We get a whole weekend of NFL games this week. There are three standalone Saturday games to go along with our regular Sunday slate. Any game from this weekend is in play for this blog so let’s get into it.

Favorite

Lions (-1) vs. Jets

I think we just have to keep riding with the Lions right? They are one of the hottest teams in the NFL currently and even on the road I like the fact that they’re only giving one point. I was going to stay away from this game, but then I heard that the Jets medical staff is not clearing Mike White for this weekend and you know what that means. Mr. INT himself Zach Wilson is back. I think the Jets offense would’ve had a nice bounce back game against this Lions defense with Mike White, but I don’t think that’s possible with Wilson. I think the Lions offense keeps rolling and guts out a one score win on the road to get back to .500 and thrust themselves into the playoff picture.

Charlie Murphy’s Habitual Line Stepper of the Week (Underdog)

Colts (+3.5) vs. Vikings

This might look gross on paper, but I love it for some reason. I love myself a 3.5 point underdog. The thing is you have to make sure you get in on the right one. Like on Thursday I went with the 3.5 point favorite and you might see another one of those later in this blog, but I just feel like the Colts can keep this close. The Vikings aren’t blowing anyone out right now and I think if the Colts can get Jonathan Taylor going they’ll be right in this game. If that’s the case and they don’t have to ask Matt Ryan to do too much that’s a recipe for success. This seems like it’s going to be one of those bullshit Vikings games where they have a late score to win the game. It’ll be by a field goal or less though and the Colts will cover.

Over

Eagles vs. Bears (48.5)

These teams are tied (along with the Lions) for the best over record this season at 9-4. I like where this number is because we can get over it with 7 touchdowns. The Bears offense has done a great job at moving the ball lately and as you all know Justin Fields is really coming into his own. The Eagles are coming off a game against the Giants where they hit the over on their own as well. I think we get a lot of points in this game and even if the Bears offense stumbles and doesn’t score a lot the Eagles should be able to cover us against a subpar Chicago defense.

Under

Cardinals vs. Broncos (37)

I know, I know the Broncos under didn’t hit last week. We could be getting a Colt McCoy vs. Brett Rypien matchup though. Russell Wilson is still questionable with a concussion he sustained last week. Even if he does play though I still don’t trust them to score many points. The Cardinals offense was only able to muster up 13 points against the Patriots on Monday and I don’t think they’ll do any better versus the Broncos defense. This game ends with both teams in the teens.

The Definitely Not My Lock of the Week Bonus Pick

Bengals (-3.5) vs. Buccaneers

This is a spot where I normally would think about selling high on the Bengals and buying low on the Bucs. I just can’t bring myself to do it though. I think the Bengals are going to trounce Tampa Bay on Sunday. Joe Burrow is 17-3 ATS in his last 20 games. The Bucs are the worst ATS team in the NFL this year at 3-9-1. If the Bucs QB wasn’t named Tom Brady this line would be up to a touchdown. Bengals roll.