New England Patriots (6-6) vs. Arizona Cardinals (4-8)

The Spread: Patriots (-2)

Plain and simple this is a must win game for the Patriots. With a win they can vault themselves back into the playoff picture as the 7 seed. With a loss they risk falling completely out of the race with games against the Bengals, Dolphins, and Bills remaining. I’d like to think this team still has some nuts on them and fights to win this game. Arizona has been horrendous at home ATS with Kliff Kingsbury (12-18). I know the Patriots have had trouble with mobile QBs this season, but I just can’t envision a scenario where Kingsbury outcoaches Belichick in a game with the whole world watching. I’ll leave you with this, one team has something to play for and one is eyeballing the draft order. Take the team fighting for a playoff spot.

The Play: Patriots -2

Total (43.5)

Eight of Arizona’s games this season would’ve hit this total including their last six. The Patriots only would have been at this number five times so far this year. I like the over here. Defensively Arizona has not been good this year and the Patriots have been able to find success against subpar defenses. Think about how the offense looked against Minnesota. I think we see more of that in this game from New England. The Cardinals should be able to do their part in hitting this low total. If the Patriots can score into the mid-20’s this should hit.

The Play: Over 43.5

Final Prediction

Patriots 26 Cardinals 20