Here we are Week 18. We made it. Who would’ve thought? Not me. It’s been a season of highs and lows here at Bick’s Picks but after two winning weeks we find ourselves at a 27-25-1 record going into the final week of regular season football. Last week we were almost perfect but alas the Triducken once again came up one leg short when Mike Evans failed to find pay dirt. As is tradition the last week of the regular season is the most meaningful while most also being the most meaningless of all. We got teams fighting for their playoff lives, we got teams who already clinched resting their starters and we got teams trying to ruin their draft pick. Despite all of the chaos Week 18 is bound to bring I’m confident we can pick some winners so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Cowboys @ Commanders (46.5)

I’ll admit right away all the Week 18 shenanigans had me looking extra close at this week’s slate of totals. We got a lot backups playing and lots of bad weather but we do have some teams with something to play for and I saw the perfect matchup. The Cowboys are looking to win the NFC East and Washington is a spectacular dumpster fire. When these teams met earlier this season on Thanksgiving Dak and company practically covered the Over themselves. The Cowboys like to run up the score against bad teams and I expect them to do just that. It pains me to say it I do have some doubt that Howell can pull his weight but in the end it’s Dallas week and think the guys have enough pride to show up. The Over hits easy as the Cowboys roll and Washington secures the number 2 pick. 

Over 46.5

Fade Dawgs

Jaguars @ Titans (+4.5)

Simply put this is a bet that the Jaguars will choke. As bad as the Titans have been this season you know that Vrabel will have his team fired up to play spoiler. Sure the Jags stopped the bleeding last week with a win against the Panthers but that doesn’t make me feel any better about the way they’re trending. Lawrence is still a gametime decision to play and even if he does I’m not convinced that’s a good thing as he’s been a turnover prone mess. There is always a chance that the Jags actually show up for this must win game but my guess is history repeats itself and they lose outright and miss the playoffs just like they did two seasons ago. Gimme Vrabes and Titans all day.

Titans (+4.5)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Mike Evans, Justin Fields, Ezekiel Elliott

I know what you’re saying “Wait a minute I thought I lost money on this parlay last week?” Well you did but I don’t think you will again. As I said earlier Mike Evans was the only leg to come up short and I don’t think he’s held out of the endzone against Carolina defense that he’s already score against this season. After that I once again looked to our pair of Buckeyes to get it done. Fields is playing the best ball of his pro career and another Zeke heavy script in a snow game will hopefully make the Triducken a winner once again.

Anytime TD Triducken: Mike Evans, Justin Fields, Ezekiel Elliott (+951)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Jets @ Patriots (-2.5)

There aren’t many things you can count on but in my opinion you can count on the Pats beating the Jets. Sure there’s the occasional upset but even in a season when the Patriots have a worse record and are projected have a top 3 pick they’re somehow still favored. The main reason they’re favored this time is because Bill has the defense flying around making plays and forcing turnovers. Speaking of turnovers I’m expecting a bunch tomorrow especially with the sloppy weather conditions. Unfortunately Zappe might cough up the ball a couple times himself but I think the Pats are better able to capitalize on their chances. Concerns about Zappe aside I’m counting the Patriots playing hard and getting a win in what could be Belichick’s last game in New England.

Patriots (-2.5)