Week 15 is here people and let me just start by saying I’m officially done subjecting us all to the pain and inevitable disappointment that comes with betting on the 2025 Commanders. Whatever momentum or fight I thought this team had shown against Denver was clearly a mirage as they were embarrassingly shutout 31-0 by the Vikings. Needless to say they didn’t cover the -1.5 for the Lock and to add injury to insult Jayden hurt his elbow again. But enough about my misery and bad decisions we did actually hit a couple picks last week. First for the Over fading the public actually paid off as the Steelers and Ravens discount double checked their way to the total. Then for the Dawg the Jags beat the Colts so bad that Indy actually brought Philip Rivers out of retirement. A 2-1 week was real nice after the way Thanksgiving went for us but Bick’s Picks is gonna need several 3-0 weeks down the stretch if we want to get ourselves back respectability as we sit at 19-30-1 on the season. I wish I could say Brady’s Parlay of the Day was doing better but it’s also been tough sledding for them as their losing streak continued. Definitely not a banner year for us but honestly I’m not sure anyone predicted this would be the way this season would go. But we’re certainly not gonna pack it in and unprecedented levels of parity won’t stop us from enjoying what this bizarre football season has left to offer so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Colts @ Seahawks (41.5)

Last week we were rewarded for fading the public which has temporarily put the Over back in my good graces. However this week there isn’t a glaring Under that everyone is on except for of course the Commanders vs Giants game. Sure that 46.5 total is reachable with those defenses on the field but after the stink I made about not betting Washington I gotta at least keep my word for a week. Which in turn led me to the fateful decision to pick this Over. Frankly because of Philip Rivers’ inexplicable return to football this game had to be featured in some way. Maybe I should simply bet Seahawks -13.5 because there’s no way the Colts can actually keep this close with a literal grandpa under center but here we are. Seahawks should certainly do their part getting to this Over and call me crazy if you want but I think Indy shows up enough to at the very least make this entertaining. So throw on your bolo ties because we’re gonna be locked into this one.

IND/SEA Over 41.5 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Packers @ Broncos (ML)

I’m sure my fellow degenerates have noticed that Week 15 is packed full of big spreads. We’ve got 6 spreads over a touchdown, 5 of which are in the double digits. That said there’s a good reason that these spreads are so big as most of these matchups feature backup QBs, some of which literally came from retirement this week. For that reason I couldn’t really back any of those big road Dawgs with confidence instead we’re Bolievers again this week. Vegas essentially has this one as a coin flip and that’s a little surprising considering it’s at Mile High and because Denver has won 10 straight games. Sure they’ve all seemed to come down to the wire but here at Bick’s Picks we also like to live dangerously. Not to mention I’m a known Jordan Love hater so this pick was practically inevitable. Here’s hoping the Broncos keep on streaking otherwise my bad Pip.

Broncos ML (+102)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Colts Team Total Under 14.5, Patriots ML, Davante Adams ATD

Nothing has made sense lately in the NFL and it’s been a struggle to piece together a successful parlay. And now we are going into a week where 44 year old Philip Rivers who has been out of the league for a few years is starting for the Colts? Honestly I’m a little worried for him coming out of this game alive. He looked cooked at the end of his last season and somehow the Colts think he is going to be better now? I don’t understand but that’s where we are starting with leg 1 this week. The Colts offense is going to struggle against Seattle so let’s take their team under 14.5 points.

For leg 2 the Bills who have been so inconsistent week to week are favored on the road against the first place Patriots? Make that make sense. Take the Pats moneyline as we will be celebrating a division title tomorrow for the first time since 2019. We are back baby!

Last leg will be an anytime touchdown for Davante Adams. The guy has been a touchdown machine this year and I expect this game between the Rams and Lions to be a shootout. Lock in Adams for at least one TD.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Colts Team Total Under 14.5, Patriots ML, Davante Adams ATD (+483)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Ravens @ Bengals (ML)

Since I already apologized to my cousin Pip for picking the Broncos I might as well apologize to my friend JG for picking against the Ravens. With that out of the way let the slander commence because I think that Baltimore is absolutely cooked. Lamar just hasn’t been the same since coming back as he can’t get it going through the air and when he’s running it looks like his IBS is acting up. Not to mention on the other side of the ball their defense is banged up and simply can’t get stops when they need them most. Meanwhile for Cinci sure they proved they’re still the Bungles with how that Bills game ended but unlike Lamar, Joe Burrow has been slinging it since he came back from injury. The Bengals defense has also been a bit feisty lately showing some pride after being a doormat for most of the season. There’s always a chance John Harbaugh can rally the troops but after the last two weeks I think Burrow delivers the final nail in the coffin.

Bengals ML (+130)