We’re quickly a month into the season as Week 4 is upon us folks. Not gonna lie to you people spirits are high here at Bick’s Picks. We rebounded with a 3-1 week of picks getting our record back to .500 on the season. On top of our success here, Jayden Daniels’ performance on MNF was nothing short of spectacular and I don’t think I’ve stopped watching those throws he made to Terry. Feels really good to think we might have the answer at quarterback, now we just have to teach him to slide so he’s not flying around like a crash test dummy. But as much as I’ve enjoyed basking in the glory of a primetime win, it’s time to get some more wins so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Bills @ Ravens (46.5)

The Over has remained undefeated and I’m looking at the nightcap and some familiar faces to keep it that way. As soon as I saw this number down to 46.5 I had to jump on it. Simply put the Bills look like the best team in football through the first 3 weeks. You probably missed it because you were all too busy watching Jayden Daniels but the Bills were also destroying the floundering Jaguars 47-10 on MNF. Despite supposedly having all his weapons walk out the door Josh Allen looks better than ever and defenses can’t keep him off the field or out of the end zone. Now that’s enough fluffing for Buffalo, I actually also really like the Ravens in this spot as well. Despite being 1-2 Baltimore is still obviously one of the best teams in the AFC. Lamar has certainly been able to put up points and their 2nd half struggles shouldn’t deter us. The Ravens really need this one and I think this is a primetime spot where both these teams put on a show. It’s hard for me to not see both these teams scoring at least 3 touchdowns each. No matter who comes out on top I think we’re in for a great ending to our football Sunday.

Over 46.5 (-110)

Fade Dawgs

Commanders (+3.5) @ Cardinals

I mean did you really think I wasn’t gonna talk Jayden Daniels some more? Cards on the table this is as homer a pick as they come but I’m not afraid to admit it. The NFC’s Offensive Player of the week is fresh off arguably the best performance we’ve ever seen from a rookie quarterback finishing 21-of-23 passing for 254 yards 2 TDs through the air and another of course on the ground. Not to mention Washington hasn’t punted since Week 1 scoring on every single possession, aside from kneel-downs. Not too bad for a college offense if you ask me. Now I will admit that the defense for Washington remains a problem and I’m predicting we’re gonna struggle to stop Kyler Murray all day. Hopefully we’ll get enough bend don’t break defense from Washington that’ll give JD5 a chance to respond. In a typical letdown spot for us I’m betting the good times keep rolling.

Commanders +3.5 (-115)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Jalen Hurts, Marvin Harrison Jr, Travis Kelce

Yikes. The Triducken is 0 for 3 on the season and was 0 for last week as well. Needless to say things could be going better. The thought has crossed my mind to retire the Triducken till Turkey Day but I’m stubborn. Speaking of stubborn yes I did include Jalen Hurts again this week. The Eagles will be without their top wide receivers and with everyone expecting the Saquon show I’m looking to Hurts to sneak one in. Next is Marvin Harrison Jr which should be an obvious one. No matter how over the moon I am for Jayden Daniels that won’t stop our defense from leaving the opposition’s number 1 wide open. Evans, Nabers and Chase all found the end zone with ease so I expect no difference for Harrison until Washington’s defense can prove otherwise. Last leg of the Triducken will be Taylor Swift’s boyfriend. Not necessarily the best reason to pick him but I feel like he’s due. Watching the Chiefs I feel there has been an effort by Reid to draw up plays for him in the red zone and think one of them is successful today. Not to mention the Chargers will be missing Derwin James which should only help. Here’s hoping the quarterback, wide receiver, tight end combo finally helps a Triducken payoff.

Anytime TD Triducken: Jalen Hurts, Marvin Harrison Jr, Travis Kelce (+929)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Steelers (-2.5) @ Colts

Everywhere I looked doing research for my picks everyone seems to have the Colts in this game. Sharps all love this as a letdown spot for the Steelers and the perfect time to fade Tomlin. The logic all tracks and there’s plenty of reason to be skeptical of a Justin Fields’ led offense but the reason I’m riding with the public on this one is I can’t trust Anthony Richardson. Unlike NFL Rookie of the Week Jayden Daniels, the Colts quarterback has been a turnover machine and I expect him to keep coughing up the ball against a defense that has been smothering so far. Now that smothering defense has been downplayed by others pointing to the quarterbacks they’ve faced early on but I just kept saying to myself how is Anthony Richardson any different? Sure he can throw it over a mountain but so could Jamarcus Russell. TJ Watt will be everywhere and the Ohio State Peanut will do enough to cover the spread and keep Russ on the bench.

Steelers -2.5 (-108)