s 2 TD Play of the Day: Derrick Henry 2+ TDs +230

Week 3 is here people and boy we squandered that good start real quick didn’t we? After a couple nice weeks we went back to last year’s losing ways with a painful 1-3 performance. And in typical Bick’s Picks fashion not only were the picks bad, they were comically bad. We started things off with the Over, where I had basically scoffed at the idea that the Bears and Vikings couldn’t combine for 7 touchdowns. So of course not only was that matchup the lowest scoring of the week it also the ONLY game that didn’t have a touchdown. Then there’s the Dawg and the less I talk about that game the better. Let’s just say any good feelings I had about Washington’s season were beaten out of me by the Fox broadcast replaying Jayden’s injury again and again. Now it wasn’t just losses last week because the Panthers showed up and covered for the Lock with ease. Hey who knows now that my judgment is not clouded by foolish thoughts of hope and optimism we might be able to get back on track. But there’s only one way to find out, so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Vikings @ Buccaneers (42.5)

It’s been a rollercoaster season already for the Over with one of the best backdoor covers you’ll see Week 1 to not even getting a touchdown in Week 2. Then I take a look at today’s slate and maybe it’s the weather but my goodness to the totals scream Under to me. However there was one game that jumped out as a decent bet to see some scoring and that’s this matchup in Tampa. Now I made sure to triple check there’s no monsoon happening there either as I don’t need a repeat of last week. But nope we got clear skies, no lightning and a couple Heisman winning Sooners that should be able to put up points. So give me a Kyler vs Baker shoot out please and thank you.

Over 42.5 (-105)

Fade Dawgs

Titans (ML) @ Giants

I’m guessing you thought I’d just keep spamming Washington in this spot all year but I can’t keep doing that to you or myself for that matter. Instead I’m taking a chance backing a different bad team against a backup QB. I think for the most part we can agree that Jameis is an entertaining personality but as quarterback he’s an ugly pick six waiting to happen. Not to mention the weather is bad and I can see him doing all sorts of foolish things with the ball today. Now on the flip side you won’t hear me showering Cam Ward with praise but the Brian Daboll return makes me think Tennessee will be a little more motivated than the team that just lost their franchise QB. Certainly not the sexiest choice but hey if I’m not gonna back my guys might as well bet against a NFC East team right?

Titans ML (+110)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Bengals (-3.5) @ Steelers

Much like last week’s Lock I once again love this pick and honestly for a lot of the same reasons. Now this isn’t a bounce back spot for the Bengals like it was for the Panthers but nevertheless I think they keep rolling because of the quarterback they face. As bad as Cooper Rush was for the Falcons there’s a real chance that Aaron Rodgers has been even worse. Coupled with the fact that Cinci seems to have a real defense it’s really hard for me to see the Steelers keeping this close. Now like last week this is a divisional game so I won’t get too nuts but I think Joe Cool and company cover for us with ease.

Bengals -3.5 (-105)

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Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: IND/HOU Over 42.5, Panthers ML, Buccaneers ML

Week 1 we went 1/3 and week 2 we went 2/3 as the Eagles played around with the Titans and let them cover. That must mean this is the week we go 3/3 and hit on BPOTD right? 

Leg 1- Houston vs Indy two winless teams looking for that first victory, I’m not predicting who gets it but I do think both teams put up points in this one. Take the Over at 42.5

Leg 2- In a game that no one probably cares about, the Panthers travel to Cleveland to take on the Browns. The Browns come off an upset over the Bucs and the Panthers blew out the Falcons last week. I like the Panthers to be the team that stays hot in this one. Take them with the moneyline

Leg 3- The Buccaneers have started the year 0-2 and are desperate for a win. The Vikings on the other hand haven’t lost yet. I don’t believe that Minnesota is actually good and Tampa should handle the Vikings at home. Take the Bucs and the moneyline.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: IND/HOU Over 42.5, Panthers ML, Buccaneers ML (+543)

Week 2 is here people and hope you have your pregame smelling salts to chew on because I think we’re in for a good one. Before we dive into this week’s slate we of course have to review how we did Week 1. After a strong performance with openers we ended up with a .500 Sunday going 2-2 with Bick’s Picks. Things started pretty great with the 1p games as our Week 1 Over pick might end up being one of our most improbable covers of the season. Thanks to the Shough-man forcing OT we somehow hit 49.5 despite only a 7 point 1st half. We also got most of the Lock right with the Jags and Ravens winning with ease early on. However the 4p games weren’t as kind to us. Despite Madison Beer bouncing around the Chargers completely flopped against the Cardinals ruining the Lock and what will be my last attempt at a parlay for awhile. Then there’s Washington who covered but didn’t get the win. I could write/bitch all day about that game but as always this is a betting blog not a Washington blog so I will spare you the airing of grievances. Unfortunately our guest picks also had a rough start but here’s hoping BPotD can get that first win. There’s only one way to find out, let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Vikings @ Bears (47.5)

Once again I’ve found myself picking one of the highest totals of the week but I almost feel like I’m obligated to. Although I hate that cocky SOB Ben Johnson more than most coaches, he wasn’t kidding about the 2026 Bears trying to set the single-season scoring record as they scored 59 points Week 1. And that’s the pick. No fancy explanation or reasoning, I’m simply daring Da Bears to do it again. I’m also expecting that the Vikings will do their part as they also scored 39 last week. 7 TDs in this game certainly doesn’t seem crazy after how things went for these teams in the opener so let’s get an easy win to start the day.

Over 47.5 (-105)

Fade Dawgs

Commanders (+3.5)(ML) @ Cowboys

Okay maybe I lied early on when I said this wasn’t a Washington blog because here we are again picking my guys to cover as a Divisional Road Dawg. I’ll keep this brief as I can’t pretend this doesn’t come with some bias but come on did you see how the Cowboys played against the Giants? Despite Jayden and company coming up short in Philly I was really encouraged by what I saw from the team and I remain optimistic about them this season. Perhaps that optimism is misplaced but frankly +3.5 is just the kind of line we gravitate to and my fanhood obligates me to also take the moneyline. So don’t let a Week 1 loss scare you off, there’s time to hop on the bandwagon just make sure to not jump on any poles.

Commanders +3.5 (+100)

Commanders ML (+180)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Panthers (-2.5) @ Falcons

Full disclosure I absolutely love this pick so do what you will with that information but I think this should be an easy Carolina victory. This seems like a perfect bounce back spot for them after allowing a billion points to Chicago. Bryce Young and company did their best to keep pace and doing so showed that they’re also an offense that can hang in a shootout. However I can’t say the same for a Cooper Rush led Falcons team. Sure Atlanta has a lot of weapons but that doesn’t really matter if they can’t get the ball. I really want to get bold and ride the escalator with this one but we all know divisional games have a tendency to be tight so let’s keep it simple with our first Sir Purr pick of 2026. Gimme the Panthers by a field goal.

Panthers -2.5 (-120)

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Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Patriots ML, Eagles -7, Broncos ML

It was not a good start to 2026 for BPOTD as only the Steelers covered for us against the Falcons. The Lions blew a huge lead and Boutte did not find the end zone in week 1. 

This week we are going against the Steelers as the come here to Foxboro to play the Pats. Take the home team with the moneyline to get win number 1 in 2026. 

Next leg we are taking what should be a lay up, Take the Eagles -7 against the lowly Titans. 

For our last leg of the day we are taking runner up in the AFC last year to get a win on the board as they host the Jaguars in Denver. Take the Broncos with the moneyline.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Patriots ML, Eagles -7, Broncos ML (+344)

We’re back baby! Words can’t describe how good it felt waking up this morning knowing it was the 1st NFL Sunday. That first cup of coffee out of the Gameday mug tasted so damn good. Now before I dive into things there might be the few of you that might be new here so I’ll give you a quick run down of our format. As always we start off with some banter, followed by an accountability recap of our most recent picks and then you get this week’s action. As for the picks themselves for now Bick’s Picks is an Over, a Dawg and then my Lock of the week. As you’ll notice we also have guest picks returning as Brady’s Parlay of the Day is also back. Since it was asked about a couple times last season I have no input on BPotD that write up is all courtesy of Matthew Brady. We typically don’t coordinate so excuse us if our picks don’t jive but I figure this is better than me giving you a losing TD parlay every week. But enough about the format we got a quick recap to cover and thankfully it was actually a successful opener for us. Now we weren’t perfect but I’ll certainly take 2-0-1 over how things went last season. The first game was sketchy because of how it started but eventually JSN got us our first win of 2026 by finding paydirt before Drake Maye gifted us a push by ending Wednesday Night Football with another interception. The next night our +3.5 Niners won outright giving us an easy win down under. As I said in the last blog we like to start each season with a renewed sense of delusional optimism and after a successful Kickoff this write up is gonna be full of it, so without further delay let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Saints @ Lions (49.5)

Now this high total might scare a few of you off but to me this one has track meet written all over it. Both these teams are built to play inside and neither have defenses that are really all that formidable. Most of you would likely assume I’m in on this Over because of the Lions and while that’s partly true I’m actually bullish on the Saints this season. I think Shough might be a guy and they’ve also got an easy schedule that could result in them making several appearances on Bick’s Picks. So I’m thinking we see both teams do their part to get us to 50 as we cruise to an easy win in the 1p slate.

Over 49.5 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Commanders (+6)(ML) @ Eagles

If you didn’t see this one coming then you really are new here. I can’t talk about delusional optimism and not pick my guys to win Week 1. Obviously this pick does come with a healthy amount of bias but also a fair bit of spite. EVERYONE is counting out Washington this year. I’m used to last in the division projections and talk like that but when I see NFL.com having us ranked at 31 you’ve officially rustled my jimmies. I truly think we can surprise some people and remind them that Jayden Daniels carried a team to the NFC Championship. And frankly no better place to do that than where that playoff run ended. I get that taking the ML might be a bridge too far so I included the spread for those of you not quite ready to believe. The Washington redemption tour starts today giddy up.

Commanders +6 (-108)

Commanders ML (+215)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Kayshon Boutte ATD, Lions -7, Steelers -6.5

Let’s kick off 2026 with some money! Brady’s parlay of the day is back! 

Leg 1- Bills vs Texans, I’m expecting a good amount of points in this one and the guy the patriots stupidly traded away to make room for a useless Doubs is going to score. Take Kayshon Boutte with an anytime TD 

Leg 2- Lions vs Saints, The Saints are going to suck and the Lions should take care of them easily, take Detroit minus 7

Leg 3- Steelers vs Falcons, Tua gets the starting job and then does what Tua does best and gets hurt. Cooper Rush is starting…. Take the Steelers -6.5

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Kayshon Boutte ATD, Lions -7, Steelers -6.5 (+1670)

Bick’s Stone Cold Locks of the Century of the Week

The Parlay: Chargers(ML), Jaguars(ML), Ravens(ML)

Yup that’s right the Lock is a parlay deal with it. Spreads be damned, we’re playing it safe and just picking these teams to win. Jags and Chargers are heavy favorites with spreads you don’t often see Week 1 so they were an easy choice. The Ravens at Indy is projected to be a closer matchup but I think Baltimore rolls. New regime and think they’ll be eager to get the taste of last year’s failures out of their mouth. They’re not the sexiest picks but after calling a Washington upset I think it’s okay to play it a little safe with the Lock.

Parlay: Chargers ML, Jaguars ML, Ravens ML (+145)

Once again the day has finally come, football is officially back. Which also means against my better judgement, so is Bick’s Picks. Sure, I could make excuses about how unpredictable the 2025 season was but frankly I’d rather just take my lumps because there’s no sugar coating these numbers. My overall record for 2025 was an abysmal 29-49-1 which included a 24-37-1 regular season capped off by a gross 5-12 record in the playoffs. In seasons past the playoffs had been a strength for us here at Bick’s Picks but truth be told I was completely befuddled by the Patriots’ playoff run going 1-9 with my picks from the Divisional Round to the Super Bowl. However, I’d rather lie and say I was honoring Jayden by only getting 5 picks right, just no one tell his mom because I don’t want Jake’s Takes receiving any cease and desist letters. Now not only did we finish poorly last season, we also started things off on the wrong foot by going 0-4 in the openers for the 2025 season. Surely that won’t happen again right? Right?! I guess there’s only one way to find out, so let’s get into it.

Patriots @ Seahawks (-3)(Jaxon Smith-Njigba ATD)

I gotta admit I’m just thankful I don’t have to do a write up about the Eagles dropping another banner. Instead I’m coming into this season with a renewed sense of delusional optimism because frankly that’s how we do things around here. Not to mention I don’t mind taking another crack at this matchup after I got all my Super Bowl picks wrong. However for some of our Patriots’ readers this rematch might be an all too soon reminder of how their Super Bowl run ended last season. For others they might view it as a chance for revenge. Unfortunately I’m not so sure that’s how things play out. Now I’m not saying we see a repeat of the Super Bowl as I’m expecting a much more competitive game this time around but this is a tough spot for New England. Since they introduced the NFL Kickoff Game 25 years ago the defending champs have a 17-4 record. As many of you know, trends like that get our attention here at Bick’s Picks but I’ll admit I don’t love that I’m seeing that number referenced a lot leading up to this matchup. The public is all over Seattle and it just feels like no one is really giving the Pats a shot despite this being a pretty close line. Speaking of lines I have a feeling that this game will be decided in the trenches. The Seahawks’ defensive front was absolutely dominant the last time these teams faced off and that could really set the tone for how things go tonight. All eyes will be on Will Campbell this evening who at the very least will be healthier than he was during the playoffs but if he hasn’t taken a step forward in his development it could be a long evening for Drake Maye. That said I do think this game ends up being close and at times a little ugly which is why I was tempted to do the unthinkable and bet the Under. However I have a brand to maintain and we simply don’t do that here. Instead I pivoted to something I often struggle with and that’s picking someone to score a TD. I just got a feeling after a quiet Super Bowl where JSN almost had a couple big plays that tonight he actually gets one. I’ll admit these picks are kind of boring but sometimes the boring bet is the safe one. Also DraftKings has got Seattle at -3 but still seeing as -3.5 elsewhere but in the effort to play it safe we will take potential push. Either way let’s see if my struggles betting Pats games continue. Giddy up.

Seahawks -3 (-118)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba ATD (+135)

Parlay at Your Own Risk (+286)

The I Hope You Have Netflix Game

49ers (+3.5) @ Rams

Well last year I bitched about this game being on YouTube so naturally the NFL’s first ever Australia game will require Netflix. At this point we all agree it’s obnoxious the hoops the NFL makes us jump through to watch every game. Heck it’s such a known problem the NFL is actually being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice for their practices. Which of course will eventually work out for the fans because surely the multi-billion dollar industry will be punished for taking advantage of their consumers. All jokes aside we do have a game to pick and once again it’s a good matchup. Rams vs 49ers rarely disappoints as this as been one of the more compelling division matchups in recent years as both are often in playoff contention. Obviously the main story in this matchup though is LA’s offseason acquisitions which have much of the NFC concerned. McVay and company continued to say fuck them picks by trading for Myles Garrett which of course prompted the return Aaron Donald. Fortunately for Brock Purdy he’ll only be facing Garrett this time as Donald isn’t quite ready yet. Catching this break along with Kyle Shanahan’s knack for covering and often outright winning as an underdog in this rivalry has me leaning their way. Part of me thinks Rams could just blow doors and set the tone for a dominant season but my plums tell me this will be a close one down under. Gimme the Niners +3.5. 

49ers +3.5 (-102) 

Super Bowl LX is here people and I’m gonna do my best to keep the sodium levels of these picks as low as I can. After all, I should be used to my team’s absence and at the very least I don’t have to suffer through the possibility of another Eagles championship. Heck even the Chiefs were nice enough to take a year off but of course they just handed the baton back to the other team that always represents the AFC. Now before I dive into tonight’s game I might as well quickly recap Championship Weekend since I gotta bitch about the money we lost. Simply put, there isn’t enough lipstick in the world that could’ve made that pig of an AFC Championship look pretty. Truly a game that only a Pats fan could love, but even they had to sweat it out till the very end. Which of course means the one time I outright backed New England this postseason they failed to cover all 3 spreads. Somehow not all was lost that day as the NFC Championship not only delivered a winning pick but also an entertaining game. Admittedly, I missed the whole first half because I was rage shoveling in a blizzard trying to find ways to cope with having to watch the 10th Patriots Super Bowl of my lifetime. But hey, from what I did watch that game was at the very least enjoyable and it didn’t have the stink of preseason football. My salt and sour grapes aside it doesn’t matter how you get to this stage there’s no denying both these teams earned this chance at immortality. It’s not how you get there because all that matters is who’s lifting that Lombardi trophy at the end of the night. Now it should come as no surprise that I’m very eager to put this season in the rearview because as we all know it was a dreadful one for Washington and as next week’s season recap will show it wasn’t good for us at Bick’s Picks either. As always you’ll get my picks to wrap up what has been an unpredictable season, as well as one more guest pick from Brady’s Parlay of the Day so without further ado let’s get into it.

Seahawks (ML) @ Patriots (+14.5,+7.5)

Yupp that’s right after a season of largely avoiding them I’m gonna end this season with some silly ass parlays. I mean no matter what I guarantee I messed this up as I’m 0-5 picking Pats games this postseason. It hasn’t mattered if I thought they’d squeak out a win but fail to cover or if I picked them outright I’ve simply been wrong. Sure the value pick for this game is to just pick New England to win but I’m pretty sure we all know I can’t do that even if I truly believed it would happen. After all, even though the goal of this blog is to win money I still have my pride and my arbitrary biases to adhere to. Don’t get me wrong, even though I don’t know a single fan I have no love for the Seahawks as they’ve gotten the better of Washington in a couple postseason matchups. That’s the thing though, I don’t live in Seattle. Honestly the simple fact I’ve had to explain numerous times why I’m not rooting for the Pats is enough for me to lose my money on Sam Darnold. Plus let’s be honest I know the Foxboro faithful reading this blog might stop talking to me if I picked them to win. That said it really has been a helluva season for the Patriots. I’ve literally been watching alongside you guys all the way since joint practices with Washington in the preseason and I even went to a couple of your games. Given what this team was last year under Mayo and heck even the way they looked Week 1 against the Raiders it’s really remarkable and impressive they are one win away from winning it all. So even though I got Seattle winning I’ve got a hard time thinking that Maye and company will go quietly. They haven’t lost by more than a TD all season and even though I can’t back them to win I think they’ll make it a good game. So please Pats fans don’t take this pick too personally. I just hope it’s a good close game, that everyone has fun, that there aren’t a lot of flags and that your team loses. Is that too much to ask?

Parlay 1: Seahawks ML and Patriots +14.5 (-110)

Parlay 2: Seahawks ML and Patriots +7.5 (+200)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Patriots ML, Drake Maye 230+ Passing Yards, Drake Maye 2+ Passing TDs

The Patriots are back in the Super Bowl! No one seems to be giving us a chance in this game after a 14-3 season because of our “easy” schedule. Easy or not the Patriots have won 16/17 since starting the year 1-2 and have gone through three very tough defenses in the playoffs to get to the big stage. On the other side the Seahawks are depending on Sam Darnold to lead them to a title and my mind just can’t comprehend that. I’m expecting Sam to see some ghosts tonight while his counterpart,and the player that should have won league MVP this year, Drake Maye will take home the Super Bowl MVP instead and bring the Lombardi trophy back to Foxboro!

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Patriots ML, Drake Maye 230+ Passing Yards, Drake Maye 2+ Passing TDs (+575)

Championship Weekend is here people and it’s shaping up to be a really meh one. What? Did you think just because I went 0-4 last week you thought I’d become less of hater? Sure whatever, congrats to those who advanced and I can obviously admit it is a big weekend for a bunch of our readers but that doesn’t change the fact we’re watching a bunch of bad football. Speaking of which you guys are owed a Divisional Sunday recap and now that I’m not throwing up from being sick I have some words. Let’s just get the Rams failing to cover that -6.5 out of the way. My goodness how in God’s name do you let up a conversion let alone a touchdown on that 4th down throw by Caleb. Just so ridiculous they even got the ball back it honestly seemed rigged. I guess a small part of me is happy the Bears lost anyways but I’m more so bitter about our bet. And then there’s the Texans +3 which plenty of you oh so humble Pats fans were quick to rub in my face. That game was atrocious. I don’t know what was making me more sick, the flu or the sheer number of egregious giveaways committed by both teams. I gave New England credit for the game plan on Herbert but I refuse to shower them with praise for what happened with Stroud. Sure they almost certainly dialed up the pressure and made the plays given to them on defense but it was an implosion reminiscent of Jake Delhomme in 2008 against the Cardinals. Oh and somehow it only gets better because now they get Jarrett Stidham for the Championship game because sure why not. I’ll admit this write up is overflowing with sodium but trust me as someone who’s watched a lot of bad football in my days I’m just taken aback and a little disgusted that bad football is gonna win a Super Bowl this year. But let’s not belabor the point I got some picks to make/complain about so let’s get into it.

Patriots (-3.5,-6.5,-9.5) @ Broncos

I’m not even gonna pretend I like making this pick but it’s the pick that needs to be made. Yes I know, up till this point I have picked the opposing team to cover against New England but not this time. Frankly even though those weren’t winning bets I’m struggling to admit they were bad bets because of how Jekyll and Hyde the Patriots’ offense has been. Drake is either throwing absolute dimes to Boutte or having zero pocket awareness and getting blasted for another fumble. It’s been either love the Drake or hate the Drake but despite this they’ve managed to pull away in the end each time. Now I’m obligated to be negative so obviously to me these games have largely boiled down to a battle of who’s gonna giveaway the ball less. Thankfully for the Pats the opposing quarterback has been having Chernobyl level meltdowns each week so it doesn’t matter how careless they’ve been with the ball. Which finally brings us to this week. Bo Nix would likely have been their most competent test but in a cruel twist of fate for Denver fans he’s done for the season. Instead we’re ironically given a Jarrett Stidham AFC Championship Game. I’m sure Sean Payton will pull out all the stops but there’s only so much lipstick you can put on a pig. Much like the other two matchups you could definitely argue Denver has the better defense but a lotta good that did the other teams. Now maybe I’m overcorrecting with these bets but at this point the Patriots have shown they deserve the respect. After the last two weeks it’s hard not to trust that Zach Kuhr and Vrabel will know how to expose a backup qb given what they did to Herbert and Stroud. So let’s get a little bold and hop on the escalator because I think we’ll also end up loving the Drake more than hating him as the Patriots punch their ticket to the Super Bowl.

Patriots -3.5 (-115)

Patriots -6.5 (+123)

Patriots -9.5 (+182)

Rams @ Seahawks (-2.5)

Now that I’m done with that rant I suppose we gotta talk about this game too. The only thing I really have to say is that I’m sorry to my cousin Jesse for picking against his beloved Rams, but it’s not something I do lightly. I feel like I could’ve easily ended up doing a write up that was similar to the Niners/Seahawks game. I could’ve talked about how these teams already had two close games this year and split the regular season series but I fell for that trap once. Although the sample size is small the Seahawks have easily been the most impressive team so far in the playoffs. Again one game is all we have to go off of but my goodness what they did to the 49ers. So maybe I’m letting some recency bias sway my opinion but the only reason I’d have to pick against them is Sam Darnold. He’ll almost certainly need to do more than he did last week because Stafford will put up more of a fight than Purdy did. In the end this might be a close game if the former Jet makes it one but if he’s not seeing ghosts I could see another Seattle blow out on their way to Santa Clara. So once again Jesse I’m sorry it’s not personal, but I’m thinking it’s the Seahawks that get a Super Bowl rematch against the Pats not the Rams.

Seahawks -2.5 (-110)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Patriots -3.5, Rhamondre Stevenson 52+ Rush yds, Rams ML, Puka Nacua 100+ Receiving yards

The winning didn’t last long as we took another loss in the divisional round last week. Looking to get things back on track for the conference championship Sunday! For today’s parlay I will give you a winner for each game and a prop bet for each to combine into one bet. 

I know people will think this is a homer pick for leg number one but I really can’t see the patriots losing this game to Jarret Stidham. With that being said we are taking the Patriots with the spread to advance to the Super Bowl again for the first time since the 2018 season. 

Leg number two from the AFC side is Rhamondre Stevenson to rush for 52 plus yds. I look for Stevenson to be a major contributor to victory today and he’s typically good for at least one big chunk play. Bet on a big day for the Pats running back.

Now let’s get into the NFC game for legs three and four. I think this game will be very close and a fun one to watch for sure. I do expect the Rams to pull out the win this time though and set up a matchup of the top 2 MVP candidates in Santa Clara for all the marbles. I also expect if the Rams are to win Puka Nacua will be a big part of it and so we are going to bet him to have  100 plus receiving yards. 

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Patriots -3.5, Rhamondre Stevenson 52+ Rush yds, Rams ML, Puka Nacua 100+ Receiving yards (+1053)

Divisional Weekend wraps up today people and full disclosure I woke up today feeling like a combination of Josh Allen’s postgame presser and Bo Nix’s ankle: defeated and broken. Not just because we had an 0-2 Saturday but also because I woke up feeling like death. So you’ll have to excuse me if the writing isn’t my best today but hopefully the picks are good. Now as I had mentioned we had a rough Saturday as neither pick ended up delivering. It started off with the Bills who certainly had their chances to win but 5 giveaways was one too many. Then there’s the pathetic Niners who quite literally lost the game and the cover in the first 13 seconds. Needless to say I would like things to go better today but given the morning I’m having I got a bad feeling about my picks. Thankfully Brady’s Parlay of Day is back again and hopefully can pick up my slack. As always the picks wait for no man and now there’s only 5 games left so let’s get into it.

Texans (+3) @ Patriots

Similar to the Bills/Broncos game I was torn about this one all week. I could easily see this going either way but eventually settled on the Texans. Both these teams played nearly identical games on Wild Card weekend with their defenses absolutely abusing the opposing quarterback on the way to seemingly easy wins. However even though both these games ended up being blowouts the box score didn’t tell the full story. On offense both these teams also struggled to protect their own QB with Stroud and Maye taking numerous sacks and having multiple turnovers. So in the end what had me leaning Houston was they have a slightly better defense and that’s about it. The weather is also gross so I can see this being another sloppy one. So just like last week don’t worry Pats fans you got someone to yell at today because I’m riding with H-Town.

Texans +3 (+102)

Rams (-6.5) @ Bears

Since I’m running low on effort and mental energy I’ll keep it brief. I hate Ben Johnson and think Caleb Williams stinks half the time. I just think their luck with these improbable comebacks has to dry up and I moved the spread because it needed some extra juice. I also backed the Rams because I don’t want my cousin Jesse mad at me so I’d rather be wrong than rile him up. So that’s the pick, lots of hate and a little bit of support for the big guy.

Rams -6.5 (+115)

Brady’s ParlayS of the Day

We finally got back in the win column last weekend and I’ve been hot with my bets overall so let’s keep it rolling for divisional round Sunday! I have two SGPs for you for today to change things up and give us a shot to make some good money today. 

First up is the Pats and Texans in what I think is going to be a close, low scoring, defensive battle. The Texans defense is legit and their offense is average at best especially now with the loss of Nico Collins. I expect a lot of kicking in this game so here’s the parlay.

AFC Parlay: Borregales 3+ FG made, Fairbairn 2+ FG made, Under 40.5 (+1000)

On the NFC side of things I’m expecting a lot  more offense in this one. Both teams put up high numbers in their wild card games and I expect that trend to continue today. I expect the Rams to pull this one out but I do think it will be close. 

NFC Parlay: Puka Nacua Anytime TD, Over 48.5, Bears +4.5 (+500)

If you want to get a little crazy and put them together it’s +6500. I won’t say I’ll recommend it but I also won’t say I’m not throwing 5$ on that haha