Week 13 is here people and for better or worse we’re delivering these picks from the DMV as the Bickford clan is on location for a Sunday Night showdown between Washington and Denver. Some of you might be wondering why my family and I would subject ourselves to this but you gotta understand we made this fateful choice before the season and at the time it seemed like a fun thing to do together Thanksgiving weekend. I’m sure we’ll still have a good time sharing the experience and at the very least since my cousin Pip and his lady are Broncos fans someone will be leaving Landover with a win. Now I mentioned Thanksgiving but honestly wish I hadn’t because all we did was lose money. The Feasting Favorites parlay was a complete flop as every single favorite not only failed to cover they lost outright. As for the Triducken it was dead on arrival as Jahmyr Gibbs let us down immediately only for Rice and Henry to score the 1st TDs in the later games. Needless to say the Lions are on my shit list for the next few years as the unwanted tradition of them ruining Thanksgiving can’t be allowed to continue. Now as always we don’t dwell on our losses here we chase them so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Cardinals @ Buccaneers (44.5)

As I mentioned earlier we’ll be attending SNF and because of how bad Washington has been I’d been scratching my head as to why we weren’t flexed out for another game. That was of course until I saw the Sunday slate. That’s because unless you’re a weirdo AFC South fan nothing is really that appealing aside from the Bills/Steelers game but we’ll talk about that later. Right now we gotta sift through a slate full of ugly matchups, bad weather and low totals to find some scoring. Now personally this matchup isn’t sexy at first glance but the reason I’m here is because I expect both of these offenses to show up. The Bucs thankfully have Baker playing and they also should have the long awaited return of Bucky Irving so I like them to bounce back after being shut down by the Rams. On the other side I’m not gonna try and hype up Jacoby Brissett but I gotta acknowledge that he’s at least made Arizona frisky since Kyler’s soft benching. Sure they’re not winning games but they’ve been good for at least 21 points since he took over Week 6 so hopefully that should be enough to get us to our total. So fingers crossed we found the scoring gem in the pile turds.

ARI/TB Over 44.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Bills @ Steelers (+3)

I teased this matchup earlier and honestly felt a little obligated to bet on this game in some way because based on records it’s the game of the day. That sense of obligation aside, I do actually really like the Steelers in this spot. This feels like one of those games where Tomlin rallies the troops after a tough loss, not to mention the Bills stink on the road. Sure the Bills are trying to bounce back but that might be hard to do since they simply haven’t been the same team on the road. The offense struggles away from Orchard Park and their defense home or away has had trouble stopping pretty much anyone. Sure I have no love for Rodgers but he should be able to dink and dunk his way down the field enough times to keep this game close. Plus if Josh Allen is doing the push all the buttons thing there’s a chance that Pitt just wins this one outright.

Steelers +3 (-105)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: 49ers -5.5, Buccaneers -3.5, Broncos -5.5

I continued to let down this week as the Seahawks let up a garbage time TD to ruin the cover and the Bucs were a complete no show on Sunday night. Hopefully this will be the week we turn it around.

Let’s start with the 49ers vs the Browns. Cleveland looked decent last week in Shedeur’s debut but that was against the Raiders. This week is a different story against San Fran. I like the Niners by at least a touchdown in this one. Take them at -5.5.

Leg two I’m going to give the Bucs another chance in a get right game against the Cardinals. Mayfield is on track to play and the Bucs really need this game. Take them with the spread at – 3.5.

Last of all we have the Broncos and Commanders on Sunday night. The Broncos need the win to keep pace with the Pats atop the AFC and with the Commanders still without Jayden Daniels I expect Denver to win relatively easily in this one. I apologize to my boss here on Bick’s Picks, who will be in attendance to root on his team but I have to go with Denver in this one at -5.5.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: 49ers -5.5, Buccaneers-3.5, Broncos -5.5 (+558)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Parlay: Jets +7.5 and Browns +7.5

Yup that’s right I’m really mixing things up for the Lock this week. After a big day for the Dawgs on Thursday I feel like it’s shaping up to be a big Dawg weekend. Now the true degenerates will immediately notice that I moved the lines and I know some of you will dismiss the pick for that alone but frankly I don’t care. Honestly I was tempted to pick the Dawgs to win outright, that’s how good I feel. Which is also why I had the self awareness to hedge my plums and provide ya’ll with a less risky bet. First I’m riding with Jets because I simply gotta fade Kirk. I’ve seen first hand how bad a windy game at the Jersey Swamp can go for him and on the other side I’m more confident backing the Jets with Tyrod under center. As for the Browns just like last week I’m riding with them because of their game changing defense. I saw how Purdy struggled against the Panthers so I can only imagine what crappy weather and Myles Garrett will do to him. Now again I know what I’m trying to sell you which is why I’m telling you to pick alt spreads. I also realize I’m fading BPOTD but he picked Denver so that paraly doomed anyways right? Right??

Parlay: Jets +7.5 and Browns +7.5 (+120)