Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8) vs. New York Jets (7-7)

The Spread: Jets (-1)

Thursday Night we get a matchup between the top two picks in last years draft. This feels like it should be a spot where you’d want to buy low on the Jets and sell high on the Jags. I just don’t know if I can bring myself to do it though. The Jets have seemed to only either win or have close games with Zach Wilson at QB because the defense has stepped up in a big way in all of those games. If Mike White was playing I’d probably be on the Jets, but I think I have to keep up with my strategy of fading Mr. INT. Both these teams are fighting for their playoff lives too so I can’t use the desperation angle either. The Jags are potentially staring down a Week 18 winner takes all game versus the Titans for the division and, the Jets are squarely in the AFC wild card picture with some winnable games down the stretch. At the end of the day I just like the way the Jaguars are playing more right now. Trevor Lawrence seems to be coming into his own and this could be a signature primetime win for him.

The Play: Jaguars +1

Total (38)

I keep getting burned by Monday and Thursday overs. The last few have missed by just a few points. So I know if I switch it up and take the under they’ll score a million points in this game. The Jets defense is very good, but this number is so low they would’ve hit it in half their games this year even though they’ve only hit five overs this year. The Jaguars on the other hand would be 11-2-1 to this number this year in terms of the over. I know the cold will play a factor, but I’m riding with the over here.

The Play: Over 38

Final Prediction

Jaguars 24 Jets 20