Week 15 is here people which means the bye week madness is finally over and we have ourselves a full slate of NFL games to choose from. Now we did struggle a bit with all those byes, but not last week as we managed to have ourselves a winning week. We didn’t have to sweat the Over, the Panthers covered for the Dawg nearly winning outright and Jameis threw just enough interceptions to make sure the Steelers covered for the Lock. Heck even the intern almost got the Triducken a win as it only came up a leg short because of Jets things. Things are trending up for us here at Bick’s Picks and maybe it’s just the holiday season or that big UConn win over Gonzaga but I’m brimming with optimism so let’s get into it. 

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Dolphins @ Texans (46.5)

What can I say when something works I have a tendency to keep doing it until it doesn’t. Now of course that strategy has failed me before but in this case I feel confident running it back with the Fins. Sure they’re not at home but playing in a dome should be just fine for this warm weather team. On the flip side I’ve been admittedly down on the Stroud boys as they just haven’t seemed right this season but I think coming off the bye they’ll be up for a shootout. On paper this is the best 1pm game and I think it’ll live up to that expectation. Not to mention I love this number so let’s run it back with another Dolphins Over.

Over 46.5 (-108)

Fade Dawgs

Bills (+2.5) @ Lions

There’s a bunch of games that I thought about for this spot as I feel like this could be the weekend of the Dawg, but in the end I just wanted to bet on this game. In a slate of great games this Super Bowl preview sits at the top and as a football fan it’s a must watch. To be honest I stayed up way too late at a Christmas party so I don’t have the time or mental energy to explain my logic, but we’re circling the wagons here at Bick’s Picks. I just think the Lions are overdue for a letdown and there’s no QB playing better than Josh Allen. If anyone can make Dan Campbell pay for his “bold” decision making it’s Allen. Now I do wish this number was +3 so we had the push in our back pocket but Vegas knows what they’re doing and wants us to sweat this out till the very end. No matter the outcome here’s hoping this game lives up to the hype but at the same time a Buffalo blowout would be pretty cool too just saying.

Bills +2.5 (-105)

The Tiersducken

The Tiersducken is back! Now is it a winning segment? Let’s not talk crazy but at the very least I don’t have to slam my head into a wall like Gus Frerotte trying to pick a TD parlay. Now without further ado our rankings.

1. Jayden Daniels

2. Bo Nix

3. Drake Maye 

4. Caleb Williams

Predictably there’s been no movement with our tiers as JD5 reigns supreme but I would be a liar if I didn’t say Bo Nix was breathing down his neck. Meanwhile Drake Maye continues to impress in a bad situation and Caleb Williams sucks. Now last time I kept it simple and just did O/U interceptions for each of the rookies but that didn’t work out. This time I’m doing all sorts of stat props so read carefully. Also I’m aware the Bears play on MNF so you’ll have to be patient for this to pay out but knowing my parlay luck it’ll be dead by 430p today. Either way fade it, dread it or be confused by it here’s Tiersducken parlay.

Tiersducken Parlay: Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 Passing TDs, Bo Nix Over 1.5 Passing TDs, Drake Maye Over 28.5 Rushing Yards, Caleb Williams Over 25.5 Rushing Yards (+1298)  

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Colts @ Broncos (-4.5)

I legit got no time for witty write up or any sort of fun stats but that doesn’t matter because I love this spot for the Broncos. I just can’t talk myself into the Colts covering this number on the road and add with the fact my cousin Pip is in the building for this game I got to hammer it in support. So don’t think about it, just Bolieve and bet it.

Broncos -4.5 (-110)