Week 8 is here people and full disclosure morale is a little low here. As a Washington fan I gotta admit things were more fun when our players were healthy and we were winning games. But thankfully decades of disappointment prepared me for the inevitable return to the status quo. My pessimism aside, we actually are coming off a winning week here at Bick’s Picks. Heck it might’ve even been a perfect week but I just had to chase that interim coach voodoo. First though I gotta give props to Brady’s Parlay of the Day who is doing their best to upstage me by securing a fairly easy win for our readers. Not to be completely outdone, Bick’s Picks did manage to have a 2-1 week. First the Panthers finally came through for the Lock and later on it didn’t matter that it was the highest point total of the year the Over hit with ease because Commanders’ defense is absolutely pitiful. However, like I said earlier that 3-0 week remains elusive because the Titans are who we thought they were as the dead cat didn’t bounce, it just exploded on the sidewalk. As always though we can’t sweat the losses or the supposed Week 8 byepocalypse there’s still plenty of games on slate and bets to be placed so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Giants @ Eagles (44.5)

The Over has been one of our better bets this season but I’ll admit today I had a little trouble nailing down where I wanted to go with this one. Between all the byes and seemingly every game featuring at least one backup QB it took a minute to decide where the points will be. In the end I just go with what I think I know and that’s the NFC East. Much like any time I tell our readers to bet anyone in this division besides Washinghton you’ll be hard pressed for me to hand out compliments but I’ll do my best. The Giants have a guy in Jaxson Dart. Even without what should be his top target in Nabers he’s turned the Giants offense around turning them into a threat to most teams. Now their ability to hold leads? They’re still working on that. On the other side Philly should be eager to get some revenge after an embarrassing loss to this team only a few weeks ago. Sure they’re without AJ Brown but I don’t know I just have a feeling both these teams are gonna show up and give us a shoot out. And as always if I’m wrong at least I already hate these teams. 

Over 44.5 (-105)

Fade Dawgs

49ers (ML) @ Texans

Safe to say this hasn’t been a season for the Dawgs here at Bick’s Picks. Our record has not been great struggling to a suboptimal 2-5 start but hey this segment earned the name Fade Dawgs for a reason. We own our losses here but I feel obligated to point out betting early Dawgs has been a risk. For the 1pm games favorites are now 34-18 against the spread which is less than ideal. But what am I gonna do, change the segment? I already outsourced the parlay so can’t get rid of the Dawg too. So after that rousing pep talk let’s see if I can talk you into the Niners because I hate Caleb Williams too much to piggyback the BPOTD Dawg. I’m admittedly not a fan of either of these teams so you’re not gonna get some ringing endorsement of Mac Jones and company but at this point I’ve seen enough of the Texans to confidently bet against them. Now you could take the +2.5 but I personally think San Fran wins outright. C’mon CMC do it for the Dawgs.

49ers ML (+120)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Bears ML, Pats -7, GB/PIT Over 45.5

We hit again last week making BPOTD 3-3 so far here on Bick’s Picks. Hoping to get over that .500 hump this week!

Bears vs Ravens without Lamar. The Ravens have put up a total of 13 points in two games without their franchise QB and somehow are favored in this game…? The Bears have won 4 straight and I’m betting they extend it to 5. Take the Bears moneyline.

The Pats are back baby and this week we get the putrid Cleveland Browns as we look to win our 5th straight! Give me the Pats by a billion! Take the Pats -7.

For the final leg we are going back to the Sunday night game featuring Aaron Rodgers trying to become only the 5th QB to have beaten all 32 teams as he faces off against his former team the Green Bay Packers. I thought for a while about who to pick in this game and honestly I don’t really have a strong case for picking either to win so I’m betting on lots of points being scored in this one. Take the Over on Sunday Night.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Bears ML, Pats -7, GB/PIT Over 45.5 (+701)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Jets @ Bengals (-5.5)

That’s right people, we’re riding with Joe Flacco for the Lock. There’s a good chance we might be a week late to capitalize on that new team magic but honestly the reason we’re on the Bengals is the Jets are rolling out Justin Fields again. Sure Cinci’s defense is suspect but Fields quite literally can’t throw the ball. Add that with the fun fact the last time these teams met Joe was actually slinging it for New York. I like a little revenge angle in my bad football games. Flacco also clearly understands the assignment and knows how to find Ja’Marr Chase so hopefully that’ll be enough against a team that will struggle to even move the ball. Now since I’m late (of course) getting this out I have to acknowledge the sudden passing of Nick Mangold. He was an Ohio State and Jets legend so New York might give us an inspired performance that makes me eat my words. But hey it’s too late to pivot now so we’re just gonna go for it and hope elite Joe Cool shows up today.

Bengals -5.5 (-112)

Week 7 is here people and can we just talk for a second about how crazy a start this season has gotten off to? I know the NFL loves its parity but it’s getting a little ridiculous. It’s obviously made things tough here at Bick’s Picks but it’s not just us as this has been one of the worst starts for public bettors for a long time. The bots over at Action Network say that teams with 60%+ of tickets this season are 15-36 against the spread through six weeks which is the worst record through 6 weeks in the 23 year history of their stats. Heck it only gets worse the more confident the public is as teams with 70%+ tickets this season are 4-16 ATS and a staggering 0-7 ATS when those teams are at home. Needless to say there might be some truth to fading the public and I’m hoping you faded us last week as we farted out another 1-2 performance. First the Ravens finally decided to play enough defense to kill the Over and at the same I foolishly picked the Browns as my Dawg, who they clearly made a mistake in letting Flacco go if they wanted to beat Pittsburgh. Even 

Brady’s Parlay of the Day came up a leg short as SNF couldn’t deliver enough points. Thankfully at least the Pats were able to contain the Rattler just enough to secure the Lock. As always we can’t sweat our losses because there’s still plenty of football left and money to be made so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Commanders @ Cowboys (54.5)

Remember all that talk about fading the public? Well throw that out because we’re not betting a spread instead we’re getting nuts and betting the biggest total of the season so far. Heck not only is this largest total of 2025 this likely close as the highest for a Washington vs Dallas game since 1980. Stats like that might give others pause but we’re undettered here at Bick’s Picks because we’ve seen how bad both of these defenses can be. I also have faith that my guy Jayden will be eager to respond after fumbling away a victory on MNF. Along with that faith I also have the ever growing dread that Dak will be able to get whatever he wants. That goon is 11-2 against us and it’s hard for me to see us slowing him down especially with Ceedee back. Lord knows we would never bet against JD5 and company but I definitely hope we can come out on top of what everyone is expecting to be a shootout in Arlington.

Over 54.5 (-105)

Fade Dawgs

Patriots @ Titans (+6.5)

The Vrabel Bowl is here and you had to expect us to have a little skin in this game. Now I know I’ve been on your side all this season but sorry Pats fans not this time. Believe me it’s nothing personal but after that whole fade the public spiel I had to follow through. Not to mention how could we not bet on the first interim coach game of the season. Sure the Titans suck but this is a tough spot for New England. They’re already trying to do something that hasn’t happened since 1961 and that’s win 3 consecutive regular season road games. So clearly a tough spot for any team but even more so battling the interim coach bump. Now as someone who really lets the numbers influence their bets I’m obligated to say I HATE that the line moved this morning. +7 is a lot nicer than the +6.5 we’re left with or the +6 I’m seeing some places. So if you can manage to find that half a point take it or heck tease up to +7.5 to play it safe. Either way even though I’m not expecting an upset we are hoping this dead cat bounces just enough to cover for the Dawg. 

Titans +6.5 (-112)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Eagles -1.5, Giants +7.5, LAC/IND Over 48.5

I first want to apologize for the Lions lackluster performance on SNF last week and killing our chances at making some cash last week. So far BPOTD is 2-3 and we are hoping to get back in the win column this week.

Leg number 1, Carson Wentz gets to face off against the team that drafted him and the Eagles are coming off an embarrassing loss on Thursday Night Football to the Giants. Wentz hasn’t looked terrible in relief of injured JJ McCarthy but give me the Eagles in this one in a get right game with extra time to prepare. Take the Eagles -1.5. 

Leg number 2 features a game that no one probably has any interest in as the Giants and Broncos face off in Denver. The Broncos barely beat the awful excuse for a football team in the Jets last week in London and now they get the giants coming off a big win against the defending champs. Somehow the Broncos are favored by a good margin in this one and I’m trying to figure that one out. Give me the Giants +7.5. 

Final leg of the day, this time we will avoid the night game and wrap up the results early. Hopefully it will hit this week for us! We are going to try the over again in a game featuring two teams that know how to put points on the board. The Colts go back to LA where they had their only loss of the season to the Rams. This time they face the Chargers and I’m expecting both teams to put up good numbers in this one. Take the Over at 48.5

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Eagles -1.5, Giants +7.5, LAC/IND Over 48.5 (+584)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Panthers (-1.5) @ Jets

Well since we already bet the highest total of the year and backed the worst team in football I figured why not get reckless with the Lock too. Now some of you might question why this is a risk but don’t let the Rico Dowdle renaissance blind you from the fact this is the Panthers. This team hasn’t won a game as a favorite since 2021 and are a gross 0-10 in that time. Now I know what you’re thinking, wait a minute don’t you love silly stats like that? And you’re right I love them but I simply can’t shake another stat and that’s -10 yards passing. I don’t care what excuses Aaron Glenn wants to make for Justin Fields, a performance like that is simply atrocious. Sure he almost literally can’t be that bad again but with Garrett Wilson unlikely to play I can’t imagine things get that much better. So be like me and ignore all the Carolina red flags and bet against the goddamn Jets.

Panthers -1.5 (+100)

Week 6 is here people and I don’t know about the rest of you but it feels like fall is officially upon us. The leaves are changing colors, football is in full swing, the Jankees have been eliminated from the playoffs and there’s Halloween decorations everywhere. Simply no better time of the year. The best sports month has also been a profitable one for us so far as we started off October on a good note. First off props to Brady’s Parlay of the Day on their big win which was capped off by Drake Maye spoiling the debut of those lame tin foil Bills unis. Bick’s Picks also managed another 2-1 week on our quest to get back to .500. First the Texans delivered the Over all on their way to crushing the Lamar-less Ravens. Next the Broncos not only covered for the Dawg they won outright while potentially breaking the Iggles in the process. However the Lock fell flat on its face as I should’ve known better than to bet Sam Darnold during spooky season. But we can’t sweat the ghosts of bad bets past so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Rams @ Ravens (43.5)

As if my ancient iphone wasn’t evidence enough, I’m clearly a big fan of the saying “if it ain’t broke then don’t fix it”. Which is exactly what brings us back to the Over’s best friend the Ravens. Now unfortunately for Baltimore a few things are broken but that’s also what gives us confidence betting against their defense. With a pharmacy receipt for an injury report it’s hard to expect that they’ll suddenly be able to stop anyone. It would be a genuine surprise if Puka and company couldn’t put up numbers but if they don’t go off for a 40 burger we got some birthday juju working for the other side. Our friend and often critic of Bick’s Picks, JG will be in attendance. So even if he doesn’t get a win we’re betting that he at least gets to see some TD’s on his birthday. So let’s run it back with Charm City one more time before Vegas catches on.  

Over 43.5 (-115)

Fade Dawgs

Browns (+5.5) @ Steelers

I won’t lie, this pick is all plums with a side order of hate. I don’t care about will.i.am’s record after the bye, I can’t shake the fact I want Rodgers to lose. Sure you argue I shouldn’t let such feelings cloud my judgment but I’d ask are you new here? I certainly won’t try to hype up Cleveland’s offense but their defense, especially their pass rush, is a force to be reckoned with. Maybe we shouldn’t expect Myles Garrett and company to pull off an upset but at the very least I am expecting some elder abuse in Pittsburgh today that keeps this game close. We may not be at the Dawg Pound today but we’re certainly riding with them.

Browns +5.5 (+100)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Rams -7, Buccaneers ML, Det/KC Over 52.5

The 1st leg of the day seems too easy so hopefully it doesn’t let us down early today. The Rams visit the Ravens without Lamar and all it takes to beat the spread is winning by slightly more than a touchdown? Sign me up, take the Rams -7. Leg 2 features a good one in the 4:00 window with the 4-1 Bucs taking on the 4-1 Niners at home. Both teams have overcome a lot of big injuries early in the season and it’s honestly impressive that they are both sitting here with only one loss. This one seems like a coin flip to me but let’s go with the Bucs at home to win a close one. Take the Bucs moneyline. I tried to talk myself out of using the Sunday night game again but it paid off for us last week when our hometown Pats took down the undefeated Bills and Brady’s Parlay of the Day hit for the second time in its brief 4 week existence here on Bick’s Picks. So we are going into the night game for the final leg, I couldn’t convince myself that the NFL would let the Chiefs start 2-4 even though they have looked really bad so far. So let’s go with the over in this one as at the very least there should be a good amount of scoring in this one. Take the over in the Lions vs Chiefs on SNF.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Rams -7, Buccaneers ML, Det/KC Over 52.5 (+469)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Patriots (-3.5) @ Saints

Once again I got too cute with the Lock. This pick has to be about plums and the bet I feel the best about which is what I said last week but fell for the trap of a good game. Sure, the Bucs vs Seahawks game certainly delivered from an entertainment and fashion perspective but it certainly didn’t help my wallet. Not falling for that good game trap this week though! I’m here for a one-sided affair where we don’t have to sweat it out. In a week full of road favorites and potential blowouts I’m riding with the Pats. Now I know what you’re thinking this has let down written all over it especially since I’m betting the Lock against the NFC South again but the 3rd time’s the charm right? Once again we’ve got friends who are fans of both these teams so I’ll keep it simple and say if New England takes care of the ball this one we don’t stress. Drake Maye has officially arrived as a guy and when all is said and done if he can outduel Josh Allen he should beat the Rattler. So let’s hop on the duck boat and bet the good times keep rolling for the Foxboro faithful.

Patriots -3.5 (-105)

Week 5 is here people and okay, look. I know there have been a lot of rumors flying around about Bick’s Picks this year. How there is no money, and how they’re never on time, and how the jokes are really bad, but WHAT THE HELL EVERYBODY!? I mean, God. Bick’s Picks are about the best, in every, one of us. Can’t you see that? I mean, okay, we can do better and today we plan to but before we do that we gotta own our losses from last week. First off Washington didn’t come through for the Dawg as the defense allowed a career day to that noodle arm Penix. Then the Bills played with their food and failed to cover the team total for our first loss for the Lock. However not all was lost as the Chiefs took the Ravens to the woodshed on their way to covering the Over for us. As for Brady’s Parlay of the Day it was unfortunately a leg short as it died when the Cheese tied. In the end it was largely a September to forget but that’s okay it’s a long season and there’s plenty of football left so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Texans @ Ravens (40.5)

I’m not sure there’s a total today that better embodies the spirit of Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under than this game. A matchup of 1-3 disappointments with their season’s on the brink and one team is even rolling out enough backups it’ll feel like a preseason game. Does that deter us? Never. All I see is a low total ripe for the taking. Add that with the fun that so far this season the Texans are the only team who’s Under has hit in every game vs the Ravens who are the only team to have every Over hit. What’s the opposite of an immovable object and an unstoppable force? Cliches and digs at these teams aside, something has to give and I’m willing to bet on the side of points and touchdowns because life’s too short to do otherwise.

Over 40.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Broncos (+4.5) @ Eagles

It quite literally took every fiber of my being to not bet Washington as the Dawg especially with Jayden back but I’ve heard your little comments. This isn’t a blog about my team after all it’s a blog about winning bets. So now that I’ve done my obligatory burgundy and gold mention let’s get onto the actual pick and oops my bias is still showing. But if that surprises you then you must be new here. As you should know by now arbitrary biases are a foundational pillar of Bick’s Picks so of course we’re gonna pick against Philly. Not to mention Brady’s Parlay has been using that Eagles ML more than I’d like to see so I gotta balance it out with good old-fashioned hate. My hatred of all things Birds aside this is also a spot I really like for the Broncos. That defense is one of the best in the league and should make things frustrating for a Jalen Hurts offense that hasn’t really clicked yet. Meanwhile, although the Bo Nix experience is a little bit of a roller coaster he’s proven he can lead an offense as long as he can limit the turnovers. So far both of these teams have been playing close games, many of which coming down to the wire so why not another finish decided by a field goal?

Broncos +4.5 (-118)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Texans -1.5, Lions -10.5, Patriots +8.5

Two struggling teams meet in Baltimore today. Houston got their first win last week against the worst team in the NFL so it’s hard to know if they have actually turned a corner or not. The Ravens come into this game after a bad loss to a not so great Chiefs team and find themselves at 1-3 now without their franchise QB Lamar Jackson in this one. Both teams need this game to try and save their season. I like the Texans with the spread in this one. Lions and Tigers oh my! This is going to be a bloodbath. I think it’s a steal that we only have to give 10.5 points in this game. The Lions offense is firing on all cylinders and the Bengals have looked really bad last week with Browning. Detroit should blow this Burrowless Bengals team out by a lot. Take the Lions with the spread. The final leg of the parlay will wrap up with Sunday night football. No one is giving the Pats a puncher’s chance in this game but I feel like they will be more competitive in this game than you think. I’m not saying they will knock off the undefeated Bills but I do think they will hang around enough to be in the game until the end. Take the Patriots +8.5.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Texans -1.5, Lions -10.5, Patriots +8.5 (+557)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Buccaneers @ Seahawks (-3.5)

Alright maybe I got a bit too cute with Team Total bet last week but sometimes you gotta take risks and I still maintain that it should’ve hit. I mean how do you not score in the 2nd Quarter against the Saints Josh??? But I digress because we’re not here to sweat losses, we’re here to pick a Lock. That said, the Lock is supposed to be the pick I feel most confident about and I’ll admit this small 1st bye week slate put me to the test. Honestly the slate is full of stinkers which led me here. This sneaky might be the matchup of the day between two 3-1 NFC contenders and hopefully a good game. However in the end I gotta give the edge to the healthier home team. Seattle does have some injuries but I’ll be honest is a small miracle Tampa has been able to get out to the start they’ve had with all the injuries they’ve sustained. So far Baker has been able to put the team on his back but even he’s dealing some bumps and bruises. So I hope Mayfeild doesn’t take it personally but I think the 12th Man leaves Lumen Field happy today.

Seahawks (-3.5)

Week 4 is here people and I hope you all enjoyed a Guinness while watching NFL Europe this morning. I’m sure some of you are wondering why there’s no cheeky Irish themed pick this morning but as I told a few of you this is an American blog and we don’t concern ourselves with those Sunday morning shenanigans. Don’t you fret though there’s plenty of other games to choose from today and maybe just maybe started to right the ship here at Bick’s Picks. Back to back 2-1 weeks has us climbing out of the hole we dug ourselves Week 1. First we had the Vikings cover the Over all by themselves and Washington took care of business for the Lock again. Unfortunately as mentioned earlier it was not a perfect week as the Patriots quite literally fumbled that opportunity away. However you know who didn’t fumble the bag our resident parlay expert Matthew Brady! Sure he might’ve needed a couple miraculous blocked field goals to pull it out but that winning slip doesn’t care how pretty the W is. That said I wouldn’t mind some easy wins today and I think this slate can deliver, so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Ravens @ Chiefs (48.5)

Let’s get the obvious out of the way and say that barring a tie it’s pretty crazy that one of these teams is going to 1-3. Both have been the cream of the crop in the AFC but right now neither team can get out of their own way. Whether it’s 4th quarter fumbles or injury their own players it’s largely been a September to forget. However we’re not picking one of these teams to win we’re betting that they’ll score. Baltimore is a familiar face for the Over so it wasn’t stretch to include them and loyal readers know I love to hype up an underdog Mahomes. This is a game both of these Super Bowl hopefuls desperately need get back on track so I’d expect both teams to pull out all the stops and we get our 7 TDs with ease.

Over 48.5 (-120)

Fade Dawgs

Commanders (ML) @ Falcons

I mean as soon as I saw that line had moved to Washington being a Dawg this was going to be the play. I’m not gonna ignore that the Commanders have several injuries that’s an obvious concern and why the line is what it is. However I think this team proved they can win when the next man up is called and Atlanta proved that they’re a team capable of being shutout. Plus how can I resist another Marcus Mariota revenge game? AND this is Dan Quinn’s return to Atlanta, the stars are aligning for another Commanders W. As for the Falcons maybe it’s my righty bias but I’m a big Penix detractor. Something about his throwing motion looks so awkward it makes me feel like every throw could be picked. Honestly if Bijan can be contained this is a bet I think we win with ease. Now there is +2.5 you guys can take but we only bet Washington wins here so let’s #RaiseHail again.

Commanders ML (+120)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Eagles ML, Rams ML, Packers -7

In a matchup of two undefeated teams we have the Eagles and The Bucs. The Bucs have dominated this series lately including two postseason wins in the past few years, however the injury depleted Bucs lost another big piece with Mike Evans going down last week against the Jets. I think the injuries are too much to beat the Eagles this week even if Chris Godwin is able to make his season debut. Take the Eagles moneyline in this one. Leg number 2 showcase another undefeated team with the 3-0 Colts going on the road to take on the 2-1 Rams. I think the Colts have been overachieving a tad so far this year and this will be their first real test to prove if they are for real and Daniel Jones just needed to get out of the dumpster fire that is the Giants organization. I like the Rams to bring Jones and the Colts back to reality in this one and I’m taking them with the moneyline. Jesse if you’re reading this I hope this helps you forgive me for picking against them last week! The final leg of the day is the Packers and Cowboys on Sunday night football! Micah Parsons returns to Dallas and will look to help the Packers take down his old squad. The Packers need a big rebound after they got embarrassed losing to the lowly Browns last week. Look for a very motivated Green Bay team to take it to the Cowboys this week and beat them by more than a touchdown. Take the Cheese at -7. 

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Eagles ML, Rams ML, Packers -7 (+357)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Saints @ Bills (Over 34.5)

These picks are coming out super late so I’m gonna keep this short and sweet. The spread is too gross to do anything so we’re just gonna bet the Bills to score with ease. The Saints are a mess and I struggle to see how they stop anything Buffalo throws at them. Josh Allen and company will wanna put on a show at home so I can see 5 TDs happening heck maybe even a defensive score for good measure. Bills Mafia let’s ride.

Bills Team Total Over -34.5 (+150)

Week 3 is here people and in case you didn’t know it’s backup season. After 2 weeks of action we’ve already got 5 teams forced to start backup QBs because of injury. Not to brag but Bick’s Picks started this backup trend last week when Matthew Brady answered the call after my recurring case of sucking at parlays flared up again. Unfortunately Brady’s Parlay of the Day fell just short on its debut week because Mr. Swift got a case of the dropsies at the goalline. On the other hand if you can believe it, Bick’s Picks was actually able to cobble together a winning week. First the Pats got a dramatic win for the Dawgs and the Rams finally took care of business for the Lock. Of course it wasn’t a perfect week though as we somehow managed to pick the one Over that didn’t hit. Honestly that one is probably on me but I find it much easier to blame all the problems in my life on the Eagles so fuck Philly. But as always we’re not here to stress our losses, we’re here to pick winners so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Bengals @ Vikings (41.5)

Typically the Over has been kind to us here at Bick’s Picks but so far we couldn’t be more wrong. I thought maybe I’d lost my touch but then I remembered everything is the Eagles fault. After that moment of clarity I started scouring the totals for that low number I just can’t say no to, which brought me here. Now I know what you’re about to say: doesn’t this game feature two backup QBs? Yes it does and I don’t care. Despite both of these teams turning to QB2 this was 41.5 total that felt right. Even without Burrow the Bengals whole team is built around the offense and when thrust into action Jake Browning has proven he can put up numbers. On the other side I’m certainly not gonna hype up Carson Wentz but he should be more competent than what we’ve seen from JJ McCarthy. At the very least Wentz finally gets to throw to Justin Jefferson which should give Philly fans some Jalen Raegor PTSD so that’s neat. I’ll admit this Over comes with some risk but if Jake Browning’s fiance is wearing her iconic white bodysuit we’ll cruise to this total with ease.

Over 41.5 (-115)

Fade Dawgs

Steelers @ Patriots (ML)

Yup that’s right somehow I’m once again hitching my wagon to the Pats. Living a stone’s throw from Gillette Stadium is clearly poisoning my mind because this was the Dawg I liked the most and it wasn’t really close. But I want to be clear this is less a New England thing and more a “man I really wanna see Aaron Rodgers fail spectacularly thing”. I can’t stand the whole guy’s shtick and would love to see him fall flat on his mopey face. I’ll also add I did like the resiliency Vrabel and company showed against the Dolphins. There were several moments where they had to respond and actually did unlike the Mayo led team we saw the season before. So just like last week, sorry in advance to the Foxboro faithful but I gotta ride with you again.

Patriots ML (-102)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Eagles ML, Jets +6.5, Chiefs -6

In a rematch of probably the most entertaining playoff game from last season the Rams visit the Eagles today. Two undefeated teams so far going into Week 3 and with the Rams doing so against a couple bad AFC South teams they will need to prove they are for real against the defending champs. I expect a close game but I lean Philly here until the Rams prove they can beat them. The Jets vs Buccaneers is leg number 2 this week. A battle between two teams that are pretty banged up. The Bucs offensive line is in shambles right now and Fields is out for the Jets. Have no fear though, an old friend of Jake the editor of this site, Tyrod Taylor is playing and I think he will help the Jets keep it close! Take the points here with the Jets. And finally leg number 3, they have let me down twice already this year. Once in a survivor pool week 1 and last week they killed the debut of Brady’s Parlay of the Day with their dud against the Eagles. Third time’s the charm though and I’m taking the Chiefs to win their first game of the season on the road against a very bad Giants team. If they lose this week we might have to start talking about the Chiefs dynasty being over but I think it survives one more week. Bet it all on the Chiefs by at least a touchdown in this one.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Eagles ML, Jets +6.5, Chiefs -6 (+465)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Raiders @ Commanders (-2.5)

Did you really think we were gonna make it through a Bick’s Picks without me mentioning Washington? Of course I gotta address the elephant in the room, yes I know Jayden is not playing but frankly that shouldn’t matter. Now don’t get me wrong this team ALWAYS has a better chance with JD5 under center but this is a game that this veteran team should win without him. Now I say veteran team because as some of you might not know this Commanders team actually has the oldest 53 man roster in the league. Sure that does mean we look a little slow at times, looking at you Wagner, but all that experience should also be a strength. Despite my initial doubts when we signed him Mariota proved that he was more than capable of filling in last season when needed and I expect him to do the same today. We also get the benefit of some extra rest and preparation after playing on TNF Week 2. Now I am whistling past the Raiders a little bit but I’ll be honest aside from Brock Bowers and maybe Jeanty there’s not a whole lot that worries me about their team. Don’t get me wrong of course I’m stressing this game but that doesn’t change the fact we should win at home against an inferior opponent. So just like Week 1 let’s #RaiseHail and prove that this team is here to stay.

Commanders -2.5 (-120)

Week 2 is here people and I’ll spare you the excuses and just say that so far we’ve sucked at Bick’s Picks. A 1-7 start is almost as bad as it gets. After whiffing on the openers we kept the bad times rolling with our Week 1 selections. First we had a pitiful Over bet that only got 23 points of the 43.5 that we needed. Second we ignored the fact the Dolphins suck and apparently missed the offseason report that Daniel Jones made some sort of deal with the devil this offseason. After that it should come as no surprise the TD Parlay was a flop but more on that in a minute. And lastly we did at least manage to steal one win when Washington covered against the Giants. Of course those good feelings for me quickly faded after Jayden and company got embarrassed on Thursday Night Football. So needless to say vibes aren’t at an all time high here but why do we fall? So we learn to pick ourselves up and chase those losses. Now earlier I did mention I had more to say about the parlay and I’m happy to share one of our readers actually threw their hat in the ring with a little write up. My parlay struggles have prompted many of you to say they could do better and for once we got some nuts on the table so with that tease let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Eagles @ Chiefs (46.5)

Before we can dive into guest picks you got mine to get through so buckle up. There are few things I like to bet more than an Over simply because it can be a fun bet to watch. Who doesn’t like TDs and watching the numbers go up? Which is exactly why I picked the game that figures to be the matchup of the day and one that features players known to do some scoring. Sure you might be tired of seeing these two teams, God knows I am but this Super Bowl rematch should have more than enough juice to get us to the Over. And if not I guess I get to bitch about the Iggles AGAIN. 

Over 46.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Patriots (ML) @ Dolphins

I’ll keep this one short and sweet because I’m sure Pats fans will already be bothered by them being featured in my Picks to begin with but I’ve had this one circled since last Sunday. I simply can’t shake how bad the Dolphins looked. Sure they NEED this game but frankly they needed that game last week and got embarrassed in Indy. Right now McDaniel’s seat is hotter than the vape pen he’s been stress hitting on the sidelines and no player’s only meeting is gonna save him. In classic Bick’s Picks fashion I’m gonna whistle right by everything I saw from New England week 1 because frankly we didn’t see a whole lot that gives you faith in this pick. But the plums say that Drake Maye shows us something today and the Vrabel era gets its 1st win.

Patriots ML (+105)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Chiefs ML, Lions ML, Ravens -6.5

Brady’s parlay of the day features playoff teams from last year that didn’t get the job done in week 1. All 3 teams need a win this week as teams that start 0-2 historically do not make the postseason. First you have the Chiefs in a Super Bowl rematch at home. The NFL will not allow their darlings to start 0-2. The Lions at home against the Bears is my least confident of these picks but the Bears suck and Detroit needs a rebound. The Ravens lost a heart-breaker to Buffalo and will take it out on their division rival Browns. I moved the line a little down to 6.5, but I expect the Ravens to take care of business.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Chiefs ML, Lions ML, Ravens -6.5 (+292)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Rams (-5.5) @ Titans

Shout out to Matthew Brady for his first write up hopefully it’s a welcomed addition to our lineup of picks. For the few of you that are wondering, don’t you worry the Triducken will rear its ugly head again at some point but for now it’s taking a well deserved break. Now that’s enough about that though back to our regularly scheduled programming and the only pick that’s actually hit for us, the Lock. I won’t even try to downplay it at all, I love this pick. I’m all over the Rams this week not only with this pick but also Survivor Pool. Some of you might try to say that Tennessee was scrappy against Denver but I watched that nonsense and I can tell you that was all Bo trying to throw that game away. Even when Cam Ward managed to make a competent play it was inexplicably dropped. The Titans look like a team that’s gonna struggle to do much of anything all season and the fact they’ve failed to cover 8 straight games at home makes me like this even more. LA should run away with this game or at the very least control the game where we don’t have to worry about this cover. So I’m riding with Puka and company roll and give the Lock another easy win.

Rams -5.5 (-108)

It’s officially the first Sunday of the NFL season and man does it feel good to be back. No matter how today goes, the fact that’s a full slate of football we can just sit down and enjoy is a great feeling. It’s also gonna feel great to put those openers behind us because they went as bad as they could go for us. An 0-4 start is the complete opposite of what we had in mind and the way those games started for our side it almost seemed like the fix was in vs Bick’s Picks. The first game had Jalen Carter getting tossed immediately for spitting on that Dak and then in the next game we had Mr. Swift murdering Xavier Worthy on the first drive. Oh and don’t even get me started on what that lightning delay did to the Over. At the end of the day though I’m not at all surprised the Eagles found a way to piss me off and frankly the Chiefs actually losing is a nice change of pace. But as you all know we don’t dwell on our losses here at Bick’s Picks we chase them and there’s plenty of winning bets on this Sunday slate. For the few of you that might be new here, a quick refresher on our format we got an Over, a Dawg, a TD Parlay I’ll regret immediately and my Lock of the week. Maybe at some point this season we might have a couple guest picks to shake things up but for now you just my picks to fade so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Texans @ Rams (43.5)

For whatever reason this game was calling my name all week. Perhaps it was because my cousin Jesse was calling me all week talking about the Rams but nevertheless I’m liking this number. Don’t get me wrong, the concern that Stafford’s back could explode at any time gives me pause but other that I like these teams to do some scoring. The Texans are hoping their re-vamped OL can give Stroud more time and that’s what I’m betting on too. Even if he is running for his life hopefully he can find Nico enough times to add to the total. Meanwhile if Stafford stays alive Puka and Davante should keep that offense moving till Kyren vultures the scores. Week 1 can be a wild one and hopefully this is one of the shoot outs we don’t have to sweat out.

Over 43.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Dolphins (+1.5) @ Colts

I’m not gonna lie Week 1 is always a tricky week for me to pick a Dawg and I feel like I’m kinda cheating with this one because of how close the line is. But you know what these are my picks and my brain struggles to process the concept of Daniel Jones even being a slight favorite. Sure the Dolphins come with their share of question marks and drama but because this is make it or break it time for the McDaniels era I think they come out and try to make a statement. Even if the Dolphins start slow at the very least you’d think they have the weapons to come back or at the very least keep it close against a team that’s likely just trying to control the rock and avoid turnovers. However if Reek, Waddle and Achane are running free early I can’t see Vanilla Vick mounting some big comeback. Also add the fact the Colts have been a horrible Week 1 team against the spread with a 2-12-1 record over the last 15 seasons. Now because this line is kinda gross you might just want to take the ML but I’ll take the points just in case.

Dolphins +1.5 (-118)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin, Derrick Henry

For those of you who don’t remember I was DREADFUL at parlays last year heck I even retired them for the Tiersducken where I ranked the rookie qbs. That was a fun change of pace but let’s be honest, that was just an excuse for me to talk more about Jayden Daniels. Either way I’m not one to back down from a challenge and also enough of you give me crap that I gotta at least try to get one of these right. So first we got what I feel like is an obvious one in Mike Evans because it feels like the guy always scores Week 1. Next is Terry because my bias had to break through eventually and because I feel like there will be a point made to give him the ball after all the hold out nonsense. Last is Tractorcito because even though we’ll have to wait for it to hit I feel like it’s one of the safer bets today. So dread it or fade it the TD Triducken arrives all the same.

Anytime TD Triducken: Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin, Derrick Henry (+896)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Giants @ Commanders (-6)

I won’t hide from the bias oozing out of this pick because this one is as much of a homer pick as you’ll ever get. Don’t get me wrong, the dread and concern I’ve had all week, heck the dread I’ve had since the schedule released about this Week 1 division trap definitely gives me pause. But frankly I’m sick of the sophomore slump talk and all talk about steps back. This is a game that Washington should win and should win by a TD. That said, given my current betting luck and our team’s history of disappointment I don’t expect many of you to jump on this with me and I don’t blame you. The +6 for the Giants is a trendy pick but you know damn well we would never do something like that here at Bick’s Picks. None of that soft ass fading our fandom crap we’re riding with our guys because that’s what we do here. Time to #RaiseHail and prove that this team is here to stay.

Commanders -6 (-112)

The day has finally come, football is officially back! Which means whether you like it or not so is Bick’s Picks. You might’ve thought the NFC Championship or the Eagles winning another Super Bowl would’ve been the end of me but not so fast. Sure the cesspool they call Philly certainly tried to kill me but decades of Dan Snyder disappointment has made me too strong. Speaking of disappointment though, last season wasn’t a banner year either here at Bick’s Picks. Unfortunately we finished below .500 with a (46-52) record for the 2024 season which gives us an all time (84-86-1) record. As I said to start last year, settling for that type of Jeff Fisher mediocrity is not in our DNA. You all expect better and so do I. So double check you got the 10 necessary streaming services and make sure you brought your own smelling salts because the quest for a winning record starts tonight, let’s get into it.

Cowboys @ Eagles(-8.5)(1H -4.5)(Over 48.5)

Frankly I’m not sure where to start so I’ll just state the obvious, I hate both these teams. Having to pick an NFC East team to win that isn’t Washington is something that never feels right. However going into this game there was a very clear victor in my mind and that’s unfortunately the Eagles. I very very stubbornly refused to bet them down the stretch last season despite everything screaming in my face that it was probably the move so I’m gonna try to do the unthinkable and learn from my mistakes. On top of that everything leading up to this game feels like Philly should absolutely roll. We haven’t even heard a Dak “Yeaaaa here we go” and it feels like the Cowboys are already punting on the season. There’s no doubt their pass game should put up some numbers but it’s literally everything else that’s a cause for concern. The defense has holes everywhere and that was before Jerry shipped Micah out of town. On the other side the hater in me wants to try and say the Eagles will take a step back but aside from some questions about their secondary there’s honestly no reason for me to believe they will. That’s why I’m thinking Philly takes control early and never looks back. So gimme the 1st Half spread, the full game spread and the Over because life’s too short to bet it any other way. Giddy up.

Eagles 1H -4.5 (-112)

Eagles -8.5 (-110)

Over 48.5 (-110)

Parlay at Your Own Risk (+355)

The I Hope You Have YouTube Game

Forget the Chiefs vs Chargers game for one second so I can bitch about the clown show that is NFL streaming. In 2025 we gotta have YouTubeTV, Netflix, Peacock, Prime, Paramount, ESPN on top of just having cable for the local games on Fox and CBS just so we can watch all the games. Nevermind the fact that NFL Ticket costs $500+ and doesn’t even get you all the games anymore. Oh and did I mention that StreamsEast is dead and RedZone will have commercials? Needless to say this crap rustles my jimmies something fierce. But hey what can we do? The NFL knows we’re hooked and they’re taking advantage. That’s enough of my old man’s grievances though, there is actually a game to talk about even if you can’t find it on tv. Since I’ve already been rambling I’ll keep it simple and I’ll just say I’m riding with Mahomes and the Chiefs. You can definitely argue that KC over-performed last season and could finally be ready for a down year but I’ll believe it when I see it. Sure this game will end up being close but a field goal spread is just close enough to make me ride with the team that’s proven they can pull it out even when they really shouldn’t. -3 is a little annoying but at worst I think we push.

Chiefs -3 (-115)

That’s right people Bick’s Picks is back for another season of arbitrary biases and picking with our plums. I’d like to think I performed admirably after Jake’s Takes sudden retirement, as I ended up with a 38-34-1 overall record with my picks last season. Sure a winning record is nice and all but we were practically .500 and settling for that type of Jeff Fisher mediocrity is not in our DNA. This year I aim to do better and I think there’s some easy money to be had in these NFL season openers so enough banter let’s get into it.

Ravens @ Chiefs (ML) (47.5)

Football is back and we really couldn’t ask for a better opener than this AFC Championship rematch. The Derrick Henry infused Ravens out for revenge against who else but the banner dropping Chiefs starting their quest for a three-peat. I’ll skip the pleasantries and simply say I expect the Chiefs to win this game. Much like Brady and the Pats I just can’t shake the feeling of inevitability when it comes to Mahomes and the Chiefs. That said I do like this to be a really close game and frankly one that the Ravens could easily win if they can avoid beating themselves. Speaking of which, remember when the Ravens(the best rushing team in football) ran the ball only SIX times in the AFC Championship? I’m sure Baltimore does, which is why they traded for Derrick Henry and why I expect them to overcorrect by running early and often. This potential run heavy script is why I’ll be jumping on the Tractorcito for an Any Time TD. Another outcome I expect because of this game script is the Under. Now I know what you’re thinking but don’t worry we’ll bet plenty of Overs this season at Bick’s Picks but this isn’t one of them. Both these teams boasted top 10 defenses last season and both units should be strong again. Meanwhile on the offensive side of the ball both teams have some big changes on the OL with rookies and new additions starting for the first time. For these reasons I’m liking the Under and even though I think Mahomes is inevitable the Ravens are just too good for me to bet the spread. So give me the Under 47.5, Chiefs ML and Henry to find the end zone giddy up.

The Don’t Wear Green Game

I’m not sure how much the cartels paid for this game in Brazil but I sure hope it was worth it to the NFL. I think we can all agree some extra football on Friday is a tradition we can get behind, however players like Darius Slay are not happy about this international experience so we’ll see if the NFL ever returns to São Paulo. Kidnapping concerns aside, similar to Thursday’s game this should be a good one because both these 2023 playoff teams come in with a lot to prove. Philly collapsed last season after starting 10-1 and is eager to put a blowout loss to the Bucs in the Wild Card round behind them. However, they also have to adjust to life without cornerstone players Jason Kelce and Fletcher Cox. On the other side now that Jordan Love got the bag, he and his group of young weapons are out to prove they weren’t just a flash in the pan after their 6-2 run to end last season. Not to mention both teams went out and spent actual money on new running backs so both Barkley and Jacobs also have something to prove. Ending last season these were two teams going in different directions and I think things keep trending the same way. By no means do I think the Eagles will be bad this season but frankly I lost too much picking them last year. My biases aside I do think it’s gonna take them time to adjust to the veteran leadership they’ve lost and meanwhile I’m expecting the Packers to pick up where they left off. Jordan Love should be able to have some fun carving up what’s expected to be another shaky Eagles secondary. Hey since I plan to eat a lot of cheese on football Sundays why not take the cheese on the Pack Week 1?

Packers ML (+110)