Week 16 is here people and much like the Commanders and the once mighty Chiefs we’re officially playing out the string here at Bick’s Picks. After another disappointing 1-2 week we’ve reached the point where a winning record is out of reach. Honestly I’d be more annoyed if we were close but recently I’ve been impressed with how bad our picks have been. Somehow back to back weeks we picked a team to win outright for the Lock who ended up getting shutout. Meanwhile although I feel like watching Grandpa Rivers lived up to the hype of course that game failed to hit the Over. Fortunately being a Boliever managed to save the week as the Broncos kept on streaking winning their 11th game in a row. As for our guest pick I’m sure he’d rather I skip their recap because Brady’s Parlay of the Day continues to be cursed. Now despite being guaranteed losers for the 2025 regular season there will be no white-flag 4th quarter punts so let’s get into. 

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Chiefs @ Titans (37.5)

You might’ve thought I would’ve learned my lesson chasing a low total last week but here we are again. Frankly numbers like this are too low for me to ignore. Sure Mahomes is dead and sure the Titans are the Titans, but come on a total this low has to hit right? Tennessee is definitely one of the worst teams in the league, but they’ve been frisky lately putting up at least 24 points 3 of the last 4 weeks. On the other side I gotta think KC shows a little pride with Minshew under center and gives us something towards the total. I won’t deny that on paper Vegas is right to have this number this low but in the end I think it’s one that we don’t sweat out.

KC/TEN Over 37.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Patriots (+3) @ Ravens

Despite the protests of Pats this pick is happening. Honestly I had to feature this game in some way as I’m watching with fans from both sides. And after I picked the Ravens to lose outright last week I can’t suddenly change my opinion that I think they’re cooked for 2025. Sure whistling past that Joe Burrow interview was on me, but New England in not Cinci. After blowing that game against Buffalo I think that Vrabel is gonna light a bonfire under everyone’s ass so Maye and company should come out swinging. Sure they’re likely to let Baltimore comeback in the 2nd Half but either way I think +3 is just enough to cover the outcome of this game. So let’s bet that this Patriots’ season truly isn’t fool’s gold.

Patriots +3 (+100)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Josh Allen ATD, Jayhmir Gibbs 110+ Rush & Receiving Yards, Drake Maye 250+ Passing Yards

Short and sweet this week the NFL doesn’t make any sense this year, I suck but I guess we will give this another go. 

Josh Allen Anytime TD 

Jahmyr Gibbs 110+ Rush & Receiving Yards

Drake Maye 250+ Passing Yards

There it is bet at your own risk.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Josh Allen ATD, Jahmyr Gibbs 110+ Rush & Receiving Yards, Drake Maye 250+ Passing Yards (+526)

Bick’s Stone Cold Locks of the Century of the Week

Bills (-6.5) @ Browns & Raiders @ Texans (-13.5) 

Yea yea I know alt spreads are fake bets but I really gotta make an effort to avoid the shutout three-peat. At this point in the season double digit spreads exist for a reason as the Bills and Texans should dominate their matchups. The Raiders are truly god awful and the Browns are still the Browns no matter how many people want to vote Shedeur to the Pro Bowl. I will say I think the Browns are more likely to make things interesting at home which is why I teased that spread a little more but in the end a touchdown should be plenty to cover. It certainly isn’t the sexiest bet but at this point we’re just trying to avoid being an embarrassment. However if either of these teams manage to get shutout I really gotta find a way to harness this bad luck I’ve got. So sorry in advance to Bills Mafia and the Texans’ fan for this one.

Parlay: Bills -6.5 & Texans -13.5 (+166)