Here we go with another set of picks for Sunday. Last week we went 3-2 again. Above .500 is great, but I’m ready to finally hit a 5-0 week.

Favorite

Lions (-2) vs. Vikings

This is probably dumb, but I love it. This is a rat line for sure just like when the Cowboys were favored over the Vikings a few weeks back. Only difference with that is the Cowboys were 6-3 heading into that game and not 5-7. This feels like Vegas baiting everyone into taking the points, but I’m not falling for it. They know something and that something is the fact that the Lions are actually a good competent team now. They’ve won four of five and even almost beat the Bills on Thanksgiving. Their offense looked unstoppable last week and if they can keep that momentum going I can totally see them getting the win at home. I’m also a noted Kirk Cousins/Vikings hater so take that for what you will. Let’s go Lions.

Charlie Murphy’s Habitual Line Stepper of the Week (Underdog)

Jets (+10) vs. Bills

I hate how much I love the Jets in this spot and that’s mostly because I hate them as a franchise. I just keep rubbing my eyes every time I look at this line to make sure I’m seeing it correctly. 10 points? I know the Bills are at home, but this is a team they LOST TO five weeks ago and that was with Zach Wilson at QB. I just don’t see how the Bills are that many points better than a lot of teams right now the way they’ve been playing. Mike White seems to have a knack for keeping the Jets in games and I think their defense will do enough to limit the Bills offense. Buffalo probably comes out of this game with the win, but by less than 10.

Over

Seahawks vs. Panthers (44)

I know what a gross game right? I’m not really feeling any of the overs this week so I’m going to put my faith in Geno Smith and hope the Seahawks keep delivering high scoring games. They would have hit this number seven times this season so far. I’m feeling like its going to be a good day for Geno after a scare against the Rams last week. On the other side of the ball Sam Darnold has to do something to prove he’s a worthy starter and the best way to do that is throw the ball a ton and put some points on the board. The Seahawks need this game to stay in the playoff hunt so look for them to get going early and put this one away quick. That sounds like an over to me.

Under

Eagles vs. Giants (44.5)

You’re probably all thinking the same thing right? Where are the Broncos? Just wait we’ll get to them. I’m a fan of this under as well. This number has steadily been coming down too so grab it while you can, but it’s also a good indicator that the money is coming in on the under. The Giants have been under this number nine times in twelve games and have not had a game total in the 50’s yet this season. The Eagles while not an under team this year have been under this total five times this season. I like the Giants to keep this low scoring and even if the Eagles run away with it I don’t see the Giants putting up enough points to get the over.

The Definitely Not My Lock of the Week Bonus Pick

Broncos vs. Chiefs (Under 44)

Two unders? Who am I? I can’t have a card without a Broncos under and I liked the Eagles and Giants under a lot so I figured why not have two? If I’m getting a Broncos under in the mid-40’s I’m taking it all day. I don’t care if they’re playing the Chiefs. The Broncos offense is so pathetic the Chiefs could score 31 points in this game and the under will still hit. The Broncos defense is still very good so if they can just slow down the Kansas City offense a bit this should hit easily.