We had our first push here at Bick’s Picks resulting in a 1-1-1 week. The Jags v Texans Over bounced off the crossbar, the Giants finally brought an end to Mac Jones in New England and the Eagles didn’t lose us money this time. Not that I’m counting personally but for those of you that are, last week’s results gives Bick’s Picks a 15-16-1 record on the season. Now that kind of mediocrity might be acceptable to the Jeff Fisher’s and Ron Rivera’s of the world but not here at Bick’s Picks. Week 13 we aim to get above .500 and to help us do that the Touchdown Triducken makes it return. Looking at this slate I immediately saw some potential wins so enough dilly dallying let’s get into it. 

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Dolphins @ Commanders (49.5)

Boy did I ever pick a great season to start picking Overs. Through the first 12 weeks of the season Unders have a 106-73-1 record which is the best start for Unders in the Wild Card era. I won’t lie, this weekend looks like another slate of Unders but I definitely expect a lot of scoring in this one. Jack Del Rio may be gone but there’s no way Ron Rivera’s return to play-calling leads to anything but disaster against the best offense in football. Washington has allowed a league-high 29.2 points a game and has been absolutely abysmal at home giving up 146 in their last four games at Fed-Ex Field. The Fins get a 40 burger on their own and Howell puts up enough points to cover.

Over 48

Fade Dawgs

49ers @ Eagles (+3)

This is the game of the week so why not roll the dice on the Eags again. I mean I gotta get one of these Eagles picks eventually right?  Frankly, I’m surprised that they’re the underdogs in this matchup. Maybe Vegas thinks the 10-1 Eagles are due for a loss but I’m not so sure. Ever since their loss to the Jets they’ve rattled off wins against the Dolphins, Cowboys, Chiefs and Bills so the way I see it the Niners are just next in line. They’re also benefiting from getting Lane Johnson back which should help add some much needed protection for MVP favorite Jalen Hurts. Don’t get me wrong now that they’re healthy, Purdy and Company have been cooking with gas having won their last 3 games by an average of 20.7 points. This is why I’m NFC Championship rematch to be a close one worth watching so dust off your dog mask and bet the Iggles.

Eagles (+3)

Touchdown Triducken

Anytime TDs Parlay: Derrick Henry, Tyreek Hill & Christian McCaffrey 

Much like the first time we did the Touchdown Triducken I’ll be picking the three TD scorers I like best this Sunday. For my first TD I’m looking to Tractorcito who has spoken openly about wanting to redeem himself for a cringe-worthy week 5 performance against the Colts. There’s plenty of reason to believe Henry can do so as December has always been Henry’s month. He averages 5.47 yards per rush which is the second-most by any player in any month since 1950. Next up is Reek who I fully expect to take advantage of a Washington’s secondary that has been getting carved up all year. After all, no defense loves to leave a team’s number one threat uncovered more than Washington. Then last it’s CMC because I trust that he finds the endzone on Sundays until proven otherwise. 

Anytime TDs: Derrick Henry, Tyreek Hill, Christian McCaffrey (+421)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Chargers (-5.5) @ Patriots

I’ve said this before it gives me no pleasure to kick a man while they’re down but we’re not here to make friends we’re here to make money. And as I did before I tried to talk myself into the Patriots but just couldn’t do it. Sure the Patriots have had Herbert’s number in the past but I simply don’t think that matters. Unfortunately I think we’ll get to see why Bill gave Mac such a long leash when we get the full Zappe experience. Maybe I’m wrong but my plums are telling me to also consider a Chargers D/ST TD prop. I’m sure the Patriots will make us sweat it out and make it frustratingly close for their fans but in the end the Chargers win by a TD getting the Pats one step closer to the number 1 overall pick. 

Chargers (-5.5)