Week 3 is often one of desperation where the 0-2 teams are desperately trying to right the ship as they feel the season slipping through their fingers. To be honest it’s no different here at Bicks’s Picks because I don’t know about the rest of you but we’ve been taking a bath here so far. Week 2 was full of upsets and we didn’t see any of them coming. We rode with the Rams and the Niners which was a complete disaster. Kyler and Darnold both took personal offense to my blog as both those chuckleheads not only covered their spreads they both outright won. Then there’s my TD Triducken which was dead on arrival as not a single QB featured found the end zone. Thankfully I’ve had some luck with the Over as it remains undefeated so far this season. Also I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention that the 1st place Washington Commanders were the only team in the NFC East to win last weekend. Sure I didn’t write about it but much like Pats fans week 1 this is probably our Super Bowl so believe me I enjoyed it. That’s enough about celebrating low bars we need some wins to get Bick’s Picks back over .500 so let’s get into. 

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Ravens @ Cowboys (47.5)

So far at Bick’s Picks the only thing we’ve been able to rely on is the Over. Sure it hasn’t been pretty and we’ve sweat out some low scoring first halves but a win is a win. Speaking of “hasn’t been pretty” we’re gonna be turning to two of the biggest disappointments from Week 2 to get us a win. The Ravens and Cowboys both suffered upsets at home BUT they also both reached the total. For all the hype these teams may have neither has been able to stop the opposition when it mattered most with both being bottom of the league in points allowed. I think a combination of bad defense and desperation to win will quickly turn this game into a shootout. Here’s hoping we get scoring early and often so the Over can stay undefeated. 

Over 47.5 (-112)

Fade Dawgs

Eagles (+3) @ Saints

Hey this segment is called FADE Dawgs for a reason right… Well I certainly hope y’all faded my Rams pick because good lord. Forget +1 we would’ve needed +31 for that bet to even be a push. Of all the upsets that happened Week 2 we weren’t in on any of them which doesn’t feel great. Hey speaking of not feeling great, how bout this Week 3 slate huh? Not one matchup that I really scratch my head and wonder how a team isn’t favored. However this is the only matchup that comes close. The thing is I know why the Eagles aren’t favored. They showed us why they aren’t against Primetime Kirk on MNF. Also in case you missed it Kamara just scored again because the Saints are the most explosive offense in football so far. The key word being so far because I’m fading the recency bias. My big reason for jumping on this game is how much the line moved. Before Week 2’s outcomes the line for this game was -3 Eagles not +3 Eagles. That kind of line action is something I can’t ignore and honestly the only Saints fan I know suggested I hang em up after last week so you know what that means? Call me Richard because I’m being petty.   

Eagles +3 (-124)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Jalen Hurts, Zay Flowers, Tyreek Hill

Whelp I have only myself to blame for last week. I knew the QB TD parlay was a risk but all three missing hurt. This week I’m back on my QB TD bullshit with Hurts but I think that’s a much safer bet than the 3 I chose last week. I chose Zay because he’s been absolutely peppered with targets the first two weeks and I don’t think that changes in a matchup where I expect lots of scoring. Last pick is a bit of a sketchy one simply because it’s really hard to trust someone named Skylar. My apprehensions about the Dolphins QB aside I think there will be an effort to get Hill involved and at +195 I couldn’t resist tossing him in the parlay.

Anytime TD Triducken: Jalen Hurts, Zay Flowers, Tyreek Hill (+1612)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Ravens (-1) @ Cowboys

Your eyes don’t deceive you. I am making two picks from the same game. Sure some might say this against some unwritten rule but guess what I make the rules and I can’t stay away from this game. There’s just too many reasons to like the Ravens in this spot. Get the obvious out of the way, Lamar doesn’t lose to the NFC. He’s 20-1 straight up in his career against the NFC and on top of that he’s 22-7 as an underdog or favorite of three or fewer points. Not to mention the Super Bowl aspiring Ravens are 0-2 for the first time in a decade and I just can’t see them falling to 0-3. Now personally I have learned my lesson moving the line but man it’s tempting to sprinkle a little on -6.5 or heck even -13.5. You know why? Because fuck the Cowboys that’s why.

Ravens -1 (-112)

Wanna Get Nuts? LET’S GET NUTS: Ravens -6.5 (+208), Ravens -13.5 (+488)