Tennessee Titans (6-3) vs. Green Bay Packers (4-6)

The Spread: Packers -3

I’m really struggling with this one. It feels like Green Bay might finally be on to something after beating Dallas last week. Tennessee has won some low scoring grind-it-out type games against not so good teams recently, but they have continued to find ways to win. They even had a late lead in Kansas City a couple weeks ago with Malik Willis at QB not Ryan Tannehill. Everything about how last week went makes you thing Green Bay is a lock, but I’m just not completely sold on that yet. Green Bay at home in the cold on a short week sounds all well and good, but you have to remember how this team has looked all season and that hasn’t been great. Tennessee is also dealing with injuries to some key players on their defense which continues to make me lean towards the Packers, but one thing keeps bringing me back. That’s Derrick Henry. The Packers have been awful against the run this year and this is the time of year where Henry thrives the most. Even with Tannehill and the passing game limited I still think Henry has a big game. This has all the makings of a close, low scoring, grind of a game and I’ll almost always take the points when that’s the case.

The Play: Titans +3

Over/Under (42)

For all the reasons I mentioned above this game screams under. The Titans are going to run the ball a ton and eat the clock. The Packers offense has been non-existent recently besides last week. Tennessee is 7-2 to the under this year as well. No need to repeat the same things I’ve already said take the under here.

The Play: Under 42

Final Prediction

Titans 21 Packers 17