It’s officially the first Sunday of the NFL season and man does it feel good to be back. No matter how today goes, the fact that’s a full slate of football we can just sit down and enjoy is a great feeling. It’s also gonna feel great to put those openers behind us because they went as bad as they could go for us. An 0-4 start is the complete opposite of what we had in mind and the way those games started for our side it almost seemed like the fix was in vs Bick’s Picks. The first game had Jalen Carter getting tossed immediately for spitting on that Dak and then in the next game we had Mr. Swift murdering Xavier Worthy on the first drive. Oh and don’t even get me started on what that lightning delay did to the Over. At the end of the day though I’m not at all surprised the Eagles found a way to piss me off and frankly the Chiefs actually losing is a nice change of pace. But as you all know we don’t dwell on our losses here at Bick’s Picks we chase them and there’s plenty of winning bets on this Sunday slate. For the few of you that might be new here, a quick refresher on our format we got an Over, a Dawg, a TD Parlay I’ll regret immediately and my Lock of the week. Maybe at some point this season we might have a couple guest picks to shake things up but for now you just my picks to fade so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Texans @ Rams (43.5)

For whatever reason this game was calling my name all week. Perhaps it was because my cousin Jesse was calling me all week talking about the Rams but nevertheless I’m liking this number. Don’t get me wrong, the concern that Stafford’s back could explode at any time gives me pause but other that I like these teams to do some scoring. The Texans are hoping their re-vamped OL can give Stroud more time and that’s what I’m betting on too. Even if he is running for his life hopefully he can find Nico enough times to add to the total. Meanwhile if Stafford stays alive Puka and Davante should keep that offense moving till Kyren vultures the scores. Week 1 can be a wild one and hopefully this is one of the shoot outs we don’t have to sweat out.

Over 43.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Dolphins (+1.5) @ Colts

I’m not gonna lie Week 1 is always a tricky week for me to pick a Dawg and I feel like I’m kinda cheating with this one because of how close the line is. But you know what these are my picks and my brain struggles to process the concept of Daniel Jones even being a slight favorite. Sure the Dolphins come with their share of question marks and drama but because this is make it or break it time for the McDaniels era I think they come out and try to make a statement. Even if the Dolphins start slow at the very least you’d think they have the weapons to come back or at the very least keep it close against a team that’s likely just trying to control the rock and avoid turnovers. However if Reek, Waddle and Achane are running free early I can’t see Vanilla Vick mounting some big comeback. Also add the fact the Colts have been a horrible Week 1 team against the spread with a 2-12-1 record over the last 15 seasons. Now because this line is kinda gross you might just want to take the ML but I’ll take the points just in case.

Dolphins +1.5 (-118)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin, Derrick Henry

For those of you who don’t remember I was DREADFUL at parlays last year heck I even retired them for the Tiersducken where I ranked the rookie qbs. That was a fun change of pace but let’s be honest, that was just an excuse for me to talk more about Jayden Daniels. Either way I’m not one to back down from a challenge and also enough of you give me crap that I gotta at least try to get one of these right. So first we got what I feel like is an obvious one in Mike Evans because it feels like the guy always scores Week 1. Next is Terry because my bias had to break through eventually and because I feel like there will be a point made to give him the ball after all the hold out nonsense. Last is Tractorcito because even though we’ll have to wait for it to hit I feel like it’s one of the safer bets today. So dread it or fade it the TD Triducken arrives all the same.

Anytime TD Triducken: Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin, Derrick Henry (+896)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Giants @ Commanders (-6)

I won’t hide from the bias oozing out of this pick because this one is as much of a homer pick as you’ll ever get. Don’t get me wrong, the dread and concern I’ve had all week, heck the dread I’ve had since the schedule released about this Week 1 division trap definitely gives me pause. But frankly I’m sick of the sophomore slump talk and all talk about steps back. This is a game that Washington should win and should win by a TD. That said, given my current betting luck and our team’s history of disappointment I don’t expect many of you to jump on this with me and I don’t blame you. The +6 for the Giants is a trendy pick but you know damn well we would never do something like that here at Bick’s Picks. None of that soft ass fading our fandom crap we’re riding with our guys because that’s what we do here. Time to #RaiseHail and prove that this team is here to stay.

Commanders -6 (-112)