Week 12 is here people and I don’t know who needs a bye week more, the Washington Commanders or us at Bick’s Picks because despite our best efforts it continues to be a tough season. Mercifully the NFL has at least given us a break from Washington football but like it or not there’s no week off from the picks. As always though before we present our ramblings on how to lose your beer money we gotta dwell on the failures of last week. Unfortunately for our guest pick, Brady’s Parlay of the Day continues to be included in that category as they can’t seem to find the winning combination. Meanwhile Bick’s Picks woke up extra early only to fumble ourselves to a 1-2-1 week. Adding another Over for the Spain game just doubled the disappointment as OT couldn’t get Washington the win or even get us to that total. Then there was the Lock that honestly really should’ve been a hit but the Rams just had to let the Seahawks get that backdoor cover despite 4 interceptions by Sam Darnold. Before that win was stolen from us the Dawg was also robbed as the Packers gave us our first push of the season by succeeding on a 2 point conversion in the final minutes to deny us Giants +7. Now technically last week wasn’t a complete loss as we did atleast get an easy Over win thanks to the Bucs/Bills shootout. Honestly I feel like Week 11 perfectly summed up the kind of betting season it’s been for us, the good, the bad and the ugly mixed with a dash of snatching defeat from the claws of victory. This week though perhaps having my miserable team on bye will allow me to see this slate a little more clearly so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Giants @ Lions (50.5)

Now I know I said last week would likely be the first and last time we bet on New York but they technically didn’t lose our bet so we’re back again! Obviously the main reason we’re on this game is Detroit, as I’m expecting them to do most of the heavy lifting to get us to this total. After they laid an egg on the road in Philly I expect them to bounce back at home. That’s kinda been the Lions M.O. this season and I expect that to continue against a Giants team that always leaves the backdoor open. Don’t get me wrong they’ve been a scrappy team and at the very least have done their best to make things entertaining despite coming up short time and time again. So even though I expect a Detroit rebound to be where most of our points come from I also expect Jameis and the G-Men to put a couple on the board.

NYG/DET Over 50.5 (-120)

Fade Dawgs

Browns (+3) @ Raiders

One of our readers texted me this morning asking if they were crazy for liking the dogs today but I’m not sure if they were intending on being this crazy. Sure the play could be the comically low 35.5 total but instead we’re riding with Shedeur in his debut as a starter. All jokes aside, the real reason we’re believing in Cleveland is that they have the best unit on the field. Myles Garrett and that defense have managed to keep them in seemingly every game even against superior competition. Today however they face the Raiders and I’m not sure that Geno survives this game. Who knows maybe picking this Dawg is too crazy but hopefully we’re crazy like a fox not stupider.

Browns +3 (+100)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Chiefs ML, Seahawks -12.5, Buccaneers +7

Another 1-2 week for us last week, it’s time to right the ship this week.

Leg 1, the Colts vs Chiefs. Is the Chiefs dynasty really over? I’m not going to lie, I’ve loved watching their underwhelming season so far as they sit at 5-5. I however am a realist and don’t think they are going away without a fight, I see them taking care of business at home this week in a close one with Indy. Take the Chiefs moneyline.

Leg 2, in a game that no one is interested in we have the Seahawks and the Titans. Tennessee blows like really really blows. I expect Seattle to take care of them easy. Take Seattle with the spread.

Finally leg number 3, we are going back to the night game which has served us well in prior weeks. We have the Bucs vs Rams in what should be a good game between two first place teams in the NFC. The spread in this one favors the Rams by 7 but I expect a closer game than that so let’s take the Bucs +7 in this one to finish off our parlay.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Chiefs ML, Seahawks -12.5, Buccaneers +7 (+450)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Patriots (-13.5) @ Bengals

Now our loyal readers, especially the Pats fans should recognize this alt spread. Week 1 last season I disrespected New England by predicting that a Burrow led Bengals would blow doors and start the Mayo era with resounding defeat. I think we all know how that went. However in the end even though I was right about Mayo wow wow wow what a difference a year makes. Vrabel skipped right past the rebuild and right now has this team poised to secure a playoff bye. Now I know playing with alt spreads can be a recipe for disaster and I’m sure some will complain I’m a mush but take this for the compliment that it is. Frankly there’s no reason New England shouldn’t beat up on a Flacco led Bengals that has no Ja’Mar Chase. On top of that we all know the Bengals defense is arguably the worst in the league especially with no Trey Hendrickson. So even though I deep down hate to say it, the Patriots Maye be good.

Patriots -13.5 (+157)