Wild Card weekend is here people and I gotta say my excitement and my anxiety is at an all time high. It’s not often I get to enjoy a postseason with my dog in the fight but I’ve also never seen a Washington team win this many games. Some of our readers might not think much of 12 wins in a season but that it’s something our fan base hasn’t seen since 1991. Now I’ll admit we had to pull a few rabbits out of our hat and sometimes our ass to get that many wins but like All Pro wide receiver Terry McLaurin said, we have a flair for the dramatics. However despite getting the win over Dallas last week those dramatics weren’t enough to get a win for Bick’s Picks. We unfortunately ended the regular season with another stinky 1-3 week. Thankfully the Seahawks and Rams made sure the Over hit with ease but nothing else went our way. As aforementioned the Washington didn’t cover their team total for the Lock, the Tiersducken did parlay things and Chiefs quite literally laid down and died for the Broncos. But that’s the past and the second season begins today. We have arguably the best week of the postseason upon us so let’s get into it.

Chargers (-3) @ Texans

The only thing that gives me pause about this game is that almost everyone loves the Chargers. My tin foil hat always gets me worried about riding with the public. But even though the fix is probably in, I’m jumping on the bandwagon. The Texans haven’t looked right all season limping into the playoffs by winning the perennially sad AFC South. Meanwhile Jim Harbaugh might just be what the snakebitten Chargers have needed. They might not be the most electric team but they rarely cough up the ball and quietly have a defense that’s allowed the least amount of points per game. So I’m definitely leaning the Bolts in this postseason opener.

Chargers -3 (-105)

Steelers @ Ravens (-8.5) (O 44.5)

Historically this matchup has delivered us some absolute slobberknockers but the way things are going for these teams it might just be a bloodbath. That’s why I’m willing to tempt fate with such a big spread. Just like the early game this one features two teams trending in opposite directions. Similar to the Texans, Russ and company have limped into the postseason losing their last 4 games losing control of the AFC North. Meanwhile Baltimore seized this opportunity to steal back the division by winning their last 4 games. Getting hot at the right time is sometimes all that matters, nevermind the fact the Ravens are simply the better team. Of course there’s a chance Pittsburgh could slow down Lamar and Tractorcito, they proved they could early this season at home but that was then and this is now. So I’m jumping on the Ravens without hesitation and what’s more I’m sprinkling some the Over because how could I resist betting a Baltimore Over one more time.

Ravens -8.5 (-115)

Over 44.5 (-115)

Week 18 is here people which means our first full season of Bick’s Picks is coming to an end. Unfortunately it wasn’t a banner year for us as we have a 35-43 record going into this final week. However if you’ve followed us this season you’d know my inability to pick parlays shoulders much of the blame. My parlay record is a dismal 2-15 for the season leaving me with a decent 33-28 record without them. There’s a chance parlays could be left off the blog next season but the way I see it it’s not like I could do worse next season right? Now before I get ahead of myself and dump on parlays too much, it bears mentioning that the Tiersducken actually got its first win last week. Maybe some arbitrary bias was just what my parlays needed all along. On top of that the Eagles ran over the Cowboys on their way to covering the Over and even though it was so much closer than it needed to be Washington answered the call covered for the Lock in OT. Alas the perfect week was not meant to be as not even Chuba Hubbard actually playing was gonna save the Panthers from getting blown out by Baker and the Bucs. As always we shouldn’t dwell on our losses for too long after all we got one more chance for a perfect week so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Seahawks @ Rams (38.5)

Just like last week this Sunday slate once again is giving us a bunch of low totals to choose from with 5 games under 40 and only two games with totals projected over 45. Now I’m sure many of you are aware these low totals are a result of teams resting players or simply having nothing to play for. I tried my best to find a game with some juice and a low total but this was the best I could come up with. Despite the Rams resting Stafford and some other starters this matchup features teams with winning records and that’s enough for me. Although they were eliminated from the postseason the Geno and the Seahawks have some significant financial incentives to play for. Then on the flip side I don’t see the Rams just rolling over against a division rival. These teams have played some low scoring affairs in recent weeks but I think a more laid back Week 18 works in the Overs favor.

Over 38.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Chiefs (+10.5) @ Broncos

Sorry Pip I gotta do it. Sure the Broncos desperately need this win and sure the Chiefs are starting Wentz and all the backups but I simply can’t ignore a 15-1 team with a double digit spread. Denver should win this game and Vegas seems to believe they will but I think they’ll have to sweat it out. Sure a bunch of starters are out for the Chiefs but Andy Reid will still be holding his Waffle House menu on the sidelines. Reid is 5-0 since 2007 when his team is a double digit underdog and I highly doubt this Kansas City team will just roll over for a division rival. I hope the Broncos punch their postseason ticket but I don’t think they cover the spread if they do.

Chiefs +10.5 (-105)

The Tiersducken

Jayden Daniels. Need I say more?

1. Jayden Daniels

2. Bo Nix

3. Drake Maye 

4. Michael Penix Jr

6. Caleb Williams 

6. Spencer Rattler

Rather than bore you with a paragraph of hyperboles I’ll just say that I’m so thankful to have Jayden Daniels as my quarterback. In just one season he’s already led Washington to at least 11 wins which we haven’t seen since our Super Bowl winning 1991 season. Needless to say, I’m a very happy man. As for the rest of the list they get to stay exactly where they are. I will tip my cap to Penix for forcing OT and playing a pretty good game against Washington but man that lefty delivery can be kinda gross. As for the picks I’ll keep it real simple. Everyone sucks but Jayden. You’ll notice Drake Maye is absent but that’s only because pretty much all of his props are unavailable. Vegas seems to think he might not play for long but either way he escapes the wrath of my interception predictions. Fade it, dread it or avoid it, here’s the last Tiersducken of the season.

Tiersducken Parlay: Jayden Daniels 2+ Passing TDs, Michael Penix Jr. Over .5 Interceptions, Spencer Rattler Over .5 Interceptions, Bo Nix Over .5, Caleb Williams Over .5, (+2146)  

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Commanders (Over 26.5) @ Cowboys

Oops! Would you look at that my bias is showing again. Truth be told there were a handful of bets I considered but my brain has been saying Beat Dallas all week. Now typically this would be a spread bet but when creeped to a full 7 points I thought this was the better bet. Sure Washington is on to the playoffs but they still have seeding to play for and I think the players are eager to get some revenge for losing earlier in the season. All the starters who are healthy are playing and there’s no reason that the offense shouldn’t be all gas and no brakes in an effort to blow out Dallas. Add that with the fact Trey Lance is starting there’s no reason we shouldn’t win and hit this total.

Commanders Team Total Over 26.5 (+102) 

Week 17 is still here people and simply put, yesterday could have gone better. As always I stand by my picks but we would have been better served just waiting till Sunday as we went 0-3 for Saturday slate. Maybe it’s because I didn’t give a proper shoutout to everyone in attendance (sorry Benjamin!) but the Pats simply never showed up. Last week I was on the Patriots Over when I shoulda been on the spread and this week I was on the spread when I shoulda been on the Over. Next up was Broncos +3.5 and if you watched that game you know why that was such a bad beat. So many opportunities to win that bet only to have Tee Higgins steal all our money in the last minute of overtime. Then the nightcap was just an annoying bet as the Rams won in the end but of course we didn’t cover the -6.5. At least the interception Kyler Murray threw off of Trey McBride’s face was a pretty neat way to end the game. Some of you were smart enough to have the foresight to fade me but if you didn’t, don’t worry we got plenty of games to chase our losses with today so let’s get into it.  

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Cowboys @ Eagles (37.5)

This Sunday slate is giving us a bunch of low totals to choose from with 5 games with totals under 40. The thing is most of these games are gross and to be honest this one is no exception. A QB matchup between Cooper Rush and Kenny Pickett is not anything either of these teams wanted to see but here we are. On top of that CeeDee Lamb was also ruled out for the rest of the season which lowers the star power even more. However despite how ugly this game suddenly is, this total has dropped way too low for me to not jump. So hold your nose and take a dive with me.

Over 37.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Panthers (+10) @ Buccaneers

Last time we rode with Carolina some degenerate had staked $3.1M on the Eagles ML so we had to fade. To my knowledge there aren’t any insane bets on Tampa but nevertheless this number is too big for me to ignore. I honestly had to double check that they weren’t dealing with some big injury because they’ve been playing too well for this to be over a touchdown. Chuba has been running like a man possessed and the Bryce Young resurrection has helped the Panthers cover 6 of their last 7 games. Sure Baker Mayfield is 4-0 in this rivalry but we don’t need Sir Purr and company to win, we just need them to cover.

Panthers +10 (-121)

The Tiersducken

I won’t lie, I really wanted to make this list all Jayden’s name because after that 5 touchdown performance against the Eagles he separated himself from the pack and locked up the Rookie of the Year award. Philly fans will cry Kenny Pickett but JD5 is the one who was able to shake off 6 team turnovers and lit up one of the best defenses in football to steal an unexpected victory. However as I’ve said before this isn’t a Washington blog so I have to give the others their due.

1. Jayden Daniels

2. Bo Nix

3. Drake Maye 

4. Michael Penix Jr

6. Caleb Williams 

6. Spencer Rattler

As you can see the tiers remain the same this week as no one did good enough or bad enough to move. I’ve already covered Jayden’s greatness but props to Bo for a solid albeit a losing performance against the Bengals yesterday. I won’t bash Drake Maye too much because he was banged up but I’m not gonna try to put lipstick on 40-7 pig of a loss. Penix looked solid enough in his debut but the Giants blow so I’m taking that with a grain of salt. Then I’m just lumping the last two losers together because that’s what Caleb Williams and Spencer Rattler deserve. As for the picks we only got 3 players left to play so maybe the Tiersducken has a chance! But who are we kidding, it’s a parlay right? So why not let my bias take the reins. So let’s say Jayden throws a pair of TDs and the other two throw a pick. 

Tiersducken Parlay: Jayden Daniels 2+ Passing TDs, Michael Penix Jr. Over .5 Interceptions, Spencer Rattler Over .5 Interceptions (+472)  

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Falcons @ Commanders (-3.5)

After that biased Tiersducken did you expect anything else for the Lock? Much like the previous times I’ve put Washington as my Lock, it’s me challenging them to take care of business. Win and we’re in the playoffs. It’s that simple. This is our last home game and this is Penix’s first road start. This is an opportunity we can’t squander. Sure part of me is spooked by failures past but that was before Jayden. Anything is possible with that kid under center so let’s get this win so we’re not sweating out Week 18.

Commanders -3.5 (-102) 

Week 17 is here people I hope all our readers had a Merry Christmas and are having a Happy Hanukkah. Now I did promise a Christmas blog but since I was hungover/sick/dead it just happens to be coming a few days late. In case you missed it, I know I basically did, there have been 3 games before we even got to the weekend slate. The outcomes for those games were somewhat predictable which was a missed opportunity for the blog but at the same time it was some ugly football. The NFL might be learning there could be something to the phrase “too much of a good thing”. However much like the NFL I’m gonna ignore detractors like Lebron and lean into football every day. So even though Bick’s Picks didn’t deliver on Christmas we’ll have plenty of picks to choose from this weekend. Now before we dive into those picks we have our obligatory recap of shame. Sure the Vikings barely came through for the Lock but the Over, the Dawg and the Tiersducken all fell short. As a man of honor I have to admit my mistakes and give credit where credit is due, the Pats +14 was the move all along. Now they didn’t get the win for Jeff and Shellie but they sure gave Buffalo a helluva game and the wings alone sounded worth the trip. As for this week we’ll be splitting into two picks two blogs so that’s enough banter let’s get into it.

Christmas Hangovers

Chargers @ Patriots(+6), Broncos(+3.5) @ Bengals, Cardinals @ Rams(-6.5)

I figured since I’m celebrating the holiday with my family today, what better way to make up for missing Christmas games by picking all the Saturday games instead? For the first game of the day Bick’s Picks will once again be supporting friends of the blog who are in attendance, shout out to Brady, Jon and Josh D. However I know attendance juju alone can’t justify a pick and the real reason I’m riding with the Pats is impressed by the game the Pats gave Buffalo last weekend. Maye continues to flash franchise QB potential and the defense might’ve cost Josh Allen the MVP award. I think they hang tough and possibly steal a win against a soft west coast team on a rainy December day in Foxboro. The next game has lots of juice as the Broncos and Bengals are fighting for their wildcard lives. Not to mention I really like the number. +3.5 jumped out at me right away and even if Denver fails to win outright I think they keep it within a field goal against a Cinci team that is 0-7 against teams with winning records this season. Then we end Saturday with the game I probably feel best about and that’s the Rams. With the Cardinals officially eliminated from playoff contention I got the feeling this could get ugly. Sure LA lost badly in Arizona earlier in the season but that was without Puka and Kupp. These teams are going in completely different directions and I’m betting that continues. I plan to bet each of these games on their own so parlay at your own risk because you know how those go here.

Patriots+6 (-125)

Broncos +3.5 (-120)

Rams -6.5 (-112)

Week 16 is here people but I’m sure most of you were aware of that because we’ve already got 3 games in the books. It’s not an exaggeration to say the holiday season now belongs to the NFL as we’re getting 8 days of games over an 11 day period. Personally I’m all for it especially with the expanded College Football Playoff being a bunch of boring one sided affairs. My apologies for slacking yesterday, could’ve gotten us some easy wins, but don’t worry Bick’s Picks will deliver a special blog Christmas morning. However I’m getting a little ahead of myself as I’ve still got last week to complain about and my only real gripe is with Tua. Dude outright stunk and blew that Over all on his own. The Tiersducken also missed but I’m not gonna say I’m surprised. To say parlays haven’t been my thing this season would be putting it kindly as I have a 1-14 record with them. Those are truly numbers only the Tankathon could love. Fortunately for us the Broncos and Bills came through for the Lock and the Dawg to save our week. Despite another 2-2 week and my deep-seated hatred for parlays I still feel like we can get that perfect week before the season ends so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Patriots @ Bills (46.5)

Full disclosure I had two other Over write ups completed but I threw em out just because I needed to bet this game. We got friends of the blog Jeff and Shellie in attendance so we gotta support the squad. Heck it worked for Pip in Denver why not for a couple Pats fans in Buffalo. Apologies for not being bold enough to bet the +14, but I do think the Pats show up and put up some points. Now even though the Patriots fans in attendance got me on this total the real reason I can confidently bet it is Josh Allen. The dude has been putting up insane numbers and I think they’re gonna try to pad those MVP stats so they’ll be all gas no breaks. Really would love an upset here but a fun high scoring shootout would also be just as good.

Over 46.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Giants (+9.5) @ Falcons

I’m not even sure how I managed to talk myself into this pick but here we are. The Giants are arguably the worst team in football but man this is a big number against a middling team debuting their rookie qb. I’m not even gonna try and hype up the Giants this is simply a pick fading the Falcons. Penix could prove me wrong and go off in this game but I have the feeling they’re gonna try to play it safe which plays into a close game where the G-Men cover late. I do wish it was +10 so a push was in play but I’m hoping over TD is enough and if not at least I can dump on New York next week.

Giants +9.5 (-110)

The Tiersducken

Sound the alarm we have new additions to the tiers! The Falcons finally did the humane thing and sent old Kirk out to pasture so Penix makes his debut. And I guess I have to write about Spencer Rattler because the Saints feel my parlays aren’t garbage enough. 

1. Jayden Daniels

2. Bo Nix

3. Drake Maye 

4. Michael Penix Jr

5. Caleb Williams

6. Spencer Rattler

The tiers remain pretty much the same aside from me putting Penix ahead of Caleb Williams. Why? Because Caleb Williams sucks of course. As for the picks I’m gonna try to keep it “simple” and roll the dice on who throws picks. First a little wishful thinking I’m gonna say JD5 doesn’t throw a pick. Then I hate to do it because we got friends of the blog in Buffalo today but I’m gonna say Drake Maye throws a pick today. Honestly I don’t even think it’ll be one that’s on him more likely one of his receivers tips it to a defender but unfortunately those still count. Next pick even though he sucks will be Caleb to not throw a pick. Despite my criticisms he’s often been careful with the ball but that’s because a lot of his passes are in the dirt but hey as long it’s not to the wrong team right? Then for the two rookies making their debut on the tier I say Penix plays it safe and Rattler throws a pick to Green Bay’s ballhawking secondary. Fade it, dread it and honestly avoid it, here’s this week’s parlay.

Tiersducken Parlay: Interceptions Thrown O/U: Jayden Daniels Under .5, Michael Penix Jr. Over .5, Drake Maye Over .5, Caleb Williams Under .5, Spencer Rattler Over .5 (+1932)  

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Vikings (-2.5) @ Seahawks

I’ve been burned by the Vikings before but as you all know I can be a stubborn slow learner. Truth is as soon as I saw this line dip below a field goal I had to bounce. As much as I distrust Darnold I probably think Geno sucks twice as much. Add that with the fact he’s one bad hit away from us getting a Sam Howell game I have to take the Vikings here. I of course have love for Howell but the dude takes a billion sacks and no one likes to dial up the blitz more than Brian Flores. I really hope Darnold gets his mistakes out of the way early so we don’t have to sweat this out.

Vikings -2.5 (-115)

Simple and easy Rams -2.5

Mike Evans over 90 receiving yards

Eagles ML

Drake Maye over 20.5 completions

No write up needed for any just trust.

Week 15 is here people which means the bye week madness is finally over and we have ourselves a full slate of NFL games to choose from. Now we did struggle a bit with all those byes, but not last week as we managed to have ourselves a winning week. We didn’t have to sweat the Over, the Panthers covered for the Dawg nearly winning outright and Jameis threw just enough interceptions to make sure the Steelers covered for the Lock. Heck even the intern almost got the Triducken a win as it only came up a leg short because of Jets things. Things are trending up for us here at Bick’s Picks and maybe it’s just the holiday season or that big UConn win over Gonzaga but I’m brimming with optimism so let’s get into it. 

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Dolphins @ Texans (46.5)

What can I say when something works I have a tendency to keep doing it until it doesn’t. Now of course that strategy has failed me before but in this case I feel confident running it back with the Fins. Sure they’re not at home but playing in a dome should be just fine for this warm weather team. On the flip side I’ve been admittedly down on the Stroud boys as they just haven’t seemed right this season but I think coming off the bye they’ll be up for a shootout. On paper this is the best 1pm game and I think it’ll live up to that expectation. Not to mention I love this number so let’s run it back with another Dolphins Over.

Over 46.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Bills (+2.5) @ Lions

There’s a bunch of games that I thought about for this spot as I feel like this could be the weekend of the Dawg, but in the end I just wanted to bet on this game. In a slate of great games this Super Bowl preview sits at the top and as a football fan it’s a must watch. To be honest I stayed up way too late at a Christmas party so I don’t have the time or mental energy to explain my logic, but we’re circling the wagons here at Bick’s Picks. I just think the Lions are overdue for a letdown and there’s no QB playing better than Josh Allen. If anyone can make Dan Campbell pay for his “bold” decision making it’s Allen. Now I do wish this number was +3 so we had the push in our back pocket but Vegas knows what they’re doing and wants us to sweat this out till the very end. No matter the outcome here’s hoping this game lives up to the hype but at the same time a Buffalo blowout would be pretty cool too just saying.

Bills +2.5 (-105)

The Tiersducken

The Tiersducken is back! Now is it a winning segment? Let’s not talk crazy but at the very least I don’t have to slam my head into a wall like Gus Frerotte trying to pick a TD parlay. Now without further ado our rankings.

1. Jayden Daniels

2. Bo Nix

3. Drake Maye 

4. Caleb Williams

Predictably there’s been no movement with our tiers as JD5 reigns supreme but I would be a liar if I didn’t say Bo Nix was breathing down his neck. Meanwhile Drake Maye continues to impress in a bad situation and Caleb Williams sucks. Now last time I kept it simple and just did O/U interceptions for each of the rookies but that didn’t work out. This time I’m doing all sorts of stat props so read carefully. Also I’m aware the Bears play on MNF so you’ll have to be patient for this to pay out but knowing my parlay luck it’ll be dead by 430p today. Either way fade it, dread it or be confused by it here’s Tiersducken parlay.

Tiersducken Parlay: Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 Passing TDs, Bo Nix Over 1.5 Passing TDs, Drake Maye Over 28.5 Rushing Yards, Caleb Williams Over 25.5 Rushing Yards (+1298)  

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Colts @ Broncos (-4.5)

I legit got no time for witty write up or any sort of fun stats but that doesn’t matter because I love this spot for the Broncos. I just can’t talk myself into the Colts covering this number on the road and add with the fact my cousin Pip is in the building for this game I got to hammer it in support. So don’t think about it, just Bolieve and bet it.

Broncos -4.5 (-110) 

Week 14 is here people which means the last bye week of the season and more likely than not the last week before fantasy football playoffs. I don’t know about the rest of you but for me it feels like this season has been flying by at an absolute clip. Perhaps it’s true what they say about time flying when you’re having fun because I’ve certainly been enjoying the 2024 season. November was rough but Washington got back in the win column by dominating the Titans, while also securing a win for our Lock. The Steelers came through for our Dawg and beat the Bengals in what turned out to be the highest scoring game of the season. However as many of you know the perfect week remains elusive as Justin Tucker single-footedly killed the Over and the Triducken was the Triducken. Another 2-2 week wasn’t the outcome we were hoping for but we try to have a short memory here at Bick’s Picks so without further delay let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Jets @ Dolphins (45)

Even though I gave Justin Tucker crap for blowing the Over I’ll admit it was on me that we bet it. After all I called it’d be a slow start, I called the kickers untrustable liabilities and I knew betting the highest total was a risk but I pissed into the wind anyways. My bad people. Thankfully for us and Baltimore the Ravens are on their bye week so we can avoid making the same mistake back to back weeks. Instead I’m gonna look to a team that helped us cover several Overs last season and that’s the Dolphins. Sure they struggled in the cold last week but they’re back at home where they’ve been putting up points in bunches. Add that with the fact they’ve won 8 straight at home vs the Jets I bet they aim to keep that streak alive. On the flip side, sure Rodgers is a squid but we only need them to put up a couple scores so fingers crossed they can manage that while Tua and company do the heavy lifting to get us to our total.

Over 45 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Panthers (+14) @ Eagles

Simply put I couldn’t stay away from this spread especially after I heard some lunatic bet $3.1 million on the Eagles moneyline. It’s not every Sunday you get the chance to fade one of the largest bets ever on an NFL regular season game. Now I won’t go as bold as to say we should jump on Carolina’s ML but they’ve been frisky enough as of late that I definitely like them to cover. Philly has been slow to start games and hopefully that helps them keep it close early on. Plus with the Eagles already looking ahead to the playoffs and trying to avoid injury I could easily see a backdoor cover when they take their foot off the gas. Again I won’t go as far as to call an upset but I had to ride with Sir Purr at least once this season.

Panthers +14 (-112)

The Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Braelon Allen, Zach Charbonnet, Isaac Guerendo

Don’t worry people, the Tiersducken will be back next week so we’ll only get one more Triducken for the regular season. I’m truly fed up with picking TD scorers so I’ve outsourced this pick to an intern. Even though technically I didn’t come up with this parlay myself it gets my stamp of approval for whatever that’s worth. So fade it, avoid it or dread it the backup back intern parlay is here and maybe just maybe we nab ourselves a win.

Anytime TD Triducken: Braelon Allen, Zach Charbonnet, Isaac Guerendo (+548)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Browns @ Steelers (-6.5)

Betting Tomlin trends worked last week so why not ride with him again. For his entire coaching career will.i.am has never lost to the same QB twice in the same season and call me crazy I think Jameis used up most of his luck winning that snow game on Thursday Night Football. On top of that it’s been 20 years since Cleveland won in Pittsburgh and that’s a streak that won’t be broken. Aside from historical stats, Russ has the moon ball cooking and Pickens is good to go so I’m hammering the Steelers. And maybe sprinkle some on a Steelers Defensive TD while you’re at it because no matter the team we know how much Jameis loves to throw TDs .

Steelers -6.5 (-118)

Week 13 is here people which means I’m really hoping it will be a December to remember after we had November to forget here at Bick’s Picks. Thanksgiving was unfortunately no different as the Lions have continued their annual tradition of disappointing me. To add insult to injury along with failing to cover Detroit also let the Triducken die a slow death by settling field goals. However those smart enough to let cheese stand alone would have profited as the Pack dominated Miami at Lambeau. Prior to Turkey Day our Week 12 was also a bust with only Green Bay coming through for us as the Over, Dawg and Tiersducken all failed. Now for this week because of the holiday we’re once again dealing with a small slate of games but I’m hoping that will only narrow our focus. We’re in the home stretch of the season folks, teams are making the playoff push and I say we make ours so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Eagles @ Ravens (50.5)

Admittedly just betting the highest total of the week is the opposite of playing it safe and going for “guaranteed” wins but I can’t resist a Baltimore Over. My potential gambling mistakes aside, this battle of the birds is easily the game of the week and some might consider it a Super Bowl preview. Regardless of where you think these teams are headed, Hurts vs Lamar and Henry vs Barkley are matchups all football fans should enjoy watching. Those dynamic backfields are also why I like this Over so much. This one might start a little slow as both these teams feel each other out but at the end of the day we know they’re capable of scoring. The only thing that gives me pause is that both team’s once reliable kickers have turned into untrustable liabilities. Even though I’m still recovering from the devastating performance of a kicker I’m gonna keep betting that crabcakes and Overs is what Maryland does.

Over 50.5 (-115)

Fade Dawgs

Steelers (+3) @ Bengals

Your eyes do not deceive you the Steelers are in fact the Dawg in this AFC North matchup. Despite having a losing record the Bengals find themselves favorites at home coming off their bye. It seems that Vegas is buying into the Burrow’s usual second half resurgence but personally I can’t ignore the chance to back a Tomlin underdog. Pittsburgh is undefeated as a Dawg this season and for his career will.i.am has a 25-9-2 division record against the spread. Let’s not overthink this one and back the team with the winning record.

Steelers +3 (-110)

The Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Mike Evans, AJ Brown, Justin Jefferson

Just like a bad penny the Triducken keeps turning up. The Tiersducken is on hiatus as there has been no tiers movement and honestly I also didn’t plan for what I’d do if all 4 didn’t play on Sunday so here we are. My complaining and inability to a TD parlay aside I do really like these guys to score a TD so apologies to anyone who owns them in fantasy. First is Mike Evans who failed to find pay dirt in his return last week but I’m guessing Baker corrects that against Carolina. Next up is AJ Brown against a Ravens secondary that has allowed the most TDs (16) to receivers this season. Lastly is Justin Jefferson who is coming off his worst performance of the season so I expect an overcorrection. Fade it, avoid it or dread it, that’s this week’s Triducken.

Anytime TD Triducken: Mike Evans, AJ Brown, Justin Jefferson (+937)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Titans @ Commanders (-6)

Much like the game earlier in the season against the Giants this is me calling out Washington and betting them to take care of business against a worse team. I won’t ignore this 3 game losing streak and it’s hard to deny that Jayden has regressed but this is absolutely a spot where they should cover if they’re a better team than last season. They’re saying all the right things and seem poised to rebound so call me foolish I’m still bought in. Much like Adam Peters tossing every player Ron Rivera drafted aside I’m stuffing my anxiety and dread deep down and betting on my boys.

Commanders -6 (-108)