Week 9 is here people which means like it or not we’re already halfway through the regular season. After a somewhat disappointing 2-2 Week 8, we’ve managed to grind our way to a 19-17 record on the season. Admittedly I felt a little lucky with our wins last week and surprised by our losses. For our hits Jameis stunned the Ravens on his way to covering the Over and the Colts somehow covered for Dawg with Richardson at QB. Meanwhile the Pack decided to play with their food failing to cover for the Lock and once again I made the mistake of betting Denver in any capacity so the Triducken died with Javonte Williams. But to be entirely honest despite these losses I’m smiling through all of it because of the greatness that is Jayden Daniels. The kid is quite literally performing miracles on the field so crazy that I wouldn’t believe them if I saw them or if I had to have my dad give me the play by play on the phone. But hey since Washington is doing the impossible, maybe just maybe we can perform a miracle of our own and have a perfect week here at Bick’s Picks. So say a few Hail Marys and let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Broncos @ Ravens (46.5)

I know I know I shouldn’t bet Denver, but I just simply can’t stop betting Baltimore Overs. They’re 7-1 on the season and sure this opponent and this number give me pause but I’ve always been a ride it till the wheels fall off kinda guy so here we are. To their credit the Broncos have done well with Overs sitting at 5-3 on the season. This is partly due to Bo Nix starting to look like a real QB over the last month, during which he has Denver averaging over 27 points a game. I really debated whether or not to give the Broncos another chance but I figured third time’s the charm right? And hey maybe the Ravens are pissed off enough after that Browns upset to cover this total all by themselves.

Over 46.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Cowboys(+3.5) @ Falcons

Another week and another slate of games with big spreads. Once again we got at least 5 games with spreads at a TD or more and frankly I’m having a hard time telling Vegas they’re wrong. Which is why even though one of those dawgs will undoubtedly cover I found myself circling a smaller spread. I admittedly feel gross about this one because of my own biases but I can’t shake the feeling that Dallas is gonna win this game. I really want to believe the Cowboys are dead but Kirk is just the QB to give them life. I could provide some fancy stats but the thought of giving Dallas flowers makes me sick so let’s just hold our noses and make the pick.

Cowboys +3.5 (-118)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Rhamondre Stevenson, Josh Allen, Nick Chubb

The Triducken has been a source of frustration all season and I doubt that changes any time soon so why not have some fun with it. Rather than go for sure things I went with plum picks this week and these all jumped out. Rhamondre has been running hard since his “benching”, my doppelganger Josh always plays Miami well and I think Chubb goes off today in a rock fight with the Chargers. I didn’t go for the “sure thing” this time but not like those were hitting so let’s get nuts.

Anytime TD Triducken: Rhamondre Stevenson, Josh Allen, Nick Chubb (+1008)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Commanders (-4) @ Giants

Full disclosure that Hail Mary has my head the size of a hot air balloon so take this pick with a grain of salt but simply put I’m done being scared of Daniel Jones and the New York Giants. I won’t hide from the fact that Danny Pennies turns into Danny Dimes vs Washington as he has a 5-2-1 record against us but I don’t care. Frankly I’m done being concerned about that because this team isn’t those teams and last week was a perfect example of why. Sure it took a miracle but in the end they won the game and avoided what would’ve been an excruciatingly familiar loss. Everything about the vibe of this team feels different and simply put they should blow out New York. The Giants are 0-4 at home and averaging a measly 7.8 points a game which is the fewest in the NFL. Now they did keep things close Week 2 by holding JD5 and company to field goals but we also scored on every possession so that’s buying into. Of course I can imagine us blowing this game because I’ve seen it so many times in the past but I’m convinced this team is different. Jayden Daniels is different. So let’s bet on Washington to give my dad a very happy birthday. 

Commanders -4 (-112)