Week 6 is here people and I don’t know about the rest of you but it feels like fall is officially upon us. The leaves are changing colors, football is in full swing, the Jankees have been eliminated from the playoffs and there’s Halloween decorations everywhere. Simply no better time of the year. The best sports month has also been a profitable one for us so far as we started off October on a good note. First off props to Brady’s Parlay of the Day on their big win which was capped off by Drake Maye spoiling the debut of those lame tin foil Bills unis. Bick’s Picks also managed another 2-1 week on our quest to get back to .500. First the Texans delivered the Over all on their way to crushing the Lamar-less Ravens. Next the Broncos not only covered for the Dawg they won outright while potentially breaking the Iggles in the process. However the Lock fell flat on its face as I should’ve known better than to bet Sam Darnold during spooky season. But we can’t sweat the ghosts of bad bets past so let’s get into it.
Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under
Rams @ Ravens (43.5)
As if my ancient iphone wasn’t evidence enough, I’m clearly a big fan of the saying “if it ain’t broke then don’t fix it”. Which is exactly what brings us back to the Over’s best friend the Ravens. Now unfortunately for Baltimore a few things are broken but that’s also what gives us confidence betting against their defense. With a pharmacy receipt for an injury report it’s hard to expect that they’ll suddenly be able to stop anyone. It would be a genuine surprise if Puka and company couldn’t put up numbers but if they don’t go off for a 40 burger we got some birthday juju working for the other side. Our friend and often critic of Bick’s Picks, JG will be in attendance. So even if he doesn’t get a win we’re betting that he at least gets to see some TD’s on his birthday. So let’s run it back with Charm City one more time before Vegas catches on.
Over 43.5 (-115)
Fade Dawgs
Browns (+5.5) @ Steelers
I won’t lie, this pick is all plums with a side order of hate. I don’t care about will.i.am’s record after the bye, I can’t shake the fact I want Rodgers to lose. Sure you argue I shouldn’t let such feelings cloud my judgment but I’d ask are you new here? I certainly won’t try to hype up Cleveland’s offense but their defense, especially their pass rush, is a force to be reckoned with. Maybe we shouldn’t expect Myles Garrett and company to pull off an upset but at the very least I am expecting some elder abuse in Pittsburgh today that keeps this game close. We may not be at the Dawg Pound today but we’re certainly riding with them.
Browns +5.5 (+100)
Brady’s Parlay of the Day
The Parlay: Rams -7, Buccaneers ML, Det/KC Over 52.5
The 1st leg of the day seems too easy so hopefully it doesn’t let us down early today. The Rams visit the Ravens without Lamar and all it takes to beat the spread is winning by slightly more than a touchdown? Sign me up, take the Rams -7. Leg 2 features a good one in the 4:00 window with the 4-1 Bucs taking on the 4-1 Niners at home. Both teams have overcome a lot of big injuries early in the season and it’s honestly impressive that they are both sitting here with only one loss. This one seems like a coin flip to me but let’s go with the Bucs at home to win a close one. Take the Bucs moneyline. I tried to talk myself out of using the Sunday night game again but it paid off for us last week when our hometown Pats took down the undefeated Bills and Brady’s Parlay of the Day hit for the second time in its brief 4 week existence here on Bick’s Picks. So we are going into the night game for the final leg, I couldn’t convince myself that the NFL would let the Chiefs start 2-4 even though they have looked really bad so far. So let’s go with the over in this one as at the very least there should be a good amount of scoring in this one. Take the over in the Lions vs Chiefs on SNF.
Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Rams -7, Buccaneers ML, Det/KC Over 52.5 (+469)
Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week
Patriots (-3.5) @ Saints
Once again I got too cute with the Lock. This pick has to be about plums and the bet I feel the best about which is what I said last week but fell for the trap of a good game. Sure, the Bucs vs Seahawks game certainly delivered from an entertainment and fashion perspective but it certainly didn’t help my wallet. Not falling for that good game trap this week though! I’m here for a one-sided affair where we don’t have to sweat it out. In a week full of road favorites and potential blowouts I’m riding with the Pats. Now I know what you’re thinking this has let down written all over it especially since I’m betting the Lock against the NFC South again but the 3rd time’s the charm right? Once again we’ve got friends who are fans of both these teams so I’ll keep it simple and say if New England takes care of the ball this one we don’t stress. Drake Maye has officially arrived as a guy and when all is said and done if he can outduel Josh Allen he should beat the Rattler. So let’s hop on the duck boat and bet the good times keep rolling for the Foxboro faithful.
Patriots -3.5 (-105)