Week 4 is here people and I hope you all enjoyed a Guinness while watching NFL Europe this morning. I’m sure some of you are wondering why there’s no cheeky Irish themed pick this morning but as I told a few of you this is an American blog and we don’t concern ourselves with those Sunday morning shenanigans. Don’t you fret though there’s plenty of other games to choose from today and maybe just maybe started to right the ship here at Bick’s Picks. Back to back 2-1 weeks has us climbing out of the hole we dug ourselves Week 1. First we had the Vikings cover the Over all by themselves and Washington took care of business for the Lock again. Unfortunately as mentioned earlier it was not a perfect week as the Patriots quite literally fumbled that opportunity away. However you know who didn’t fumble the bag our resident parlay expert Matthew Brady! Sure he might’ve needed a couple miraculous blocked field goals to pull it out but that winning slip doesn’t care how pretty the W is. That said I wouldn’t mind some easy wins today and I think this slate can deliver, so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Ravens @ Chiefs (48.5)

Let’s get the obvious out of the way and say that barring a tie it’s pretty crazy that one of these teams is going to 1-3. Both have been the cream of the crop in the AFC but right now neither team can get out of their own way. Whether it’s 4th quarter fumbles or injury their own players it’s largely been a September to forget. However we’re not picking one of these teams to win we’re betting that they’ll score. Baltimore is a familiar face for the Over so it wasn’t stretch to include them and loyal readers know I love to hype up an underdog Mahomes. This is a game both of these Super Bowl hopefuls desperately need get back on track so I’d expect both teams to pull out all the stops and we get our 7 TDs with ease.

Over 48.5 (-120)

Fade Dawgs

Commanders (ML) @ Falcons

I mean as soon as I saw that line had moved to Washington being a Dawg this was going to be the play. I’m not gonna ignore that the Commanders have several injuries that’s an obvious concern and why the line is what it is. However I think this team proved they can win when the next man up is called and Atlanta proved that they’re a team capable of being shutout. Plus how can I resist another Marcus Mariota revenge game? AND this is Dan Quinn’s return to Atlanta, the stars are aligning for another Commanders W. As for the Falcons maybe it’s my righty bias but I’m a big Penix detractor. Something about his throwing motion looks so awkward it makes me feel like every throw could be picked. Honestly if Bijan can be contained this is a bet I think we win with ease. Now there is +2.5 you guys can take but we only bet Washington wins here so let’s #RaiseHail again.

Commanders ML (+120)

Brady’s Parlay of the Day

The Parlay: Eagles ML, Rams ML, Packers -7

In a matchup of two undefeated teams we have the Eagles and The Bucs. The Bucs have dominated this series lately including two postseason wins in the past few years, however the injury depleted Bucs lost another big piece with Mike Evans going down last week against the Jets. I think the injuries are too much to beat the Eagles this week even if Chris Godwin is able to make his season debut. Take the Eagles moneyline in this one. Leg number 2 showcase another undefeated team with the 3-0 Colts going on the road to take on the 2-1 Rams. I think the Colts have been overachieving a tad so far this year and this will be their first real test to prove if they are for real and Daniel Jones just needed to get out of the dumpster fire that is the Giants organization. I like the Rams to bring Jones and the Colts back to reality in this one and I’m taking them with the moneyline. Jesse if you’re reading this I hope this helps you forgive me for picking against them last week! The final leg of the day is the Packers and Cowboys on Sunday night football! Micah Parsons returns to Dallas and will look to help the Packers take down his old squad. The Packers need a big rebound after they got embarrassed losing to the lowly Browns last week. Look for a very motivated Green Bay team to take it to the Cowboys this week and beat them by more than a touchdown. Take the Cheese at -7. 

Brady’s Parlay of the Day: Eagles ML, Rams ML, Packers -7 (+357)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Saints @ Bills (Over 34.5)

These picks are coming out super late so I’m gonna keep this short and sweet. The spread is too gross to do anything so we’re just gonna bet the Bills to score with ease. The Saints are a mess and I struggle to see how they stop anything Buffalo throws at them. Josh Allen and company will wanna put on a show at home so I can see 5 TDs happening heck maybe even a defensive score for good measure. Bills Mafia let’s ride.

Bills Team Total Over -34.5 (+150)