Wild Card Weekend is coming to an end people and what a historically dramatic weekend it was. All the excitement from Saturday carried right over into Sunday and delivered us two more games that were decided on the final possession. To put in perspective how crazy it’s been we’ve already had a record-setting twelve 4th quarter lead changes which is the most in any postseason round and we’ve still got one game to go. This historic level of drama unfortunately didn’t do my picks many favors but it’s hard to complain when the games were so entertaining. Sure I was wrong about the Eagles -6 but the silver-lining is that they lost outright and that’s a win for everyone except the creatures of Philly. Then for the night game the one matchup I said would be close of course ended up being the one with the least drama. Jim Harbaugh just stood there with his mouth hanging wide open refusing to adjust as he watched Herbert get murdered all night. Fortunately we weren’t wrong about everything as Josh Allen and the Bills managed to take care of business for Bick’s Picks AND Brady’s Parlay of the Day. Speaking of BPOTD he’s finally back to his winning ways as he got a nice win with his first postseason parlay. Now as several of you seemed all too eager to point out Bick’s Picks is off to a 2-3 start to the playoffs but we’ve got one more game to save Wild Card Weekend so let’s get into it.

Texans (-3,-6.5) @ Steelers

Yup that’s right we’re doubling down and moving the line for this one. Since the matchups came out I had this one circled from the beginning as the blow out of Wild Card Weekend. Let’s be honest the Steelers shouldn’t even be here and I think the Texans remind everyone of that tonight. Pretty much everyone besides a loyal few have had enough of Rodgers and I think Will Anderson Jr and company will make him wish that Tyler Loop actually made that kick. So let’s not overthink this and join me in betting that Houston beats the crap out of that ayahuasca doofus.

Texans -3 (-105)

Texans -6.5 (+155)

Wild Card Weekend continues people and even though not all our bets hit it’s hard to deny that we’ve gotten off to an entertaining start. Somehow both games on Saturday ended up being close contests that came down to the final possession. Now I say “somehow” because honestly despite being entertaining games in the end they probably both should’ve been blowouts. However thanks to gross turnovers, head scratching play calls, ill-advised 4th down attempts and some truly egregious clock management we got some close ones. Thankfully some of these shenanigans worked out in our favor as we started the playoffs 1-1 here at Bick’s Picks. For the first game the Rams playing with their food and letting the Panthers hang around made the -10 a bad bet that some of you were all too quick to point out. As for the night game even though the Bears won and my write up was spot on, it’s hard for me to be too cocky because holy hell did the Green Bay blow it. Chicago had absolutely no business winning that game but I suppose nonsense like this defined the regular season so why wouldn’t it carry over into the playoffs. That’s enough about yesterday though we’ve got arguably an even better slate of games today and Brady’s Parlay of the Day is making their postseason debut so let’s get into it.

Bills (ML) @ Jaguars

Unlike yesterday where I thought we were starting off with the worst game, today I think we’re getting the best game out the gate. Of course now that I say that this will end up being our first blowout because that’s the kind of unpredictable season that it’s been. Now for the pick itself it simply comes down to one thing for me: postseason experience. Josh Allen and Buffalo have been here and they’ve got their sights set further than the Wild Card round especially since most of the usual suspects aren’t standing his way. Now I don’t wanna whistle right past the Jags entirely because they’re one of the hottest teams in football and that defense is scarier than they get credit for. However I’ve called Trevor Lawrence a drunken baby giraffe too many times to back him against my supposed doppelganger so let’s circle the wagons and hope to start the day with a win for Bills Mafia.

Bills ML (+102)

49ers @ Eagles (-6)

Fuck the Eagles. Okay now that I got that out of the way I’m gonna choose to hate myself today because I’m still picking them. Safe to say I have no love for Philly and frankly I’m a tad surprised this spread is so big given their inconsistency this year. During the regular season a spread like that might give me pause but as I’ve been saying it’s all plums in the playoffs and I can’t shake the feeling they’re gonna make Purdy look like butt. Maybe it’s a little recency bias with how the Niners looked against Seattle but I think the Iggles defense can do something similar. And that’s it. I’m not gonna say any more kind or positive words about the team I’m picking because it hurts my soul and goes against every fiber of my being. So let’s bet these illiterates to cover and if they don’t maybe they’ll just lose outright instead because I wouldn’t mind that either.

Eagles -6 (-108)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Bills ML, Saquon Barkley 90+ Rushing Yards, Patriots ML

Well we almost got back in the win column in the regular season finale as Isaiah made it likely for us to cash with his incredible grab on 4th down to set up the Ravens with an easy FG attempt to win the game, the division, and hit our parlay. It was all for not though as Tyler Loop did his best Billy Cundiff impression and wasn’t even close with his kick. If only the Ravens still let their scum bag players stick around Justin Tucker would have nailed it for sure but they had to turn over a new leaf and start doing the right thing I guess. Anyways it’s time for the playoffs and a clean slate so let’s try to get that win that’s been dodging us on Wild Card weekend.
Leg 1- The Bills and Jags meet in Jacksonville in the early game on Sunday. The Jags have been on fire lately but the playoff experience of Josh Allen makes me think the Bills should win this one. I expect it to be close but take the Bills moneyline.

Leg 2- The defending champs host the 49ers at home and the weather is looking bad for this one. To me that translates into a lot of running and we are going to take Barkley to finally breakout this year in the biggest game for Philly. Take Saquon to go over 90 rushing yards.

Leg 3- After 3 long years of misery the Patriots are back in the Playoffs! We get to host the Chargers at home to kick off our run and I expect the home team to get the job done in this one. Drake Maye is going to show the world why he is the MVP and lead the Patriots to their first postseason win since 2018. Take the Pats moneyline.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Bills ML, Saquon Barkley 90+ Rushing Yards, Patriots ML (+568)

Chargers (+3.5) @ Patriots

I’m just gonna say this felt like a lose-lose pick for me. For better or worse a large portion of our readers are Pats fans and you often like to give me grief no matter which way I bet you guys. I’m vilified for going against you or scolded for being a mush when I back them. A coward might avoid picking the team all together but honestly I embrace the criticism and complaints as they fuel the fire of my hot takes and biased opinions. That said I watch my fair share of New England football and that’s what influenced my pick. I won’t call them paper tigers or say this season is fool’s gold BUT I do think they have a tendency to keep things close against better competition. No denying they showed they can beat the bag out bad teams but that’s not what they face today. Sure the Chargers have their flaws but they have enough weapons on both sides to make this a game. Am I bold enough to say they’ll win outright? Of course not, but I could easily see this coming down to an Aurora Borealis field goal. So don’t worry Pats fans you got someone to yell at tonight because I’m backing the Bolts.

Chargers +3.5 (-105)

Wild Card Weekend is here people and let’s just say we’re not as fired up about the playoffs as we were last year. Don’t get me wrong we’ll be watching (and betting) on all these games but man oh man would it be a whole lot cooler if Washington was playing. Reading last year’s playoff blogs was a bittersweet reminder of how quickly things can change in the NFL. Now before we move on to the Saturday slate we got one more losing regular season recap to go over. We ended up finishing with another 1-2 week as we simply couldn’t get out of our own way this season at Bick’s Picks. Sure the Pats took care of business for the Lock but the rest of the picks were emblematic of the struggles we’ve had this season. The Saints and Falcons both started out slow before teasing us with some late scoring that wasn’t enough. And then the Dawg was another painful loss as the Chargers played with our emotions numerous times until coming up short of the cover in the end. Even Brady’s Parlay of the Day almost got a win last week but Tyler Loop decided he wanted a new head coach instead. Needless to say we’ve gotten really good at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. That was the regular season though and believe it or not we actually have a winning record in the postseason here at Bick’s Picks. Over the two postseasons we’ve covered we’ve got a (18-14) record and although that might not be something to brag about it’s certainly better than what we’ve been doing lately. We’re hoping we can replicate some of that postseason success and no better time to start than arguably the best weekend of the playoffs. As a reminder for better or worse we pick all the games and this is only day 1 of 3 so let’s get into it.

Rams (-10) @ Panthers

Well I just talked about how great Wild Card Weekend is so of course the worst game on paper is how we get things started. However, it’s the playoffs and anything can happen nevermind the fact that the team that’s favored by double digits lost this same matchup earlier this season. That said try as I might, I can’t convince myself the Panthers could do it again or even cover for that matter. Frankly after the Sad Cats let me down numerous times I can’t pick them in this game. I told myself all my postseason picks were gonna be based on plums alone so no cute stats today. Although I’d really prefer an alt spread of -9.5 we’re not gonna start the postseason by moving lines. So we’re biting the bullet, picking the -10 and betting it’s a blowout.

Rams -10 (-108)

Packers @ Bears (ML)

Alright now that we got that out of the way we can cover a game that’s got some real juice. I’ll admit this one was a bit tough but not because I struggled to make a pick. I knew who I wanted all along. It’s more so I hate that I gotta pick either team. I’ve been on record that I’m no fan of Jordan Love. I don’t know if it’s lack of pocket presence or just his ill-advised throws off his back foot but something about his game just doesn’t pass my sniff test. On the flip side I’ve been even more critical of Caleb Williams. It’s not the painted nails or the fact he’s always gonna be compared to Jayden it’s because I think he’s a complete spaz. He’s got the talent to make almost any throw but he’s got this habit of making things so much harder than they need to be. And I don’t have enough time or words to describe my disdain for Ben Johnson so let’s just say I hate him. So now that I’ve aired my grievances let me tell you that I’m riding with Chicago anyways. As before, no cute stats or trends that I’m following this pick all plums. So throw on your Super Fan shades because we’re looking to make Coach Ditka proud by picking Da Bears to win outright.

Bears ML (+114)

Week 18 is here people and even though it hasn’t been a banner year for us here at Bick’s Picks it’s still bittersweet to say goodbye to the 2025 regular season. Sure being a Washington fan and our overall betting record being (23-35-1) have left a lot to be desired but that doesn’t mean we won’t miss football. You gotta remember the football season is like a big delicious sandwich you gotta cherish every bite because before you know it it’s gone. Now before we scarf down that last bite we as always have last week to recap. As expected the perfect 3-0 week has remained elusive but did manage to go 2-1. Now I shouldn’t sell the Over or the Lock short as both those bets hit with ease. The Saints and Titans understood their assignment as they cruised to that 39.5 total and ended up being the second highest scoring game on the slate. Then later on the Lock was also easy money as the Giants cruised to victory against a full tank mode Raiders. However it can never be just easy wins for us here because it turns out the Panthers were always the Sad Cats and not the Dawg we needed them to be. As for our guest pick, Brady’s Parlay of the Day almost got back in the win column but fell just short thanks to the Bills. With that recap out of the way we can finally enjoy the last bite of the regular season sandwich so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Saints @ Falcons (43.5)

Now I didn’t really mention it but I’m sure if you’re reading this you’re aware that Week 18 is often a weird week. Every game is a divisional matchup so you’ve got teams with everything on the line or teams just desperate to get this season over with. You’ve got teams resting players for the playoffs and you got teams shutting people down looking ahead to next year. Needless to say it makes things even more unpredictable and often can spell disaster for an Over. Vegas even agrees as we’ve got 6 games on the slate with projected totals under 40. Now undoubtedly one or more of those games will hit the Over but I couldn’t talk myself into any of them because none have any real playoff implications. Now I know what you’re gonna say: “Wait a minute neither of these teams can make the playoffs” which is very true but in a gross twist of fate this game decides who manages to win the NFC South. I also like both these teams to show up and actually try to play football despite having nothing but pride and I’m sure some incentives on the line. The Saints are quietly on a win streak led by potential OROY Tyler Shough and on the flip side Bijan has been finishing the season like he’s the best back in football. Sure these teams are eliminated but my gut says that this game has the juice so let’s hope we get one more easy Over to end the regular season.

NO/ATL Over 43.5 (-118)

Fade Dawgs

Chargers (+14) @ Broncos

Similar to the Over the Dawg is a tricky bet to pick Week 18 because you gotta navigate a slate full of double digit spreads. There’s nearly 8 games with double digit spreads and some make sense while others are because there’s some roster nonsense going on. Just like those low totals one or more of these silly spreads will end up being a winning bet and I’m hoping this is the one. Yes I know the Chargers are sitting people but this isn’t the preseason so they’ll be forced to play some starters. Meanwhile although the Broncos are playing for the one seed there’s nothing they like more this season than close games. Sure Denver is 13-3 but they’re 2-9 against the spread as a favorite. Somehow someway Bo and the boys find a way to win but lord knows they like their fans to sweat it out. Oh and if those stats are convincing enough for you Jim Harbaugh is 10-0-1 against the spread vs the AFC West. So even though we’ve been Bolievers here I like the resting Chargers to cover this week.

Chargers +14 (-110)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Falcons ML, Hunter Henry 5+ Receptions, Ravens ML

One more try to end the regular season with a win. After a hot start to the season we haven’t hit on a parlay in some time, we are overdue for sure!

Leg 1: Falcons ruin the Bucs playoff hopes with a win over the Saints to give the Panthers the division. Take the Falcons moneyline

Leg 2: It’s incentive week to end the season so I wanted to do at least one for the parlay. We are going to go with Hunter Henry for 5+ catches as he cashes in on a $250,000 bonus against the Dolphins.

Leg 3: We will finish the regular season of BPOTD with the last game of the regular season. Ravens and Steelers battle on Sunday Night for the AFC North title. I like the Ravens to steal this one on the road in a close game. Take Baltimore ML.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Falcons ML, Hunter Henry 5+ Receptions, Ravens ML (+323)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Dolphins @ Patriots (-13.5)

It took every little bit of self-restraint I have to not bet on Washington in some way for this final week of the season. But let’s be honest we’ve lost enough money this year and I have no confidence that we can cover +3.5 at Philly. As much as I hate the Eagles and even though they’re resting starters I just can’t. So instead I’m choosing to rile up Pats fans one last time this regular season. I’m also gonna call all of you at the same time though because despite all your bitching and me being a supposed mush the Patriots have been pretty darn good this season. We’ll see what happens in the playoffs but it’s still the regular season and I’m gonna bet this dumb spread whether you like it or not. Sure -13.5 is a dumb number but they took care of that easily last week when they dominated the Jets. I’m expecting the same situation today against the Fins who are likely sitting their two best players on offense in Achane and Waddle. Nevermind the fact the Fins are terrible in the cold under Mike McDaniel so I’m betting Vrabel ends the season with another blowout to keep the morale high heading into their postseason run. 

Patriots -13.5 (-108)

Week 17 is here people and I hope everyone had a Merry Christmas. As you’ll notice my gift to all of you was not doing any holiday picks this year and you’re welcome for that because our luck didn’t improve last week. Sure the Pats ended up winning outright for the Dawg which was a nice way to save the day but everything else was butt. First the Bills played with their food, dropping any chance the Lock had before the Texans would’ve blown it by allowing a career day to Genty. Then there’s the Over which literally hit but after some phantom flag on Jeffery Simmons the points were taken off the board and the Titans settled for a field goal. Even when our picks hit somehow the NFL finds a way to screw us. Unfortunately Brady’s Parlay of the Day didn’t fare any better but maybe he can snag a win down the stretch. Either way we’ve mercifully only got two weeks of the regular season left so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Saints @ Titans (39.5)

I know I know I’m back picking the lowly Titans but after the NFL rigged the end of their last game it surely can’t happen again right? After all there’s an old saying in Tennessee, I know it’s in New England, probably in Tennessee that says, ‘Fool me once, shame on…shame on you. Fool me you can’t get fooled again.’ With those wise words how could this Over possibly come up short. So look for these two out of contention teams to put up enough points to keep me from looking like a fool again.

NO/TEN Over 39.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Seahawks @ Panthers (+6.5)

Not gonna lie, picking a Dawg today wasn’t easy. Of course there will be an upset today but with this small slate because of all the Christmas games the options are limited. It doesn’t help that at first glance I liked a lot of the favorites too. But what are we gonna do, change the pick? That’s crazy talk. I mean come on, the formula has worked so well for us this season right? Sarcasm and lack of confidence aside this is the Dawg I liked the most. The Panthers have been the scrappiest underdogs this season with 8 of their wins coming as a Dawg. One more win and they break the record for most in a season. Now although I think Carolina is capable of winning outright to break that record we simply need them to keep it close. No denying the Seahawks are a wagon this year but every once in a while Darnold shows that he’s still got that Jet in him. So I’m betting that we get the Carolina Reapers and not the Sad Cats today.

Panthers +6.5 (+100)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Bills -1.5, Jaguars -5.5, 49ers -2.5

Let’s try for another win before the season ends. It’s been far too long and I’m tired of losing!

Leg 1: Bills over the Eagles. The Eagles already locked up the East and the Bills need to win to stay in the division race. Take the Bills -1.5.

Leg 2: The Philip Rivers experiment hasn’t worked and the Jags are on fire coming off a big win over Denver. Take the Jags -5.5.

Leg 3: Sunday Night Football features two playoff bound teams in the Bears and the 49ers. One team is a contender and the other is a pretender. Take the contender 49ers -2.5.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Bills -1.5, Jaguars -5.5, 49ers -2.5 (+452)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Giants (-3) @ Raiders

Let’s just point out the obvious: the Lock has been anything but. In fact in some cases it’s been downright impressive how wrong we’ve been. So in order to avoid me being upset about a good team blowing it, why not look to a crap team to do something and if they fail oh well. Which brings us to the Tank Bowl. Both the Giants and the Raiders are the worst of the worst this season and somehow the schedule has aligned for them to play with the number 1 pick on the line. As it stands New York is in the driver’s seat for the 1st overall pick and Vegas seems aware. After annoyingly almost winning against the Texans someone in the organization well enough of that we’re shutting it down. They put Brock Bowers on IR with a sore knee and told Maxx Crosby he was done too. The latter didn’t seem all too thrilled about this decision which leads me to think that things could get extra ugly these last two games for Vegas. It’s not often teams so blatantly pack up shop for the season and I think the Giants are the type of team to go out and win a meaningless game even if it hurts their draft position. So join me in betting that the team that isn’t openly quitting will win and if they don’t we can at least laugh at how bad New York is.

Giants -3 (+100)

Week 16 is here people and much like the Commanders and the once mighty Chiefs we’re officially playing out the string here at Bick’s Picks. After another disappointing 1-2 week we’ve reached the point where a winning record is out of reach. Honestly I’d be more annoyed if we were close but recently I’ve been impressed with how bad our picks have been. Somehow back to back weeks we picked a team to win outright for the Lock who ended up getting shutout. Meanwhile although I feel like watching Grandpa Rivers lived up to the hype of course that game failed to hit the Over. Fortunately being a Boliever managed to save the week as the Broncos kept on streaking winning their 11th game in a row. As for our guest pick I’m sure he’d rather I skip their recap because Brady’s Parlay of the Day continues to be cursed. Now despite being guaranteed losers for the 2025 regular season there will be no white-flag 4th quarter punts so let’s get into. 

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Chiefs @ Titans (37.5)

You might’ve thought I would’ve learned my lesson chasing a low total last week but here we are again. Frankly numbers like this are too low for me to ignore. Sure Mahomes is dead and sure the Titans are the Titans, but come on a total this low has to hit right? Tennessee is definitely one of the worst teams in the league, but they’ve been frisky lately putting up at least 24 points 3 of the last 4 weeks. On the other side I gotta think KC shows a little pride with Minshew under center and gives us something towards the total. I won’t deny that on paper Vegas is right to have this number this low but in the end I think it’s one that we don’t sweat out.

KC/TEN Over 37.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Patriots (+3) @ Ravens

Despite the protests of Pats this pick is happening. Honestly I had to feature this game in some way as I’m watching with fans from both sides. And after I picked the Ravens to lose outright last week I can’t suddenly change my opinion that I think they’re cooked for 2025. Sure whistling past that Joe Burrow interview was on me, but New England in not Cinci. After blowing that game against Buffalo I think that Vrabel is gonna light a bonfire under everyone’s ass so Maye and company should come out swinging. Sure they’re likely to let Baltimore comeback in the 2nd Half but either way I think +3 is just enough to cover the outcome of this game. So let’s bet that this Patriots’ season truly isn’t fool’s gold.

Patriots +3 (+100)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Josh Allen ATD, Jayhmir Gibbs 110+ Rush & Receiving Yards, Drake Maye 250+ Passing Yards

Short and sweet this week the NFL doesn’t make any sense this year, I suck but I guess we will give this another go. 

Josh Allen Anytime TD 

Jahmyr Gibbs 110+ Rush & Receiving Yards

Drake Maye 250+ Passing Yards

There it is bet at your own risk.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Josh Allen ATD, Jahmyr Gibbs 110+ Rush & Receiving Yards, Drake Maye 250+ Passing Yards (+526)

Bick’s Stone Cold Locks of the Century of the Week

Bills (-6.5) @ Browns & Raiders @ Texans (-13.5) 

Yea yea I know alt spreads are fake bets but I really gotta make an effort to avoid the shutout three-peat. At this point in the season double digit spreads exist for a reason as the Bills and Texans should dominate their matchups. The Raiders are truly god awful and the Browns are still the Browns no matter how many people want to vote Shedeur to the Pro Bowl. I will say I think the Browns are more likely to make things interesting at home which is why I teased that spread a little more but in the end a touchdown should be plenty to cover. It certainly isn’t the sexiest bet but at this point we’re just trying to avoid being an embarrassment. However if either of these teams manage to get shutout I really gotta find a way to harness this bad luck I’ve got. So sorry in advance to Bills Mafia and the Texans’ fan for this one.

Parlay: Bills -6.5 & Texans -13.5 (+166) 

Week 15 is here people and let me just start by saying I’m officially done subjecting us all to the pain and inevitable disappointment that comes with betting on the 2025 Commanders. Whatever momentum or fight I thought this team had shown against Denver was clearly a mirage as they were embarrassingly shutout 31-0 by the Vikings. Needless to say they didn’t cover the -1.5 for the Lock and to add injury to insult Jayden hurt his elbow again. But enough about my misery and bad decisions we did actually hit a couple picks last week. First for the Over fading the public actually paid off as the Steelers and Ravens discount double checked their way to the total. Then for the Dawg the Jags beat the Colts so bad that Indy actually brought Philip Rivers out of retirement. A 2-1 week was real nice after the way Thanksgiving went for us but Bick’s Picks is gonna need several 3-0 weeks down the stretch if we want to get ourselves back respectability as we sit at 19-30-1 on the season. I wish I could say Brady’s Parlay of the Day was doing better but it’s also been tough sledding for them as their losing streak continued. Definitely not a banner year for us but honestly I’m not sure anyone predicted this would be the way this season would go. But we’re certainly not gonna pack it in and unprecedented levels of parity won’t stop us from enjoying what this bizarre football season has left to offer so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Colts @ Seahawks (41.5)

Last week we were rewarded for fading the public which has temporarily put the Over back in my good graces. However this week there isn’t a glaring Under that everyone is on except for of course the Commanders vs Giants game. Sure that 46.5 total is reachable with those defenses on the field but after the stink I made about not betting Washington I gotta at least keep my word for a week. Which in turn led me to the fateful decision to pick this Over. Frankly because of Philip Rivers’ inexplicable return to football this game had to be featured in some way. Maybe I should simply bet Seahawks -13.5 because there’s no way the Colts can actually keep this close with a literal grandpa under center but here we are. Seahawks should certainly do their part getting to this Over and call me crazy if you want but I think Indy shows up enough to at the very least make this entertaining. So throw on your bolo ties because we’re gonna be locked into this one.

IND/SEA Over 41.5 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Packers @ Broncos (ML)

I’m sure my fellow degenerates have noticed that Week 15 is packed full of big spreads. We’ve got 6 spreads over a touchdown, 5 of which are in the double digits. That said there’s a good reason that these spreads are so big as most of these matchups feature backup QBs, some of which literally came from retirement this week. For that reason I couldn’t really back any of those big road Dawgs with confidence instead we’re Bolievers again this week. Vegas essentially has this one as a coin flip and that’s a little surprising considering it’s at Mile High and because Denver has won 10 straight games. Sure they’ve all seemed to come down to the wire but here at Bick’s Picks we also like to live dangerously. Not to mention I’m a known Jordan Love hater so this pick was practically inevitable. Here’s hoping the Broncos keep on streaking otherwise my bad Pip.

Broncos ML (+102)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Colts Team Total Under 14.5, Patriots ML, Davante Adams ATD

Nothing has made sense lately in the NFL and it’s been a struggle to piece together a successful parlay. And now we are going into a week where 44 year old Philip Rivers who has been out of the league for a few years is starting for the Colts? Honestly I’m a little worried for him coming out of this game alive. He looked cooked at the end of his last season and somehow the Colts think he is going to be better now? I don’t understand but that’s where we are starting with leg 1 this week. The Colts offense is going to struggle against Seattle so let’s take their team under 14.5 points.

For leg 2 the Bills who have been so inconsistent week to week are favored on the road against the first place Patriots? Make that make sense. Take the Pats moneyline as we will be celebrating a division title tomorrow for the first time since 2019. We are back baby!

Last leg will be an anytime touchdown for Davante Adams. The guy has been a touchdown machine this year and I expect this game between the Rams and Lions to be a shootout. Lock in Adams for at least one TD.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Colts Team Total Under 14.5, Patriots ML, Davante Adams ATD (+483)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Ravens @ Bengals (ML)

Since I already apologized to my cousin Pip for picking the Broncos I might as well apologize to my friend JG for picking against the Ravens. With that out of the way let the slander commence because I think that Baltimore is absolutely cooked. Lamar just hasn’t been the same since coming back as he can’t get it going through the air and when he’s running it looks like his IBS is acting up. Not to mention on the other side of the ball their defense is banged up and simply can’t get stops when they need them most. Meanwhile for Cinci sure they proved they’re still the Bungles with how that Bills game ended but unlike Lamar, Joe Burrow has been slinging it since he came back from injury. The Bengals defense has also been a bit feisty lately showing some pride after being a doormat for most of the season. There’s always a chance John Harbaugh can rally the troops but after the last two weeks I think Burrow delivers the final nail in the coffin.

Bengals ML (+130)

Week 14 is here people and let me just start off this week with a congratulations to my cousin Pip and his lady Becca as they ended up being ones to leave Landover last Sunday night with a win. Sure the game ended better for the Broncos but it’s hard for me to complain too much about being in attendance for an OT thriller that came down to the last play. It was certainly a memorable experience for us and one that I wouldn’t want to forget. However, something I continue to wish I could forget is all of my stupid bets. Much like my Commanders this 2025 betting season has been one to forget as we farted out our second 0-3 week. Things looked bad right away as the Cardinals and Bucs struggled through a scoreless 1st quarter which essentially killed the Over before it had a chance. Then we had the Dawg which was just dumb because I backed Rodgers and I hate that guy. Lastly we got the Lock and my apologies to the Jets because they did their part and more. Unfortunately for us I also had Cleveland covering +7.5, which thanks to some special teams blunders ended up being a mistake. Sure I could blame being distracted by the holiday or by attending the game but I’m not here to give you excuses I’m here to give you results. And like it or not we’ve only got 5 weeks left to right the ship so without further ado let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Steelers @ Ravens (43.5)

I’m gonna admit the Over is starting to annoy me especially after last week. I was so sure of the Bucs vs Cardinals Over and that crap felt dead on arrival. It’s still one of my favorite bets but maybe because it’s a down year for the NFL but they’ve just seemed harder than ever. I’m sure it doesn’t help that half the teams in the league just have to make it to the 50 before settling for some 60+ yarder but right now I’m just avoiding saying that I hated all the totals this week. Everyone I looked at I just kept coming up with reasons that it was gonna be an Under. Which kinda sorta led me to this game. I don’t know why but I couldn’t avoid betting this Over when everyone says it’ll be an Under. Sure I got burned by Rodgers last week and sure Lamar looks kinda stinky playing hurt but I can’t help myself. So logic be damned, we’re betting this Over because life is too short to do otherwise.

PIT/BAL Over 43.5 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Colts @ Jaguars (ML)

For as much as I complain about and deride the AFC South I sure have been betting on them a lot this season. This time though I swear it’s different! I certainly won’t try and hype up Trevor Lawrence lord knows that goober is gonna do something stupid. The main reason we’ve had this matchup circled is that the Colts simply don’t beat the Jags on the road. Indy hasn’t won a game in Jacksonville since 2014 and a streak like that is right up our alley. Not to mention Daniel Jones is playing on a broken leg and finally looking like the pumpkin we know him to be. You can take the +1.5 if you want but I’m betting Liam Coen will have that Duuuuuval grin after the game.

Jaguars ML (+105)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Jayden Daniels 220+ Pass Yards, Quinshon Judkins ATD, Puka Nacua 100+ Receiving Yards

Let’s face facts BPOTD has sucked over the past month or so and it’s time to shake things up this week. We are not picking winners and losers but I’m going to give you three props that I think will hit this Sunday.

First one will be Jayden Daniels to pass for over 220 yards in his return to the field for the Commanders. A lot riding on Washington this week as I am also going with them in my survivor pool as I see them fired up to get a win after that heartbreaking loss last week to Denver.

Leg 2 will be an Anytime TD from Quinshon Judkins as the Browns face the putrid Titans defense. Judkins has 7 TDs so far on the season so look for him to get number 8 on Sunday.

Finally we have over 100 receiving yards for Puka Nacua. The Rams need a win badly after their loss to the Panthers last week dropped them out of the 1 seed. Look for Stafford to air it out against Arizona and Puka should get plenty of that action.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Jayden Daniels 220+ Pass Yards, Quinshon Judkins ATD, Puka Nacua 100+ Receiving Yards (+689)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Commanders (-1.5) @ Vikings

Jayden is back. JJ McCarthy blows. Washington should win and frankly needs to win. This season is lost but you gotta find something to build on going into the offseason. Some will complain that I just bet my team and that’s why Bick’s Picks record is what it is but being loyal to a fault is kind of our MO. So if you don’t like it, tough titties. Hey most of you fade us anyways or you could bet the Seahawks -6.5 because that’s what it would’ve been otherwise. But honestly after the effort the Commanders showed on SNF and with the kid coming back I really like us today so keep that confidence in mind if you decide to #RaiseHail with us.

Commanders -1.5 (-102)

Week 13 is here people and for better or worse we’re delivering these picks from the DMV as the Bickford clan is on location for a Sunday Night showdown between Washington and Denver. Some of you might be wondering why my family and I would subject ourselves to this but you gotta understand we made this fateful choice before the season and at the time it seemed like a fun thing to do together Thanksgiving weekend. I’m sure we’ll still have a good time sharing the experience and at the very least since my cousin Pip and his lady are Broncos fans someone will be leaving Landover with a win. Now I mentioned Thanksgiving but honestly wish I hadn’t because all we did was lose money. The Feasting Favorites parlay was a complete flop as every single favorite not only failed to cover they lost outright. As for the Triducken it was dead on arrival as Jahmyr Gibbs let us down immediately only for Rice and Henry to score the 1st TDs in the later games. Needless to say the Lions are on my shit list for the next few years as the unwanted tradition of them ruining Thanksgiving can’t be allowed to continue. Now as always we don’t dwell on our losses here we chase them so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Cardinals @ Buccaneers (44.5)

As I mentioned earlier we’ll be attending SNF and because of how bad Washington has been I’d been scratching my head as to why we weren’t flexed out for another game. That was of course until I saw the Sunday slate. That’s because unless you’re a weirdo AFC South fan nothing is really that appealing aside from the Bills/Steelers game but we’ll talk about that later. Right now we gotta sift through a slate full of ugly matchups, bad weather and low totals to find some scoring. Now personally this matchup isn’t sexy at first glance but the reason I’m here is because I expect both of these offenses to show up. The Bucs thankfully have Baker playing and they also should have the long awaited return of Bucky Irving so I like them to bounce back after being shut down by the Rams. On the other side I’m not gonna try and hype up Jacoby Brissett but I gotta acknowledge that he’s at least made Arizona frisky since Kyler’s soft benching. Sure they’re not winning games but they’ve been good for at least 21 points since he took over Week 6 so hopefully that should be enough to get us to our total. So fingers crossed we found the scoring gem in the pile turds.

ARI/TB Over 44.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Bills @ Steelers (+3)

I teased this matchup earlier and honestly felt a little obligated to bet on this game in some way because based on records it’s the game of the day. That sense of obligation aside, I do actually really like the Steelers in this spot. This feels like one of those games where Tomlin rallies the troops after a tough loss, not to mention the Bills stink on the road. Sure the Bills are trying to bounce back but that might be hard to do since they simply haven’t been the same team on the road. The offense struggles away from Orchard Park and their defense home or away has had trouble stopping pretty much anyone. Sure I have no love for Rodgers but he should be able to dink and dunk his way down the field enough times to keep this game close. Plus if Josh Allen is doing the push all the buttons thing there’s a chance that Pitt just wins this one outright.

Steelers +3 (-105)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: 49ers -5.5, Buccaneers -3.5, Broncos -5.5

I continued to let down this week as the Seahawks let up a garbage time TD to ruin the cover and the Bucs were a complete no show on Sunday night. Hopefully this will be the week we turn it around.

Let’s start with the 49ers vs the Browns. Cleveland looked decent last week in Shedeur’s debut but that was against the Raiders. This week is a different story against San Fran. I like the Niners by at least a touchdown in this one. Take them at -5.5.

Leg two I’m going to give the Bucs another chance in a get right game against the Cardinals. Mayfield is on track to play and the Bucs really need this game. Take them with the spread at – 3.5.

Last of all we have the Broncos and Commanders on Sunday night. The Broncos need the win to keep pace with the Pats atop the AFC and with the Commanders still without Jayden Daniels I expect Denver to win relatively easily in this one. I apologize to my boss here on Bick’s Picks, who will be in attendance to root on his team but I have to go with Denver in this one at -5.5.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: 49ers -5.5, Buccaneers-3.5, Broncos -5.5 (+558)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Parlay: Jets +7.5 and Browns +7.5

Yup that’s right I’m really mixing things up for the Lock this week. After a big day for the Dawgs on Thursday I feel like it’s shaping up to be a big Dawg weekend. Now the true degenerates will immediately notice that I moved the lines and I know some of you will dismiss the pick for that alone but frankly I don’t care. Honestly I was tempted to pick the Dawgs to win outright, that’s how good I feel. Which is also why I had the self awareness to hedge my plums and provide ya’ll with a less risky bet. First I’m riding with Jets because I simply gotta fade Kirk. I’ve seen first hand how bad a windy game at the Jersey Swamp can go for him and on the other side I’m more confident backing the Jets with Tyrod under center. As for the Browns just like last week I’m riding with them because of their game changing defense. I saw how Purdy struggled against the Panthers so I can only imagine what crappy weather and Myles Garrett will do to him. Now again I know what I’m trying to sell you which is why I’m telling you to pick alt spreads. I also realize I’m fading BPOTD but he picked Denver so that paraly doomed anyways right? Right??

Parlay: Jets +7.5 and Browns +7.5 (+120)

Thanksgiving is here people, which once again means family, food, football, hopefully some financial gain and of course Madden quotes. Now some would think a Washington fan like myself wouldn’t have much to be thankful for this year but no matter how much my team stinks, Turkey Day is always the best day. Nothing can beat a day that specifically revolves around eating till you’re uncomfortably full and watching football all day. As always, before I get ahead of myself I do have last week to catch up on. Unfortunately for our friend Matthew that means recapping another BPOTD that came up short, but parlay pain something that I’m all too familiar with. So in the spirit of the holiday I’ll be giving him the day off as the Triducken makes its long awaited return. BPOTD wasn’t the only bet that fell short as the Pats couldn’t quite cover the lofty -13.5 we had picked for the Lock. However not all was lost as the Lions and Jameis hit the Over with ease. Followed by Shedeur and the Browns winning outright for the Dawg in his debut as a starter. But we don’t wanna pat ourselves on the back too much because like the late, great John Madden would say: “Self-praise is for losers. Be a winner. Stand for something. Always have class, and be humble.” Words to live by and it’s exactly what we’re gonna do. So without further delay fill up your plates and let’s get into it.

Feasting Favorites

Lions ML, Chiefs ML and Ravens ML

For those of you new to our Thanksgiving format you might be surprised to see no Dawgs today but we like to switch it up for the holiday. The reason for that is because it’s historically a day when the favorites thrive. Since 2004 favorites are a whopping 51-9 straight up and 40-20 against the spread. Now with numbers like that you’d think we would be cleaning up on this day every year but for the last couple seasons we’ve been burned by Dan Campbell’s ham eating ass coming up short of covering. So instead of rolling the dice on spreads I’m thinking we just parlay all favorites moneylines together. Is it the sexiest pick? No, but honestly it’s one I feel pretty good about. Now if you’re feeling bold I will leave the spread parlay down there just in case but we’ll be sticking to the ML. Either way you wanna bet it here’s hoping we get another chalky Turkey Day.

ML Parlay: Lions ML, Chiefs ML and Ravens ML (+220)

BOLD Parlay: Lions -2.5, Chiefs -3.5, Ravens -7 (+544)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry & Rashee Rice

That’s right people it’s back! Sure the Triducken hasn’t always been our most profitable bet but it’s always held a special place in my heart. As a homage to the Turkducken and Madden it can’t be beat. Sure it typically ends up being more like Subway’s abomination the Turhamken but here’s hoping this year it’s a winner rather than a crappy sandwich with soggy croutons. So after that optimism let’s get into who’s hitting pay dirt and I’m gonna keep it simple. Since we’ve already backed all the favorites, why not bet on the players with the best odds to score for them? Seems almost too simple but honestly it’s a bet I really like. I feel like Gibbs and Henry are locks given their workload and the Cowboys secondary bound to give up some big plays. You could maybe throw Kelce or Hunt in there for Chiefs instead but personally I’m gonna have my turkey with a side of Rice.

Anytime TD Triducken: Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry & Rashee Rice (+282)