Week 8 is here people and there’s no bye weeks which means we got a full slate of games to choose from. Even with the bye weeks we’re hitting our stride here at Bick’s Picks and after another 3-1 we’ve got ourselves a winning record. Last week the TD Triducken finally got a win, Mahomes remained easy money as a Dawg and even Washington covered for the Lock after losing Jayden on the first drive. However I did not like that the Falcons and my old QB prevented us from going 4-0 by falling just short of the Over. Even though the perfect week seems ever elusive, after sifting through this week’s big spreads I think I see some potential wins to keep the good times rolling so let’s get into it.
Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under
Ravens @ Browns (44.5)
Even though I was quick to blame Kirk in the end, my arrogance of picking a total over 50 twice in a row was the mistake and don’t worry we won’t be making that mistake again. Instead I’m turning to a reliable friend of the Over. Baltimore has hit the Over in 6 of their 7 games largely due to their ability to seemingly score at will. The two headed monster of Lamar and Henry is nearly unstoppable and has me seriously questioning what NFL franchises were thinking letting it happen. It’s no surprise they have the most potent rushing attack in the NFL but on top of that a top 5 passing offense making them the most dangerous offense in football. But that’s enough ball-washing for Baltimore as I’ve buried the lede for the real reason I love this pick and that’s the death of Deshaun and the return of Jameis. Cleveland has been desperate for a change at qb and this has to inject some life into their offense. So advise the Ravens to hide their crab cakes so that Jaboo just steals enough points for the total and doesn’t eat the W too.
Over 44.5 (-115)
Fade Dawgs
Colts(+5) @ Texans
I won’t lie I really wanted this game to be a Washington pick as we were +3 most of the week but now that Jayden looks like he’ll play now we’re -1 so the Colts are the play instead. After that vote of confidence I will say this was the dawg I liked the most. Even though this week we have 6 spreads of a touchdown or more I kept coming back to this game. The main reason is that no matter the circumstances the Colts tend to play the Texans tight. Over the past decade Indy is 10-1-1 against the spread in Houston and add that with Stroud being 3-8 against the spread as a favorite, that’s my kind of math. Plus the Colts are getting Jonathan Taylor back so I’m betting they control the ball most of the game and keep what I’m expecting to be an ugly rock fight close.
Colts +5 (-112)
Touchdown Triducken
Anytime TD Parlay: Jahmyr Gibbs, Kareem Hunt, Javonte Williams
Hey, would you look at us? The Triducken got a win. Who would’ve thought. Certainly not me. My disbelief aside, I’m gonna do what I did last week and that’s K.I.S.S. Keep it simple stupid. Last week I picked the bell cow backs for heavy favorites and this week I’ll do the same. Gibbs, Hunt and Javonte should all find paydirt and if they don’t I’m sure I’ll be blaming Ben Johnson and David Montgomery.
Anytime TD Triducken: Jahmyr Gibbs, Kareem Hunt, Javonte Williams (+449)
Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week
Packers (-3.5) @ Jaguars
I’ll keep this short and sweet because I overslept and I’m rushing the crap out of this blog but pun intended I absolutely LOVE the Pack in this game. Jordan Love should shred this secondary and although I’m sure he’ll throw a pick he’ll hopefully throw 3 or 4 TDs to make up for it. On the flip side I don’t know how you can trust the hapless Jags. Sure they beat the Pats last weekend but they also went down 10 points quick and if they pull that against Green Bay I highly doubt their ability to come back. I’m betting the Packers roll and make Jacksonville regret not staying over in London.
Packers -3.5 (-115)