Week 12 is here people which means you should double check that fantasy football lineup because the bye-pocalypse is upon us. This is the smallest slate we’ll get all season with 6 teams taking the week off which makes this a gaggle of games only a mother could love. This Sunday doesn’t feature a single matchup between teams with winning records, which to be honest is something we should be used to here at Bick’s Picks as we’ve been doing our fair share of losing. I’m truly ashamed to say we had our first 0-4 week of the 2024 season but I intend to make it the last. We were unfortunately let down by some typically reliable bets as the Ravens Over and an underdog Mahomes failed to come through. Meanwhile the Packers won but they didn’t cover for us and of course the Triducken predictably fell a CMC leg short. Speaking of the Triducken, enough is enough. It’s long overdue but we’re shaking things up and adding a new segment. Don’t worry people, the Triducken will rear its ugly head soon enough but with Thanksgiving right around the corner we need to get this gravy train back on track so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Buccaneers @ Giants (40.5)

Not only did the Baltimore Over let us down but of course they play on MNF this week so no chance for redemption. But hey that’s okay relying on “sure things” burned us last week so why not get a little nutty with this one. This time I’m chasing a low number in a game where both teams are rested coming off the bye. Admittedly Giants aren’t an Over team but I’m hoping that New York finally ending the Daniel Jones era will result in a boost for the offense. If Tommy Cutlets doesn’t come through though Baker is getting his favorite weapon back in Mike Evans so I’m hoping they’ll do most of the heavy lifting to get us to our total in the swamps of Jersey.

Over 40.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Patriots @ Dolphins (+7.5)

Apologies in advance Pats fans but I’m sorry I gotta say I love you guys in this spot and I love the number. Sure it’s at Hard Rock where New England tends to struggle but I don’t think they lose by more than a TD. Now this does go in the face of recent trends as the Dolphins have covered the spread in their last 8 games vs the Patriots but the difference maker this time will be Drake Maye. I think the kid keeps getting better every week and I think today he does enough to keep this game close to the very end. This pick certainly does come with risk but I like it alot more than talking myself into Panthers +10.5 vs the Chiefs.

Patriots +7.5 (-115)

The Tiersducken

The Triducken was long overdue to be replaced with a new segment and thanks to our benevolent editor I had a great idea how. You all know how much I love to talk about Jayden Daniels so I figured why not do a weekly tier list of all the starting rookie quarterbacks? Now this isn’t just a chance for me to preach the gospel of JD5 I’ll also be picking a prop for each QB and maybe just maybe find ourselves a winning segment. So without further ado here’s our tier list.

1. Jayden Daniels

2. Bo Nix

3. Drake Maye 

4. Caleb Williams

I mean you had to know I’d have my boy at the top as he’s already been rookie of the week 7 times and is the odds on favorite to win rookie of the year. Bo has quickly shot up the rankings because if you asked me a few weeks ago he might be number 4 but he’s really coming into his own. Maye meanwhile is doing his best with not a whole lot around him and at the very least looks like he could be the franchise QB the Pats were hoping for. And Caleb Williams blows. Now you didn’t come here for pinions you came here for picks and speaking of picks I figured I’d keep this first week simple and just bet whether or not each of these rookies throws an interception. So let’s bet Jayden, Bo and Drake to practice good ball security and for Caleb to stay in the tiers basement.

Tiersducken Parlay: Interceptions Thrown O/U: Jayden Daniels Under .5, Bo Nix Under .5, Drake Maye Under .5, Caleb Williams Over .5 (+984)  

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

49ers @ Packers (-5.5)

Well, well, well, if it isn’t the consequences of my own actions. I know I picked the Packers as my Lock last week but you gotta be like a goldfish here at Bick’s Picks, we can’t let last week’s losses prevent us from taking advantage of this week’s wins. The big reason I’m back on the Pack is I’m fading the team that’s without their starter this Sunday. Now I’ll fully admit I kinda think Brock Purdy stinks but I like him alot more than whoever the hell Brandon Allen is. It genuinely blew my mind this guy has been farting around the league since 2016 and honestly I thought it was Kyle Allen when I initially heard the news about Purdy. Either way San Fran will be without their starting qb, their top pass rusher and maybe even their All Pro left tackle. Those absences alone and my disdain for Kyle Shanahan were enough for me to ignore that Jordan Love annoys the bejesus out of me. The dude WILL throw an interception and I will hate this pick for a moment during this game but I really hope we don’t sweat this one out too much and can actually enjoy our cheese this Sunday.

Packers -5.5 (-115)

Week 11 is here people which means another week of marquee matchups and hopefully some winning bets. Full disclosure much like my Washington Commanders we’re in a little bit of funk here at Bick’s Picks. I suppose we’re not outright losing but we’ve been stuck in neutral as we had yet another 2-2 week. Not even the return of CMC could get the Triducken back on track and don’t get me started about the Vikings not covering against the Jags. Thankfully we broke even because the Over hit in the Washington game. And the Cardinals finally made Dennis Green proud as the Jets are who we thought they were and they didn’t let them off the hook. Admittedly because of the TNF loss I really wanted this week of football to just go away but that’s not how this works and the picks must go on so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Ravens @ Steelers (48)

I shouldn’t have to explain this one too much do I? With a record of 9-1 on the season Baltimore Overs have been one of the most reliable bets of the 2024 season. Add that with the fact the number is below 50 and on the other side Russ has the moon ball cooking? Don’t overthink it people, let’s ride this train till the wheels fall off.

Over 48 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Chiefs (ML) @ Bills

Just like the Over I don’t have to explain this one much do I? The only thing more reliable in 2024 than Ravens’ Overs is the Chiefs somehow, some way, finding a way to win. Now add that with the fact we’re backing Mahomes as a Dawg, forget about it. I’m not even gonna pretend my pick goes deeper than that. When Mahomes is an underdog we ride with the Chiefs plain and simple.

Chiefs ML (+110)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffery

I know what you’re thinking. I thought you said you weren’t gonna do another Triducken? Do you like losing money? Can I bet these guys to not score? Frankly all good questions but in the end we’re back here picking TDs because I’m stubborn. Similar to last week, nothing fancy we’re taking short odds and trying to will the Triducken to a win. I figure CMC has to find pay dirt this week and then I’m riding with the two backs in the games I picked because if I expect scoring in those games not double down? Fade it, avoid it or dread it, that’s this week’s Triducken.

Anytime TD Triducken: Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffery (+291)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Packers (-6) @ Bears

Last week I picked two teams for the Lock and I suppose that’s my fault. Believe I got words to say about Darnold and the Vikings but I save that for another time. But similar to last week I’m picking a team to win against a team who’s starting quarterback is dead. Now I know what you’ll say but I thought Caleb Williams is still playing? And I’d respond by saying sure technically he’s still alive but have you watched how he’s played? That Jayden Hail Mary might’ve completely broken the Bears as they’ve looked absolutely abmissal since. Sure they fired their OC this week but I doubt that changes anything. Add that with the fact that LaFleur and Green Bay have won 10 straight against Chicago this had to be my Lock. Undoubtedly Love will throw a pick and make us worried for a minute but in the end we’ll be enjoying our cheese this Sunday.

Packers-6 (-115)

Onto week 11 after another 2/3 performance last week. Week 11 has some good matchups and one I’m sure a lot of people will be watching is the Bills and Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes as an underdog at Buffalo. I hope Andrew is recovering from Thursday night.

Best Bet. Rams -4.5

I don’t believe in this Patriots team and the Rams need wins. The Rams are going to make a playoff push and need this game. 4.5 points with Puka, Kyren, and Kupp against the Pats give me that all day.

Dawg of the day- Bengals ML

Joe Burrow is having a great year and needs this game. He gets his man Tee Higgins back this week and that should help him and the team out. The Chargers defense looks good, but I’m not sold on the offense. They haven’t really beat anyone that good and I think this will be a good test for them. Give me Burrow at plus money.

Falcons ML

They just lost to the Saints so you may ask yourself why take them. I think this is a good bounce back and we are getting the better team at plus money here. Bo Nix will throw 1 or 2 picks and the Falcons will roll and bounce back this week

Week 10 is here people which means bust out the bratwurst and Becks because the NFL Europe is back. However, as enticing a matchup between the Giants and Panthers is, I think I’ll let the krauts have fun with that one and focus on the rest of this weekend’s slate of games. Now before we do that as always let’s look back to last week where we once again stumbled our way to another 2-2 record. The ever reliable Ravens Over hit and even though it was closer than it should’ve been, Washington in the end swept New York for the Lock. Meanwhile the TD Triducken did it’s usual belly flop and even though you absolutely hate to see it, betting the Cowboys effectively ended their season. But unlike Dak our season here at Bick’s Picks is far from over so shout out one last “Yea Here We Go” and let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Steelers @ Commanders (45)

With the Baltimore Over already doing its thing and hitting on Thursday Night I knew we’d have to look elsewhere this week. As you can see in the end I didn’t look all that far. Admittedly, I really wanted to put my guys as the Lock again but decided not to tempt fate and instead I’ll simply bet this one to be a barn burner. My love and admiration for all things Jayden is well documented so I won’t go on about how great our college offense is instead the reason I like the Over here is the Steelers. Whether you like it or not Russ has the moon ball cooking and has Pittsburgh hitting Overs. Last week Daniel Jones also reminded people that teams can move the ball on our defense so I expect a well rested Tomlin team to do just that. In the end I believe Washington wins this game and proves all the sharps wrong but let’s just bet the Over to be safe.

Over 45 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Jets @ Cardinals (ML)

I’m not gonna lie, forcing myself to pick an underdog every week has been some tricky business and no week more so than this one. I really struggled to find a pick I could back with logic and stats so this one is all plums. We’re gonna completely ignore what the Jets did on TNF vs the Texans and go with my instincts that Rodgers is washed. I just don’t want to believe that they’ve saved their season and I just want to see that douche-nozzle fail. His whole greater than the team attitude makes me sick and watching him get hit makes me smile. The Cardinals are getting +1.5 but screw that we don’t need the points we’re riding the moneyline. So grab a Mountain Dew and throw on your gaming headset because we’re rolling with Call of Duty Kyler this Sunday.

Cardinals ML (+110)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Christian McCaffery, Saquon Barkley, Kareem Hunt

He’s back! If anyone can save the TD Triducken it should be CMC. Is betting him to score his first week back risky? Is -250 a ridiculous anytime TD number given it’s his first week back? Do I hate myself for betting it? Yup, yup, yup! But we’re doing it anyway. And just so we can try to get the Triducken a win I’ll go with two other backs that seem destined to hit pay dirt in Barkley and Hunt. This won’t get the big payday people often want out of a parlay but it should hit right? Right?!

Anytime TD Triducken: Christian McCaffery, Saquon Barkley, Kareem Hunt (+260)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Eagles (-6.5) @ Cowboys & Vikings (-6.5) @ Jaguars

Yea that’s right I’m getting a little screwy with the lock but frankly I like both these favorites so much I had to. Thought about changing the name of the pick to the other guy’s QB is dead parlay but that doesn’t have the same ring to it. But that’s the crux of the matter and the main reason I love both these teams. Dak and Trevor Lawrence are done which means it’s time for Cooper Rush and Mac Jones. Neither of these guys should inspire any confidence and frankly these spreads would be much worse if the underdogs weren’t at home. Full disclosure the line for both these games is -7 but since we’re parlaying I’m gonna take the half a point so we don’t push. If you don’t believe both will win I suppose you could take just one but we’re getting greedy today.

Eagles (-6.5) and Vikings (-6.5) (+214)

We are back after a 2-1 first time posting. I’m looking to get a clean sweep here. We get an early game and what a great one the Giants and the Panthers. Absolutely not betting on that game. This week I think my pick may make Andrew a little sad.

Dawg of the week- Steelers +3.5

Don’t completely love this play but Mike Tomlin has this team playing fantastic football. The Commanders have looked good but are due for a letdown. This is a value pick I keep doubting the Steelers and they continue to win. I’m going with them at plus money to go and get the job done. Sorry to Andrew and Jayden Daniels

Top pick- Jets ML

Talk about a bet I hate writing. The Jets, this fucking team has fucked me so many times this year and I keep taking them. The value is too good not too. They need wins to make a push at the playoffs and they have winnable games on the schedule. Kyler Murray and the Cardinals are decent but I don’t think they match up with the Jets well. I expect the Jets to roll and take this matchup easily.

Bills -4

The Bills and Josh Allen look like a completely different team without Diggs. Allen is not turning it over and the Bills are winning games. The Colts I think are just awful. They benched Richardson and don’t look like a good team. This pick is based on the fact I think that the Bills have just been the better team all year and I don’t see how the Colts stay in this game.

I can’t believe we are at week 9 and this is going to be my first post here. I’ll start off by saying I hate the fact that my bet is going to make Andrew happy. I don’t have much to write about before posting my picks except for the fact that Tee Higgins is a bum. Out again costing Joe burrow fantasy points. Hopefully this week goes well and I’ll be posting again next week.

Commanders -4/ I mean do I have to explain this pick much? When was the last touchdown pass Daniel Jones threw at home? Sure he may be due but I refuse to believe it. Jayden Daniels looks like he’s going to win rookie of the year and the Commanders sit at 6-2. They just came out with an article yesterday that people wanna play for Washington. I expect the Commanders to do enough to cover the 4 points.

Underdog- Browns ML/ I’ll be honest I’m not too confident in this pick. But Mr krab legs is starting and that’s enough for me to take them after the big win last week. I just don’t know if I trust the Chargers yet. In my opinion they haven’t done anything to make me believe in them. Jameis will give a pregame speech and get those boys playing. He may throw 5 interceptions, but he will counter with 5 touchdowns. Give me the Browns and Winston to show Cleveland how bad Watson really was.

Lions -2.5/ I mean I just think the Lions are one of the best teams in the league. Goff is completing what feels like every pass. Gibbs and Montgomery are running wild, the teams winning games. The only thing that I see going wrong could be Dan Campbell being a moron. Could he run some fake punt and lose them the game sure. Love isn’t healthy and I don’t like what the cheeseheads showed me last week. Give me the lions

Week 9 is here people which means like it or not we’re already halfway through the regular season. After a somewhat disappointing 2-2 Week 8, we’ve managed to grind our way to a 19-17 record on the season. Admittedly I felt a little lucky with our wins last week and surprised by our losses. For our hits Jameis stunned the Ravens on his way to covering the Over and the Colts somehow covered for Dawg with Richardson at QB. Meanwhile the Pack decided to play with their food failing to cover for the Lock and once again I made the mistake of betting Denver in any capacity so the Triducken died with Javonte Williams. But to be entirely honest despite these losses I’m smiling through all of it because of the greatness that is Jayden Daniels. The kid is quite literally performing miracles on the field so crazy that I wouldn’t believe them if I saw them or if I had to have my dad give me the play by play on the phone. But hey since Washington is doing the impossible, maybe just maybe we can perform a miracle of our own and have a perfect week here at Bick’s Picks. So say a few Hail Marys and let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Broncos @ Ravens (46.5)

I know I know I shouldn’t bet Denver, but I just simply can’t stop betting Baltimore Overs. They’re 7-1 on the season and sure this opponent and this number give me pause but I’ve always been a ride it till the wheels fall off kinda guy so here we are. To their credit the Broncos have done well with Overs sitting at 5-3 on the season. This is partly due to Bo Nix starting to look like a real QB over the last month, during which he has Denver averaging over 27 points a game. I really debated whether or not to give the Broncos another chance but I figured third time’s the charm right? And hey maybe the Ravens are pissed off enough after that Browns upset to cover this total all by themselves.

Over 46.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Cowboys(+3.5) @ Falcons

Another week and another slate of games with big spreads. Once again we got at least 5 games with spreads at a TD or more and frankly I’m having a hard time telling Vegas they’re wrong. Which is why even though one of those dawgs will undoubtedly cover I found myself circling a smaller spread. I admittedly feel gross about this one because of my own biases but I can’t shake the feeling that Dallas is gonna win this game. I really want to believe the Cowboys are dead but Kirk is just the QB to give them life. I could provide some fancy stats but the thought of giving Dallas flowers makes me sick so let’s just hold our noses and make the pick.

Cowboys +3.5 (-118)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Rhamondre Stevenson, Josh Allen, Nick Chubb

The Triducken has been a source of frustration all season and I doubt that changes any time soon so why not have some fun with it. Rather than go for sure things I went with plum picks this week and these all jumped out. Rhamondre has been running hard since his “benching”, my doppelganger Josh always plays Miami well and I think Chubb goes off today in a rock fight with the Chargers. I didn’t go for the “sure thing” this time but not like those were hitting so let’s get nuts.

Anytime TD Triducken: Rhamondre Stevenson, Josh Allen, Nick Chubb (+1008)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Commanders (-4) @ Giants

Full disclosure that Hail Mary has my head the size of a hot air balloon so take this pick with a grain of salt but simply put I’m done being scared of Daniel Jones and the New York Giants. I won’t hide from the fact that Danny Pennies turns into Danny Dimes vs Washington as he has a 5-2-1 record against us but I don’t care. Frankly I’m done being concerned about that because this team isn’t those teams and last week was a perfect example of why. Sure it took a miracle but in the end they won the game and avoided what would’ve been an excruciatingly familiar loss. Everything about the vibe of this team feels different and simply put they should blow out New York. The Giants are 0-4 at home and averaging a measly 7.8 points a game which is the fewest in the NFL. Now they did keep things close Week 2 by holding JD5 and company to field goals but we also scored on every possession so that’s buying into. Of course I can imagine us blowing this game because I’ve seen it so many times in the past but I’m convinced this team is different. Jayden Daniels is different. So let’s bet on Washington to give my dad a very happy birthday. 

Commanders -4 (-112)

Week 8 is here people and there’s no bye weeks which means we got a full slate of games to choose from. Even with the bye weeks we’re hitting our stride here at Bick’s Picks and after another 3-1 we’ve got ourselves a winning record. Last week the TD Triducken finally got a win, Mahomes remained easy money as a Dawg and even Washington covered for the Lock after losing Jayden on the first drive. However I did not like that the Falcons and my old QB prevented us from going 4-0 by falling just short of the Over. Even though the perfect week seems ever elusive, after sifting through this week’s big spreads I think I see some potential wins to keep the good times rolling so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Ravens @ Browns (44.5)

Even though I was quick to blame Kirk in the end, my arrogance of picking a total over 50 twice in a row was the mistake and don’t worry we won’t be making that mistake again. Instead I’m turning to a reliable friend of the Over. Baltimore has hit the Over in 6 of their 7 games largely due to their ability to seemingly score at will. The two headed monster of Lamar and Henry is nearly unstoppable and has me seriously questioning what NFL franchises were thinking letting it happen. It’s no surprise they have the most potent rushing attack in the NFL but on top of that a top 5 passing offense making them the most dangerous offense in football. But that’s enough ball-washing for Baltimore as I’ve buried the lede for the real reason I love this pick and that’s the death of Deshaun and the return of Jameis. Cleveland has been desperate for a change at qb and this has to inject some life into their offense. So advise the Ravens to hide their crab cakes so that Jaboo just steals enough points for the total and doesn’t eat the W too.

Over 44.5 (-115)

Fade Dawgs

Colts(+5) @ Texans

I won’t lie I really wanted this game to be a Washington pick as we were +3 most of the week but now that Jayden looks like he’ll play now we’re -1 so the Colts are the play instead. After that vote of confidence I will say this was the dawg I liked the most. Even though this week we have 6 spreads of a touchdown or more I kept coming back to this game. The main reason is that no matter the circumstances the Colts tend to play the Texans tight. Over the past decade Indy is 10-1-1 against the spread in Houston and add that with Stroud being 3-8 against the spread as a favorite, that’s my kind of math. Plus the Colts are getting Jonathan Taylor back so I’m betting they control the ball most of the game and keep what I’m expecting to be an ugly rock fight close.

Colts +5 (-112)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Jahmyr Gibbs, Kareem Hunt, Javonte Williams

Hey, would you look at us? The Triducken got a win. Who would’ve thought. Certainly not me. My disbelief aside, I’m gonna do what I did last week and that’s K.I.S.S. Keep it simple stupid. Last week I picked the bell cow backs for heavy favorites and this week I’ll do the same. Gibbs, Hunt and Javonte should all find paydirt and if they don’t I’m sure I’ll be blaming Ben Johnson and David Montgomery.

Anytime TD Triducken: Jahmyr Gibbs, Kareem Hunt, Javonte Williams (+449)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Packers (-3.5) @ Jaguars

I’ll keep this short and sweet because I overslept and I’m rushing the crap out of this blog but pun intended I absolutely LOVE the Pack in this game. Jordan Love should shred this secondary and although I’m sure he’ll throw a pick he’ll hopefully throw 3 or 4 TDs to make up for it. On the flip side I don’t know how you can trust the hapless Jags. Sure they beat the Pats last weekend but they also went down 10 points quick and if they pull that against Green Bay I highly doubt their ability to come back. I’m betting the Packers roll and make Jacksonville regret not staying over in London.

Packers -3.5 (-115)

I can hardly believe it myself but we’re already a third of the way through the football season and what a wild season it’s been. Despite how crazy this season has been, we’re starting to get a sense for what teams are frauds and which ones are contenders. As a result we’re starting to figure things out here at Bick’s Picks and after a 3-1 Week 6 we’re back to .500 on the season. Last week we were Broncos backdoor cover away from a perfect week as our Over, Lock and Drake Maye Parlay all hit. For this week against my better judgment and because I’m on vacation and too lazy to come up with something else clever, the TD Triducken is back. My lack of creativity and apprehensions about the TD parlay aside I definitely see some wins on this slate of games so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Seahawks @ Falcons (51.5)

Breaking my rule again this picking a total over 50 but hey rules were made to be broken right? Admittedly both teams give me pause because of my own biases but I can’t deny both have shown they’re capable of putting up points. Seattle has scored 20 or more in each of their games so they should cover their half. Meanwhile Kirk has Atlanta cooking hitting the Over each time during their 3 game win streak. I don’t which of these teams comes out on top but I’m betting it’s a shootout.

Over 51.5

Fade Dawgs

Chiefs(+2) @ 49ers

I’m going to spare you the Thanos quotes and comparisons to Brady because I’m sure you guys got enough of those during their Super Bowl run last season. But simply put I can’t pass up a chance to bet Mahomes as a dawg. Coupled with the fact Kyle Shanahan and the Fraudy Niners like to find ways to throw away games in the 2nd half I had to roll with the Chiefs. 

Chiefs +2 (-112)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: James Cook, Kyren Williams, Brian Robinson Jr

I won’t pretend like I’m super confident with these picks because the TD Triducken hasn’t hit all season but even a blind squirrel finds a nut eventually. Cook, Kyren and BRob are the bellcow backs for their heavily favored squads so they should find the endzone right? Right?!? Fingers crossed they do but follow at your own risk and here’s hoping the “safe” play pays off.

Anytime TD Triducken: James Cook, Kyren Williams, Brian Robinson Jr (+387)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Commanders Team Total: Over 34.5 (+164)

Jayden Daniels. Need I say more? I suppose I should but in short I expect JD5 and company to score points in bunches so I’m picking a team total instead of a spread. Carolina is arguably the worst team in football and has been giving up at least 34 points in 4 of their 6 games. Sure you can get 31.5 at -102 but screw that fortune favors the bold! Is bold the right word? Either way I’m betting Washington will score and get a win to celebrate Darrell Green’s number retirement.

Commanders Team Total: Over 34.5 (+164) 

Alright before I start my weekly sermon about Washington’s lord and savior Jayden Daniels I gotta address the elephant in the room, which is that the TD Triducken has been an absolute dud. With no wins on the season I suppose I have only myself to blame for my failures but much like Aaron Rodgers I’m certainly not doing that. So instead the Triducken goes on the commissioner’s exempt list with the cocaine wolverine. Now don’t worry unlike Peppers it’ll be back this season and in its stead I got something fun cooked up. My complaints about the TD parlay aside, we did get a couple wins last week as the Over and the Lock came through so it wasn’t all bad. Maybe it’s just because I’m all fired up for the Battle of the Beltway but I like this Week 6 slate a lot. I think some potential easy wins that will help get Bick’s Picks back over .500 so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Commanders @ Ravens (51.5)

Come on you knew this game would be featured so why not get it out of the way early? Now I’ll be the first to admit I typically avoid anything over 50 but if there’s any teams that can cover that high a total it’s these two. If you’ve been following all season you’d know that I’ve made a habit of featuring both these teams and it’s paid off as both are 4-1 against the Over. There’s obviously a good reason these teams are hitting their Overs as both feature the hottest offenses to start the season. As a Washington fan it’s surreal that I can actually say they are the highest scoring team in football but it feels good I tell you what. Now unlike last week I don’t expect Jayden Daniels to cover this total on his own unfortunately I’m anticipating that he’ll be trying to keep pace with Baltimore all afternoon. It needs to be mentioned that Lamar is 21-1 against the NFC and even when Lamar is fumbling the snap he’s somehow throwing touchdowns. Oh and when you’re not worrying about Lamar you might just get run over by Tractorcito. On top of what these teams can do offensively on the flip side neither has been that dominant on defense with both being susceptible to the big play. So whether it’s JD5 or LJ8 that comes out on top we should see plenty of points today and maybe just maybe an upset win for Washington.

Over 51.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Chargers @ Broncos(+3)

There were a handful of dawgs that I liked this weekend but none of them barked as loud as the Bo and the Broncos. Maybe it’s just those Orange Crush throwbacks but I gotta tell you I’m ready to believe in this Denver win streak. Sure you can definitely be critical of what they can do on offense but their defense led by All Pro corner Patrick Surtain is no joke. Their lockdown secondary paired with a relentless pass rush that leads the league in qb pressures should be trouble for Herbert all afternoon. As for the Chargers even though they’re coming off a bye they remain a really banged up team and frankly a rather unremarkable one. They seem limited by a lack of weapons and committed to run heavy game scripts. I think this plays right into Denver’s hands as long as they can avoid giving them any short fields. Honestly at the end of the day the cherry on top for me was that the Chargers haven’t won in Denver since 2018 and that alone makes me think Broncos Country keeps riding.

Broncos +3 (-115)

Maye Day Parlay

Drake Maye Over 166.5 Passing Yards, 25+ Rushing Yards, 1 Passing TD

Much like Jacoby Brissett, the TD Turducken has been sat down on the bench to think about what’s done. So why not celebrate these benchings by embracing the arrival of Drake the Snake. Now I’ll admit that because of the past failures of the Triducken parlay I did set the bar rather low for Maye’s debut but I’m hoping he gets us an easy win. To be honest these benchmarks are around what Jacoby was farting out every week so I’m thinking the kid blows by them. I won’t go as far as to say the Pats get a win but maybe Maye will give them something to believe in.

Maye Daye Parlay: Drake Maye Over 166.5 Passing Yards, 25+ Rushing Yards, 1 Passing TD (+248)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Lions (-3.5) @ Cowboys

I will be up front in saying that this goes directly against something I said I wouldn’t do again after the NFC Championship last year and that’s bet on the Lions. Ben Johnson is dead to me and I’ll never be convinced that Jared Goof isn’t a tall glass of mid. But that was the past and in the present the Cowboys are kinda ass so I’m gonna bet against them. Dallas is a mess on defense because of injuries and frankly haven’t looked all that great without Dan Quinn calling plays. Obviously the Cowboys passing attack will move the ball but hopefully Detroit can slow down their one dimensional offense and force the timely turnovers Dak loves to give up so often. Inevitably we’ll sweat this one out but in the end I think we’ll be having knee caps for dinner.

Lions -3.5 (-102)