I think I might start titling these posts “Picks You Should Fade.” Because had you been doing that the last two weeks you would’ve made some serious cash. So what are we rewarded with this Thursday? A double digit spread! We know how much I love those. Time to try and make sense of it.

Giants vs. 49ers (-10) (44)

I’m not really sure what to make of the Giants at this point. They got absolutely decimated for the first six quarters of the season. Then they made a furious comeback to win a game they were surely all but dead in, albeit against one of the worst teams in the league. The Niners on the other hand have looked very good this year, and would be 2-0 ATS if the spread god Sean McVay hadn’t kicked a meaningless field goal for the cover as time expired last weekend. I always tend to take the dog in situations like this, but the Giants aren’t really doing it for me right now. They’ll also be without Saquon Barkley for this one and without him I’m not sure how much offense they can muster especially against San Francisco. Daniel Jones has been, umm, pretty bad too outside of a couple drives at the end of the Cardinals game. The 49ers have been humming to this point, and even though I could probably QB them to a win with their weapons, Brock Purdy has looked like every bit of a guy they can win a Super Bowl with. The total here doesn’t really speak to me either so, I’m going to do something I don’t do a lot and that’s back a double digit favorite.

The Play: 49ers -10