Week 3 is here people and in case you didn’t know it’s backup season. After 2 weeks of action we’ve already got 5 teams forced to start backup QBs because of injury. Not to brag but Bick’s Picks started this backup trend last week when Matthew Brady answered the call after my recurring case of sucking at parlays flared up again. Unfortunately Brady’s Parlay of the Day fell just short on its debut week because Mr. Swift got a case of the dropsies at the goalline. On the other hand if you can believe it, Bick’s Picks was actually able to cobble together a winning week. First the Pats got a dramatic win for the Dawgs and the Rams finally took care of business for the Lock. Of course it wasn’t a perfect week though as we somehow managed to pick the one Over that didn’t hit. Honestly that one is probably on me but I find it much easier to blame all the problems in my life on the Eagles so fuck Philly. But as always we’re not here to stress our losses, we’re here to pick winners so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Bengals @ Vikings (41.5)

Typically the Over has been kind to us here at Bick’s Picks but so far we couldn’t be more wrong. I thought maybe I’d lost my touch but then I remembered everything is the Eagles fault. After that moment of clarity I started scouring the totals for that low number I just can’t say no to, which brought me here. Now I know what you’re about to say: doesn’t this game feature two backup QBs? Yes it does and I don’t care. Despite both of these teams turning to QB2 this was 41.5 total that felt right. Even without Burrow the Bengals whole team is built around the offense and when thrust into action Jake Browning has proven he can put up numbers. On the other side I’m certainly not gonna hype up Carson Wentz but he should be more competent than what we’ve seen from JJ McCarthy. At the very least Wentz finally gets to throw to Justin Jefferson which should give Philly fans some Jalen Raegor PTSD so that’s neat. I’ll admit this Over comes with some risk but if Jake Browning’s fiance is wearing her iconic white bodysuit we’ll cruise to this total with ease.

Over 41.5 (-115)

Fade Dawgs

Steelers @ Patriots (ML)

Yup that’s right somehow I’m once again hitching my wagon to the Pats. Living a stone’s throw from Gillette Stadium is clearly poisoning my mind because this was the Dawg I liked the most and it wasn’t really close. But I want to be clear this is less a New England thing and more a “man I really wanna see Aaron Rodgers fail spectacularly thing”. I can’t stand the whole guy’s shtick and would love to see him fall flat on his mopey face. I’ll also add I did like the resiliency Vrabel and company showed against the Dolphins. There were several moments where they had to respond and actually did unlike the Mayo led team we saw the season before. So just like last week, sorry in advance to the Foxboro faithful but I gotta ride with you again.

Patriots ML (-102)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Eagles ML, Jets +6.5, Chiefs -6

In a rematch of probably the most entertaining playoff game from last season the Rams visit the Eagles today. Two undefeated teams so far going into Week 3 and with the Rams doing so against a couple bad AFC South teams they will need to prove they are for real against the defending champs. I expect a close game but I lean Philly here until the Rams prove they can beat them. The Jets vs Buccaneers is leg number 2 this week. A battle between two teams that are pretty banged up. The Bucs offensive line is in shambles right now and Fields is out for the Jets. Have no fear though, an old friend of Jake the editor of this site, Tyrod Taylor is playing and I think he will help the Jets keep it close! Take the points here with the Jets. And finally leg number 3, they have let me down twice already this year. Once in a survivor pool week 1 and last week they killed the debut of Brady’s Parlay of the Day with their dud against the Eagles. Third time’s the charm though and I’m taking the Chiefs to win their first game of the season on the road against a very bad Giants team. If they lose this week we might have to start talking about the Chiefs dynasty being over but I think it survives one more week. Bet it all on the Chiefs by at least a touchdown in this one.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Eagles ML, Jets +6.5, Chiefs -6 (+465)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Raiders @ Commanders (-2.5)

Did you really think we were gonna make it through a Bick’s Picks without me mentioning Washington? Of course I gotta address the elephant in the room, yes I know Jayden is not playing but frankly that shouldn’t matter. Now don’t get me wrong this team ALWAYS has a better chance with JD5 under center but this is a game that this veteran team should win without him. Now I say veteran team because as some of you might not know this Commanders team actually has the oldest 53 man roster in the league. Sure that does mean we look a little slow at times, looking at you Wagner, but all that experience should also be a strength. Despite my initial doubts when we signed him Mariota proved that he was more than capable of filling in last season when needed and I expect him to do the same today. We also get the benefit of some extra rest and preparation after playing on TNF Week 2. Now I am whistling past the Raiders a little bit but I’ll be honest aside from Brock Bowers and maybe Jeanty there’s not a whole lot that worries me about their team. Don’t get me wrong of course I’m stressing this game but that doesn’t change the fact we should win at home against an inferior opponent. So just like Week 1 let’s #RaiseHail and prove that this team is here to stay.

Commanders -2.5 (-120)

Week 2 is here people and I’ll spare you the excuses and just say that so far we’ve sucked at Bick’s Picks. A 1-7 start is almost as bad as it gets. After whiffing on the openers we kept the bad times rolling with our Week 1 selections. First we had a pitiful Over bet that only got 23 points of the 43.5 that we needed. Second we ignored the fact the Dolphins suck and apparently missed the offseason report that Daniel Jones made some sort of deal with the devil this offseason. After that it should come as no surprise the TD Parlay was a flop but more on that in a minute. And lastly we did at least manage to steal one win when Washington covered against the Giants. Of course those good feelings for me quickly faded after Jayden and company got embarrassed on Thursday Night Football. So needless to say vibes aren’t at an all time high here but why do we fall? So we learn to pick ourselves up and chase those losses. Now earlier I did mention I had more to say about the parlay and I’m happy to share one of our readers actually threw their hat in the ring with a little write up. My parlay struggles have prompted many of you to say they could do better and for once we got some nuts on the table so with that tease let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Eagles @ Chiefs (46.5)

Before we can dive into guest picks you got mine to get through so buckle up. There are few things I like to bet more than an Over simply because it can be a fun bet to watch. Who doesn’t like TDs and watching the numbers go up? Which is exactly why I picked the game that figures to be the matchup of the day and one that features players known to do some scoring. Sure you might be tired of seeing these two teams, God knows I am but this Super Bowl rematch should have more than enough juice to get us to the Over. And if not I guess I get to bitch about the Iggles AGAIN. 

Over 46.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Patriots (ML) @ Dolphins

I’ll keep this one short and sweet because I’m sure Pats fans will already be bothered by them being featured in my Picks to begin with but I’ve had this one circled since last Sunday. I simply can’t shake how bad the Dolphins looked. Sure they NEED this game but frankly they needed that game last week and got embarrassed in Indy. Right now McDaniel’s seat is hotter than the vape pen he’s been stress hitting on the sidelines and no player’s only meeting is gonna save him. In classic Bick’s Picks fashion I’m gonna whistle right by everything I saw from New England week 1 because frankly we didn’t see a whole lot that gives you faith in this pick. But the plums say that Drake Maye shows us something today and the Vrabel era gets its 1st win.

Patriots ML (+105)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Chiefs ML, Lions ML, Ravens -6.5

Brady’s parlay of the day features playoff teams from last year that didn’t get the job done in week 1. All 3 teams need a win this week as teams that start 0-2 historically do not make the postseason. First you have the Chiefs in a Super Bowl rematch at home. The NFL will not allow their darlings to start 0-2. The Lions at home against the Bears is my least confident of these picks but the Bears suck and Detroit needs a rebound. The Ravens lost a heart-breaker to Buffalo and will take it out on their division rival Browns. I moved the line a little down to 6.5, but I expect the Ravens to take care of business.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Chiefs ML, Lions ML, Ravens -6.5 (+292)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Rams (-5.5) @ Titans

Shout out to Matthew Brady for his first write up hopefully it’s a welcomed addition to our lineup of picks. For the few of you that are wondering, don’t you worry the Triducken will rear its ugly head again at some point but for now it’s taking a well deserved break. Now that’s enough about that though back to our regularly scheduled programming and the only pick that’s actually hit for us, the Lock. I won’t even try to downplay it at all, I love this pick. I’m all over the Rams this week not only with this pick but also Survivor Pool. Some of you might try to say that Tennessee was scrappy against Denver but I watched that nonsense and I can tell you that was all Bo trying to throw that game away. Even when Cam Ward managed to make a competent play it was inexplicably dropped. The Titans look like a team that’s gonna struggle to do much of anything all season and the fact they’ve failed to cover 8 straight games at home makes me like this even more. LA should run away with this game or at the very least control the game where we don’t have to worry about this cover. So I’m riding with Puka and company roll and give the Lock another easy win.

Rams -5.5 (-108)

It’s officially the first Sunday of the NFL season and man does it feel good to be back. No matter how today goes, the fact that’s a full slate of football we can just sit down and enjoy is a great feeling. It’s also gonna feel great to put those openers behind us because they went as bad as they could go for us. An 0-4 start is the complete opposite of what we had in mind and the way those games started for our side it almost seemed like the fix was in vs Bick’s Picks. The first game had Jalen Carter getting tossed immediately for spitting on that Dak and then in the next game we had Mr. Swift murdering Xavier Worthy on the first drive. Oh and don’t even get me started on what that lightning delay did to the Over. At the end of the day though I’m not at all surprised the Eagles found a way to piss me off and frankly the Chiefs actually losing is a nice change of pace. But as you all know we don’t dwell on our losses here at Bick’s Picks we chase them and there’s plenty of winning bets on this Sunday slate. For the few of you that might be new here, a quick refresher on our format we got an Over, a Dawg, a TD Parlay I’ll regret immediately and my Lock of the week. Maybe at some point this season we might have a couple guest picks to shake things up but for now you just my picks to fade so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Texans @ Rams (43.5)

For whatever reason this game was calling my name all week. Perhaps it was because my cousin Jesse was calling me all week talking about the Rams but nevertheless I’m liking this number. Don’t get me wrong, the concern that Stafford’s back could explode at any time gives me pause but other that I like these teams to do some scoring. The Texans are hoping their re-vamped OL can give Stroud more time and that’s what I’m betting on too. Even if he is running for his life hopefully he can find Nico enough times to add to the total. Meanwhile if Stafford stays alive Puka and Davante should keep that offense moving till Kyren vultures the scores. Week 1 can be a wild one and hopefully this is one of the shoot outs we don’t have to sweat out.

Over 43.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Dolphins (+1.5) @ Colts

I’m not gonna lie Week 1 is always a tricky week for me to pick a Dawg and I feel like I’m kinda cheating with this one because of how close the line is. But you know what these are my picks and my brain struggles to process the concept of Daniel Jones even being a slight favorite. Sure the Dolphins come with their share of question marks and drama but because this is make it or break it time for the McDaniels era I think they come out and try to make a statement. Even if the Dolphins start slow at the very least you’d think they have the weapons to come back or at the very least keep it close against a team that’s likely just trying to control the rock and avoid turnovers. However if Reek, Waddle and Achane are running free early I can’t see Vanilla Vick mounting some big comeback. Also add the fact the Colts have been a horrible Week 1 team against the spread with a 2-12-1 record over the last 15 seasons. Now because this line is kinda gross you might just want to take the ML but I’ll take the points just in case.

Dolphins +1.5 (-118)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin, Derrick Henry

For those of you who don’t remember I was DREADFUL at parlays last year heck I even retired them for the Tiersducken where I ranked the rookie qbs. That was a fun change of pace but let’s be honest, that was just an excuse for me to talk more about Jayden Daniels. Either way I’m not one to back down from a challenge and also enough of you give me crap that I gotta at least try to get one of these right. So first we got what I feel like is an obvious one in Mike Evans because it feels like the guy always scores Week 1. Next is Terry because my bias had to break through eventually and because I feel like there will be a point made to give him the ball after all the hold out nonsense. Last is Tractorcito because even though we’ll have to wait for it to hit I feel like it’s one of the safer bets today. So dread it or fade it the TD Triducken arrives all the same.

Anytime TD Triducken: Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin, Derrick Henry (+896)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Giants @ Commanders (-6)

I won’t hide from the bias oozing out of this pick because this one is as much of a homer pick as you’ll ever get. Don’t get me wrong, the dread and concern I’ve had all week, heck the dread I’ve had since the schedule released about this Week 1 division trap definitely gives me pause. But frankly I’m sick of the sophomore slump talk and all talk about steps back. This is a game that Washington should win and should win by a TD. That said, given my current betting luck and our team’s history of disappointment I don’t expect many of you to jump on this with me and I don’t blame you. The +6 for the Giants is a trendy pick but you know damn well we would never do something like that here at Bick’s Picks. None of that soft ass fading our fandom crap we’re riding with our guys because that’s what we do here. Time to #RaiseHail and prove that this team is here to stay.

Commanders -6 (-112)

The day has finally come, football is officially back! Which means whether you like it or not so is Bick’s Picks. You might’ve thought the NFC Championship or the Eagles winning another Super Bowl would’ve been the end of me but not so fast. Sure the cesspool they call Philly certainly tried to kill me but decades of Dan Snyder disappointment has made me too strong. Speaking of disappointment though, last season wasn’t a banner year either here at Bick’s Picks. Unfortunately we finished below .500 with a (46-52) record for the 2024 season which gives us an all time (84-86-1) record. As I said to start last year, settling for that type of Jeff Fisher mediocrity is not in our DNA. You all expect better and so do I. So double check you got the 10 necessary streaming services and make sure you brought your own smelling salts because the quest for a winning record starts tonight, let’s get into it.

Cowboys @ Eagles(-8.5)(1H -4.5)(Over 48.5)

Frankly I’m not sure where to start so I’ll just state the obvious, I hate both these teams. Having to pick an NFC East team to win that isn’t Washington is something that never feels right. However going into this game there was a very clear victor in my mind and that’s unfortunately the Eagles. I very very stubbornly refused to bet them down the stretch last season despite everything screaming in my face that it was probably the move so I’m gonna try to do the unthinkable and learn from my mistakes. On top of that everything leading up to this game feels like Philly should absolutely roll. We haven’t even heard a Dak “Yeaaaa here we go” and it feels like the Cowboys are already punting on the season. There’s no doubt their pass game should put up some numbers but it’s literally everything else that’s a cause for concern. The defense has holes everywhere and that was before Jerry shipped Micah out of town. On the other side the hater in me wants to try and say the Eagles will take a step back but aside from some questions about their secondary there’s honestly no reason for me to believe they will. That’s why I’m thinking Philly takes control early and never looks back. So gimme the 1st Half spread, the full game spread and the Over because life’s too short to bet it any other way. Giddy up.

Eagles 1H -4.5 (-112)

Eagles -8.5 (-110)

Over 48.5 (-110)

Parlay at Your Own Risk (+355)

The I Hope You Have YouTube Game

Forget the Chiefs vs Chargers game for one second so I can bitch about the clown show that is NFL streaming. In 2025 we gotta have YouTubeTV, Netflix, Peacock, Prime, Paramount, ESPN on top of just having cable for the local games on Fox and CBS just so we can watch all the games. Nevermind the fact that NFL Ticket costs $500+ and doesn’t even get you all the games anymore. Oh and did I mention that StreamsEast is dead and RedZone will have commercials? Needless to say this crap rustles my jimmies something fierce. But hey what can we do? The NFL knows we’re hooked and they’re taking advantage. That’s enough of my old man’s grievances though, there is actually a game to talk about even if you can’t find it on tv. Since I’ve already been rambling I’ll keep it simple and I’ll just say I’m riding with Mahomes and the Chiefs. You can definitely argue that KC over-performed last season and could finally be ready for a down year but I’ll believe it when I see it. Sure this game will end up being close but a field goal spread is just close enough to make me ride with the team that’s proven they can pull it out even when they really shouldn’t. -3 is a little annoying but at worst I think we push.

Chiefs -3 (-115)