Week 18 is here people and even though it hasn’t been a banner year for us here at Bick’s Picks it’s still bittersweet to say goodbye to the 2025 regular season. Sure being a Washington fan and our overall betting record being (23-35-1) have left a lot to be desired but that doesn’t mean we won’t miss football. You gotta remember the football season is like a big delicious sandwich you gotta cherish every bite because before you know it it’s gone. Now before we scarf down that last bite we as always have last week to recap. As expected the perfect 3-0 week has remained elusive but did manage to go 2-1. Now I shouldn’t sell the Over or the Lock short as both those bets hit with ease. The Saints and Titans understood their assignment as they cruised to that 39.5 total and ended up being the second highest scoring game on the slate. Then later on the Lock was also easy money as the Giants cruised to victory against a full tank mode Raiders. However it can never be just easy wins for us here because it turns out the Panthers were always the Sad Cats and not the Dawg we needed them to be. As for our guest pick, Brady’s Parlay of the Day almost got back in the win column but fell just short thanks to the Bills. With that recap out of the way we can finally enjoy the last bite of the regular season sandwich so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Saints @ Falcons (43.5)

Now I didn’t really mention it but I’m sure if you’re reading this you’re aware that Week 18 is often a weird week. Every game is a divisional matchup so you’ve got teams with everything on the line or teams just desperate to get this season over with. You’ve got teams resting players for the playoffs and you got teams shutting people down looking ahead to next year. Needless to say it makes things even more unpredictable and often can spell disaster for an Over. Vegas even agrees as we’ve got 6 games on the slate with projected totals under 40. Now undoubtedly one or more of those games will hit the Over but I couldn’t talk myself into any of them because none have any real playoff implications. Now I know what you’re gonna say: “Wait a minute neither of these teams can make the playoffs” which is very true but in a gross twist of fate this game decides who manages to win the NFC South. I also like both these teams to show up and actually try to play football despite having nothing but pride and I’m sure some incentives on the line. The Saints are quietly on a win streak led by potential OROY Tyler Shough and on the flip side Bijan has been finishing the season like he’s the best back in football. Sure these teams are eliminated but my gut says that this game has the juice so let’s hope we get one more easy Over to end the regular season.

NO/ATL Over 43.5 (-118)

Fade Dawgs

Chargers (+14) @ Broncos

Similar to the Over the Dawg is a tricky bet to pick Week 18 because you gotta navigate a slate full of double digit spreads. There’s nearly 8 games with double digit spreads and some make sense while others are because there’s some roster nonsense going on. Just like those low totals one or more of these silly spreads will end up being a winning bet and I’m hoping this is the one. Yes I know the Chargers are sitting people but this isn’t the preseason so they’ll be forced to play some starters. Meanwhile although the Broncos are playing for the one seed there’s nothing they like more this season than close games. Sure Denver is 13-3 but they’re 2-9 against the spread as a favorite. Somehow someway Bo and the boys find a way to win but lord knows they like their fans to sweat it out. Oh and if those stats are convincing enough for you Jim Harbaugh is 10-0-1 against the spread vs the AFC West. So even though we’ve been Bolievers here I like the resting Chargers to cover this week.

Chargers +14 (-110)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Falcons ML, Hunter Henry 5+ Receptions, Ravens ML

One more try to end the regular season with a win. After a hot start to the season we haven’t hit on a parlay in some time, we are overdue for sure!

Leg 1: Falcons ruin the Bucs playoff hopes with a win over the Saints to give the Panthers the division. Take the Falcons moneyline

Leg 2: It’s incentive week to end the season so I wanted to do at least one for the parlay. We are going to go with Hunter Henry for 5+ catches as he cashes in on a $250,000 bonus against the Dolphins.

Leg 3: We will finish the regular season of BPOTD with the last game of the regular season. Ravens and Steelers battle on Sunday Night for the AFC North title. I like the Ravens to steal this one on the road in a close game. Take Baltimore ML.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Falcons ML, Hunter Henry 5+ Receptions, Ravens ML (+323)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Dolphins @ Patriots (-13.5)

It took every little bit of self-restraint I have to not bet on Washington in some way for this final week of the season. But let’s be honest we’ve lost enough money this year and I have no confidence that we can cover +3.5 at Philly. As much as I hate the Eagles and even though they’re resting starters I just can’t. So instead I’m choosing to rile up Pats fans one last time this regular season. I’m also gonna call all of you at the same time though because despite all your bitching and me being a supposed mush the Patriots have been pretty darn good this season. We’ll see what happens in the playoffs but it’s still the regular season and I’m gonna bet this dumb spread whether you like it or not. Sure -13.5 is a dumb number but they took care of that easily last week when they dominated the Jets. I’m expecting the same situation today against the Fins who are likely sitting their two best players on offense in Achane and Waddle. Nevermind the fact the Fins are terrible in the cold under Mike McDaniel so I’m betting Vrabel ends the season with another blowout to keep the morale high heading into their postseason run. 

Patriots -13.5 (-108)