Same as last week we have two days of NFL football this weekend. Every game besides the Monday Night game is on the table for these picks. I’m in a holiday time crunch here we’re going rapid fire. Let’s get into it.

Favorite

Steelers (-2) vs. Raiders

This is the night game on Saturday and I know everyone wants something to bet on during their Christmas Eve party and that should be the Steelers. The Steelers have looked solid the last few weeks and they get Kenny Pickett back for this one. I like Pittsburgh at home and this feels like a classic let down spot for the Raiders after last weeks win. Mike Tomlin has also never had a losing season as Steelers head coach. With a loss this would be his first, but I think he keeps his over .500 hopes alive for another week.

Charlie Murphy’s Habitual Line Stepper of the Week (Underdog)

Packers (+3.5) vs. Dolphins

Miami is trending in the wrong direction at the wrong time. They desperately need a win here and they might get it, but I think this is a close game. Like last Monday the Packers still have something to play for and while they need a lot to break their way they still have a chance. They also seem to have found some sort of rhythm offensively. I like this at 3.5 I’m not so sure I’d jump on it any lower than 3 though.

Over

Eagles vs. Cowboys (46.5)

I like this number where it is. Even with Gardner Minshew at QB for the Eagles I think this is a high scoring game. This game is also in Dallas and won’t be effected by the weather this weekend. Dallas has put up some big numbers lately and the Eagles offense has looked great all season. I think we see both teams in the high 20’s to hit this over.

Under

Saints vs. Browns (32)

This is a preposterously low under so I have to take it. It’s going to be a mess in Cleveland with this storm coming through and both of these offenses suck. You’ll see maybe five minutes of this game on redzone Sunday it’s going to stink that sounds like an under to me.

The Definitely Not My Lock of the Week Bonus Pick

Lions (-2.5) vs. Panthers

Even on the road I love the Lions here. They Panthers have had a few nice wins this season, but haven’t been able to get over the hump and catch the Bucs in the division race. With the Commanders playing the 49ers and the Seahawks playing the Chiefs the Lions are primed to jump into a playoff spot with a win. I’m going to continue riding the hot hand and roll with the Lions. Lock it in.