First things first I want to start off by shaming the Lions a little bit for ruining what would’ve been a perfect holiday blog. Although I will admit I shoulder some of the blame because I did see Dan Campbell’s opinions on Thanksgiving foods before the game and those should’ve been huge red flags. First of all he’s eating ham on Thanksgiving when everyone knows you do that on Easter or Christmas. Then he slandered stuffing which I should’ve never let slide. But thankfully it wasn’t all bad for the Lions, LaPorta and Montgomery both did their part for our successful Touchdown Triduckens. While on the subject I’ve heard some of our readers enjoyed the TD parlays so they could make a reappearance next week. I mean who am I to deprive the people of winning picks? Speaking of which, let’s get into it.

Life’s Too Short to Bet the Under

Jaguars @ Texans (48)

Now I know I sound like a broken record but once again another week another slate of low totals. At this point it might seem like I’m just being dramatic but this week is especially low with it being the fifth lowest O/U average since 2011. But there’s a very good reason for these low totals this weekend features A LOT of matchups that scream Under like Pats@Giants, Panthers@Titans, Steelers@Bengals and Browns@Broncos. I stayed clear of all of these games focusing instead on the higher totals and teams that can be trusted to score the ball. I’ll admit I didn’t necessarily think the Texans would be one of those teams but here we are. C.J. Stroud is a lock for rookie of the year and a sneaky MVP candidate. Even last week when Stroud made mistakes he just kept on slinging it in a win over the Cardinals, throwing for over 330 yards for the third game in a row. On the flipside the Jaguars certainly have the weapons to put up points if Trevor Lawrence can avoid running around like a drunken baby giraffe. The last time these teams met early in the year the over hit with ease so I’m betting it does again in what some might consider the game of the week.

Over 48

Fade Dawgs

Patriots @ Giants (+4.5)

I’ve had the pleasure of watching both these teams a lot this season and all I can say is we’re in for quite the display. I’ll keep it short and sweet. I don’t know who wins this game but I do know it will be ugly and it will also be close. Unfortunately Patriots fans won’t get to see Grier but we will get to see if Tommy Devito actually has the makings of a varsity athlete or if that was simply the mirage of playing a Washington defense. Either way neither team is good enough to pull away from the other and in the end I think this game is settled by a field goal by either team.

Giants (+4.5)

Bick’s Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week

Bills @ Eagles (-3)

The reason this week’s blog was up so late was my indecisiveness over my lock of the week. I really wanted to put the Stillers in this spots because they historically feasted on QBs making their first career start but I’ve been hurt too many times by the tiny hands of Kenny Pickett. Instead I’m gonna look to mush the shit out of the Eagles. Loyal readers here at Bick’s Picks will remember the last time the Eagles were featured as my lock they lost for the first time ever to Jets. That happens to be the Eagles only loss of the season so why not tempt fate again. I can’t ignore the Eagles are definitely due for a let down and the Bills are far more desperate for a win but I don’t think it matters. I expect the Eagles to dominate the trenches and for Josh Allen to continue to be careless with the ball extending his interception streak to 8 games. Gimme the Eags all day.

Eagles (-3)