Los Angeles Rams (4-9) vs. Green Bay Packers (5-8)

The Spread: Packers (-7.5)

I’m sick of having to make picks on these horrible standalone games, but here we go again. I hate this line for Green Bay, but they are the better team in this game especially at home. Sure the Rams had a nice win last Thursday, just don’t forget how bad they looked offensively leading up to those last two drives. I’m not ready to buy in on the Baker Mayfield hype train after two drives. The problem is I also have no trust in the Packers at this point either. They do matchup nicely with the Rams though. They are horrible against the run, but the Rams don’t run the ball well at all. At the end of the day I’d rather bet on Aaron Rodgers than roll the dice with the Rams. The Packers still have a very outside shot at the playoffs so they still have something to play for. The Rams are more or less eliminated and I can’t imagine their motivation will be high to play in the freezing cold at Lambeau. If you can get this down to 7 and not sacrifice your payout then maybe think about doing that to protect from a backdoor cover, but I think you have to go Packers here.

The Play: Packers -7.5

Total (39.5)

I had been all over the prime time unders and once they stopped hitting regularly I pivoted to the over. Well, that hasn’t gone so great for me lately. Looking at this I think I like the over, but I’m not sure how many points the Rams will actually be able to score. If we can get them in the mid to high teens I think we can cover the spread and the over. We’re going to need Baker to string together a couple nice drives here, but that number is just too low to pass up.

The Play: Over 39.5

Final Prediction

Packers 28 Rams 16