Nothing like a 1-3 week to humble us a little bit. Sure the Over hit but it was otherwise a disappointing week. Once again I made the mistake of backing the underdog Eagles, the Niners played with their food too much failing to cover against Drew Lock and Kenny Etienny was the only one that got the memo for the Triducken. Undeterred by a losing week I’m eager to bounce back and pick some winners. Thankfully the NFL is eager to take advantage of the gap in college football by giving us some random Saturday games starting week 15 early so let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Jets @ Dolphins (37.5)

Simply put anything under 40 points this season for the Dolphins is stealing. Now I’m sure part of this line being so low is because of Tyreek Hill’s ankle. Sure that is reason for concern for fantasy owners but I don’t think it’ll impact the Over too much. The Fins should be well rested looking to bounce back at home so I’m sure McDaniel will have something cooked up to attack the vaunted Jets defense. On the flip side AFC Offensive Player of the Week Zach Wilson should do enough to help us cover if Tua and company do struggle some. Close game or Dolphins blow out I think we get another easy Over at Hard Rock.

Over 37.5

Fade Dawgs

Cowboys(+2.5) @ Bills

Thankfully the Eagles aren’t dawgs this week so at the very least I won’t be fooled a third time. That doesn’t mean I can’t take the cheese on another unexpected NFC East dawg. Now I’ll admit I have been on record as recently as last week calling the Cowboys frauds and deep down I still believe that. However I’ve been down on the Bills all season and even at home I don’t think their defense will be able to slow down Dallas. Not to mention we found out how Sean McDermott teaches teamwork so I’ll be sticking with AMERICA’S team thank you very much.

Cowboys (+2.5)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TDs Parlay:  Cooper Kupp, Courtland Sutton, Christian McCaffery

Whelp it was bound to happen our first TD Triducken came up short. Honestly it’s because we messed with formula. Taking McCaffery out of the main parlay messed yo everything. Some of you might be saying “But CMC didn’t score last week” and to that I say are you forgetting the impact Bick’s Picks has on the world of sports? But anyways this week we’re not gonna over think things and we’ll stick to winning strategies like fading Washington’s defense. As always Washington loves to leave a team’s best weapon open so I expect Cooper Kupp will find the end zone. Honestly you could also take Puka Nacua or Kyren Williams think all 3 have a good chance to score. Next is Courtland Sutton who’s been a TD machine for the resurgent Broncos. Sutton has scored a TD in every single road game this season and I bet he finds the end zone against vulnerable Lions defense. Lastly it’s CMC. Sure the odds for him aren’t great but he’s certainly due after failing to find pay dirt last week.

Anytime TDs: Cooper Kupp, Courtland Sutton, Christian McCaffery (+415)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Commanders @ Rams (-6.5)

Before I start slandering my own team I wanna address the fact that the Lock has not been much of a Lock. I expect better and you deserve better. To that point this week should be an easy win for the Lock. You’d think the bye week would help this team but this is a Ron Rivera squad we’re talking about somehow they’ll come out completely flat and will trail all game. Now the Rams did just lose an OT heartbreaker to the Ravens but they continue to put up points in bunches and should have no problem against the worst defense in the league. Brian Robinson is out with a hamstring injury leaving the run game in the butter fingers of Gibson and the rookie Chris Rodriguez which will likely make the offense more one dimensional. I of course love Sam Howell and I’m sure he’ll do his best to keep the game close but lately he’s been trying to do too much leading to very costly mistakes. Maybe Washington surprises me but I quite literally wouldn’t bet on it.

Rams (-6.5)