Happy New Year’s Eve everybody and welcome back to another week of Bick’s Picks. We’re coming off a strong Christmas weekend where all of our dawgs not only covered but won straight up. Now unfortunately, it was not a perfect week as my clever rhyming wasn’t quite enough for the Over to hit and our Christmas Triducken fell a Rashee Rice TD short. But hey there’s no time to be crying over missed picks! The year is almost over and we’re trying to end 2023 with some extra money in our pocket so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Dolphins @ Ravens (46.5)

Early in the season I looked to the Fins to cover silly spreads against bad teams and to get me easy Over wins, but recently they’ve been letting me down. Here at Bick’s Picks we’re known to either hold a grudge, or we keep riding it until the wheels fall off, and this week we’re doing the latter. In my opinion some of these Overs haven’t hit because Tua’s weapons have been banged up and also Miami’s opponents haven’t been doing their part. However Tyreek should be back to full strength and the Ravens have certainly looked like a team capable of pulling their weight in an Over. Miami and Baltimore are both fresh off of winning huge interconference matchups against NFC contenders so I’m banking on them coming in hot. Either way no matter the outcome this 1pm AFC Championship preview should be a helluva game and hopefully one that features lots of touchdowns instead of field goals.

Over 46.5

Fade Dawgs

Patriots(+14) @ Bills

Oops my Massachusetts is showing again. Like I said last week I’ve had success betting against the Pats, but once again I find myself riding with them. Sure the Bills are on a winning streak but did Vegas forget this was a division game, or that the Pats beat the Bills already this season? Say what you will about the Patriots but they’re still flying around on defense for Belichick and they should be able to take advantage of how sloppy Josh Allen is with the ball. End of the day just like last week I feel like 14 is just too many points and who knows maybe the Pats will surprise us and win straight up again.

Patriots (+14)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TD Parlay: Mike Evans, Justin Fields, Ezekiel Elliott

I had a lot of fun rooting for last week’s winning Triducken so I figured why not run it back. Unfortunately for the Dolphins and fantasy owners Raheem Mostert currently isn’t expected to play so we’ll have to pivot. Fortunately there’s another TD machine we can turn to to fill the void and that’s Mike Evans. His 13 receiving touchdowns lead the NFL and I expect Baker to keep looking his way as they aim to clinch the NFC South. Then I’ll be counting on last week’s Buckeyes to find pay dirt again. We just need some Fields improvisation and another Zeke heavy script to give us a nice win early. As always I threw in some CMC odds just in case people wanted to put the cherry on top. 

Anytime TD Triducken: Mike Evans, Justin Fields, Ezekiel Elliott (+1357)

Obligatory CMC Quaducken: Mike Evans, Justin Fields, Ezekiel Elliott, Christian McCaffrey (+1721)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Bengals @ Chiefs (-6.5)

Now I know for a fact some will be skeptical of this pick and honestly I understand. The Chiefs have been a mess for most of this season and are coming off of ugliest losses of the Mahomes era. Some claim their dynasty is dead, that Chiefs can’t even line up right and that Kelce is showing his age. And to that I say you might be right, BUT that doesn’t mean I don’t love this spot for the Chiefs. Sure the Bengals have been feistier than expected since Burrow went down, but it appears Jake Browning has finally turned back into a pumpkin. It also doesn’t help that Ja’Marr Chase is dealing with a nagging shoulder injury and even though Chase could miss the game that didn’t stop him from slandering the Chiefs secondary. Now I’m not declaring this some big get right game for the Chiefs but they’re definitely due for a bounce back and it sounds like they’ll be extra motivated to put last week’s loss behind. Gimme Taylor Swift’s favorite team by a touchdown all day.

Chiefs (-6.5)