Week 14 is here people and let me just start off this week with a congratulations to my cousin Pip and his lady Becca as they ended up being ones to leave Landover last Sunday night with a win. Sure the game ended better for the Broncos but it’s hard for me to complain too much about being in attendance for an OT thriller that came down to the last play. It was certainly a memorable experience for us and one that I wouldn’t want to forget. However, something I continue to wish I could forget is all of my stupid bets. Much like my Commanders this 2025 betting season has been one to forget as we farted out our second 0-3 week. Things looked bad right away as the Cardinals and Bucs struggled through a scoreless 1st quarter which essentially killed the Over before it had a chance. Then we had the Dawg which was just dumb because I backed Rodgers and I hate that guy. Lastly we got the Lock and my apologies to the Jets because they did their part and more. Unfortunately for us I also had Cleveland covering +7.5, which thanks to some special teams blunders ended up being a mistake. Sure I could blame being distracted by the holiday or by attending the game but I’m not here to give you excuses I’m here to give you results. And like it or not we’ve only got 5 weeks left to right the ship so without further ado let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Steelers @ Ravens (43.5)

I’m gonna admit the Over is starting to annoy me especially after last week. I was so sure of the Bucs vs Cardinals Over and that crap felt dead on arrival. It’s still one of my favorite bets but maybe because it’s a down year for the NFL but they’ve just seemed harder than ever. I’m sure it doesn’t help that half the teams in the league just have to make it to the 50 before settling for some 60+ yarder but right now I’m just avoiding saying that I hated all the totals this week. Everyone I looked at I just kept coming up with reasons that it was gonna be an Under. Which kinda sorta led me to this game. I don’t know why but I couldn’t avoid betting this Over when everyone says it’ll be an Under. Sure I got burned by Rodgers last week and sure Lamar looks kinda stinky playing hurt but I can’t help myself. So logic be damned, we’re betting this Over because life is too short to do otherwise.

PIT/BAL Over 43.5 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Colts @ Jaguars (ML)

For as much as I complain about and deride the AFC South I sure have been betting on them a lot this season. This time though I swear it’s different! I certainly won’t try and hype up Trevor Lawrence lord knows that goober is gonna do something stupid. The main reason we’ve had this matchup circled is that the Colts simply don’t beat the Jags on the road. Indy hasn’t won a game in Jacksonville since 2014 and a streak like that is right up our alley. Not to mention Daniel Jones is playing on a broken leg and finally looking like the pumpkin we know him to be. You can take the +1.5 if you want but I’m betting Liam Coen will have that Duuuuuval grin after the game.

Jaguars ML (+105)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Jayden Daniels 220+ Pass Yards, Quinshon Judkins ATD, Puka Nacua 100+ Receiving Yards

Let’s face facts BPOTD has sucked over the past month or so and it’s time to shake things up this week. We are not picking winners and losers but I’m going to give you three props that I think will hit this Sunday.

First one will be Jayden Daniels to pass for over 220 yards in his return to the field for the Commanders. A lot riding on Washington this week as I am also going with them in my survivor pool as I see them fired up to get a win after that heartbreaking loss last week to Denver.

Leg 2 will be an Anytime TD from Quinshon Judkins as the Browns face the putrid Titans defense. Judkins has 7 TDs so far on the season so look for him to get number 8 on Sunday.

Finally we have over 100 receiving yards for Puka Nacua. The Rams need a win badly after their loss to the Panthers last week dropped them out of the 1 seed. Look for Stafford to air it out against Arizona and Puka should get plenty of that action.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Jayden Daniels 220+ Pass Yards, Quinshon Judkins ATD, Puka Nacua 100+ Receiving Yards (+689)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Commanders (-1.5) @ Vikings

Jayden is back. JJ McCarthy blows. Washington should win and frankly needs to win. This season is lost but you gotta find something to build on going into the offseason. Some will complain that I just bet my team and that’s why Bick’s Picks record is what it is but being loyal to a fault is kind of our MO. So if you don’t like it, tough titties. Hey most of you fade us anyways or you could bet the Seahawks -6.5 because that’s what it would’ve been otherwise. But honestly after the effort the Commanders showed on SNF and with the kid coming back I really like us today so keep that confidence in mind if you decide to #RaiseHail with us.

Commanders -1.5 (-102)