Week 10 is here people and frankly I’d like to pretend that Week 9 never happened. Sure I enjoyed some perfect football weather while attending the Pats game but that was clearly all the fun I was allowed to have that day. Not only did we have our first 0-3 week here at Bick’s Picks, the nightmare season for the Washington Commanders continued. Yet another disgraceful loss in primetime and worst of all the injuries simply won’t stop piling up. It was undoubtedly gonna be a tougher season but this has been painful to watch. So obviously the Dawg didn’t hit as my blind faith in Jayden was not rewarded. Before that brutal loss the Lock and the Over also let us down. I got no excuses for the Over, I don’t know what I was thinking with the Texans. As for the Lock I guess this is also the season where I shouldn’t bet the Chiefs because whenever I do they flop. Unfortunately our losing has been contagious as Brady’s Parlay of the Day also came up short giving us all a winless Week 9. So like I said earlier, why don’t we do ourselves a favor by pretending last week never happened and let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Lions @ Commanders (49.5)

Full disclosure I had the Ravens game here first but I simply can’t shake the feeling that Dan Campbell is gonna try to destroy Washington. Even though it feels like a lifetime ago I certainly remember how much fun I had watching us beat the Lions in the playoffs so you can guarantee Detroit remembers the loss. Add that with the fact they’re actually coming off a close loss to the Vikings this is a big rebound spot with a chance to send a message. Now you won’t see me outright pick against Washington unlike SOME people but this is about as close as you’ll see me get. I do think Mariota will move the offense some and hopefully add to the total but who knows maybe Goff drops a 50 burger on us. Hey maybe the Commanders will put on an inspired performance for the President but in the end it’s more likely Donald changes his mind about having our stadium named after him.

Over 49.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Patriots (+2.5) @ Buccaneers

Given my luck picking games this season I’m sure Pats fans won’t love this pick but frankly I’m flattered you think Bick’s Picks has that much of an impact. Truthfully this is the pick for 3 reasons: 1. I honestly had no clue what other Dawg to choose (I wasn’t picking the Niners you’re welcome Jesse), 2. It’s arguably the game of the week and most importantly 3. I think New England can win this game. Drake Maye has been phenomenal putting together a season reminiscent of what JD5 did last season. Much like my QB there is some concern about the amount on his plate and all the hits the kid takes but right now it’s all about the results. Winners of 6 straight it’s hard to not see them keep rolling to make it 7. That said, winning won’t be easy because Tampa also has Baker playing at an MVP level despite dealing injuries issues as bad as Washington’s. But that’s also where I give New England the edge in the end because even though they’re coming off the bye the Bucs still aren’t 100% especially on offense. Oh and since ya’ll know how much I love silly stats I gotta share that Todd Bowles is 0-3 off the bye in Tampa and 1-6 all time as a head coach. Even with a sexy stat like that the ML has been so unkind to the Dawg so we’re gonna take the points just in case they’re firing the cannons in a close one at Raymond James.

Patriots +2.5 (+100)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Jaguars -1.5, Bills -9.5, Lions -8.5 (+662)

Last week was the worst week for BPOTD so far as only 1/3 legs hit. We’ll try to make up for that this week and get us back into the win column.

First leg the Jags vs the Texans without CJ Stroud. The Texans have been bad with their franchise QB, I can’t imagine it will get any better with Davis Mills this week. Take the Jags to cover a small spread on the road at 1.5

Second leg will feature a matchup of inferior AFC East teams now that the Pats are back at the top where they belong, as the second place Buffalo Bills take on the dumpster fire that is the Miami Dolphins. Look for the Bills to win by a bunch in this one and take them at -8.5.

Lastly, I want to start by saying that this pick is not a shot at Andrew and his beloved Commanders, but I couldn’t resist taking the Lions this week with Daniels out for Washington. The spread is only 7.5 and I expect the Lions to come out fired up after their postseason loss to Washington last year. Take Detroit to cover the spread.

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Jaguars -1.5, Bills -9.5, Lions -8.5 (+662)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Saints @ Panthers (-5.5)

Your eyes don’t deceive you! We’ve another Lock appearance by the Carolina Reapers. The Panthers have been a frisky team all season and despite having to survive a brief Dalton stint they’re still a surprising 5-4. Meanwhile for the Saints the Tyler Shough era has begun and he looked about as good as he probably could against the Rams but today I think he struggles. Add that with the fact the Saints were sellers at the deadline. Sure didn’t have a fire sale like the Jets but they sold enough that I think they’re a worse team than a week ago. Chances are I’m off a week picking this team but the way I see it if they can win at Lambeau they should be able to cover at home. Meow.

Panthers -5.5 (-108)