Thanks to a solid 3-1 week we’re back above .500 here at Bick’s Picks with a record of 18-17-1 on the season. Tyreek ran right past Washington’s ass, the Touchdown Triducken made a triumphant return and although the Chargers may have only scored 6 points that’s all we needed. However surprise surprise my dawg failed me when the Iggles got humbled at home soiling an otherwise perfect week. Looking at this week I won’t lie it’s an ugly slate featuring some quarterback matchups that will make you question what you’re doing with your Sunday. I also can’t rely on fading Washington’s defense or Mac Jones this week but hey just because the games look gross doesn’t mean we can’t win some money so let’s get into it.
Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under
Colts @ Bengals (44)
Whelp here we are again another week, another slate of low totals. Thankfully that hasn’t been a problem for us here at Bick’s Picks however with Washington on bye and Miami on MNF I had to look outside my old reliables and dive into the pool of backup quarterbacks. This week potentially features at least 9 backup quarterbacks the most in nearly a decade. So why not jump on the bandwagon of the hottest backup in town Jakey Spinrate. Fresh off a 354 yard 3 TD performance I’m banking on him to keep on slinging it for a Bengals offense still full of talent. On the flipside the Minshew has the Colts on a 4 game win streak and outside of a rock fight with the Pats in Germany the Colts have put up at least 20 points in every game. Don’t think we have to sweat this one out too much, gimme an easy Over hit to start the day.
Over 44
Fade Dawgs
Eagles (+3.5) @ Cowboys
I said it last week so I might as well say it this week I gotta get one of these Eagles picks eventually right? I admit my luck with picking the Eagles hasn’t been great but an important part of Bick’s Picks is having a short memory. So I’m gonna forget the fact that the Eagles just got dog walked at home by the Niners and bet against the fraudulent Cowboys. Sure the Cowboys have a lot of pretty stats but it’s mainly because they’ve run up the score on weaker competition. Similar to the Eagles they got embarrassed by the Niners and they already lost week 9 in Philly. So in my mind the Cowboys can’t beat a good team until they prove me wrong. Admittedly those pretty stats do make a compelling argument for Dallas especially since they’re at home but my plums say Eagles. I also love the +3.5 because even if the Cowboys do pull it out I see the pivotal NFC Beast showdown being a shootout that comes down to a field goal. So be a goldfish like me, forget those other losses and ride with the Eags again.
Eagles (+3.5)
Touchdown Triducken
Anytime TDs Parlay: David Montgomery, Travis Etienne Jr, Justin Jefferson
I’m just gonna address the elephant in the room CMC is not featured in the Triducken for the first time. Now don’t get me wrong I actually still love CMC to score but the problem is so does Vegas. The odds for a CMC TD are -380 which to me is just nuts for an anytime TD. I do still think he finds the endzone so I added a little Quaducken at the bottom for y’all but don’t worry I feel just as good about these other guys. First up, I like Mongomery to find the endzone against his old team. He’s clearly established himself as the goal line closer of Detroit’s offense scoring a TD in 4 straight games since his return from injury. Next I love my guy Kenny Etienny to find the endzone for the Jags as I expect him to be leaned on while Trevor is gimping around. Lastly I’m counting on JJ the Jet plane to touch down in the end zone on Sunday. I fully expect the Passtronaut to be looking his way all game and you know he’s gonna be trying to make a big play after missing so much time. It’s unfortunate we can’t rely on betting against Washington’s defense but I still expect we’ll all be hitting the Griddy this afternoon.
Anytime TDs: David Montgomery, Travis Etienne Jr, Justin Jefferson (+888)
Obligatory CMC Quaducken: David Montgomery, Travis Etienne Jr, Justin Jefferson, Christian McCaffrey (+1120)
Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week
Seahawks @ 49ers (-13.5)
What can I say I’m a sucker for a big spread so why not pick the biggest one of the week. Nevermind the fact I think Niners are gonna absolutely wax the Seahawks. I bet against the Niners last week and I won’t make that mistake again because they easily look like the best team in football now that they’re healthy. Not that I’m the biggest Geno believer but there’s a good chance we see Drew Lock so I’m surprised this line is only -13.5. I say get it now because San Fran is gonna roll.
49ers (-13.5)