Here we have a Monday night game with two teams that seem impossible to predict. Both are under .500 ATS, but have pulled out games you wouldn’t have expected them to along with losing some headscratchers. Yesterdays card was 4-0-1 which was great. Unfortunately though I am no longer the spread king on Mondays and Thursdays as I’ve lost my last five of those games ATS. Here’s to getting back on track tonight somehow.

The Spread: Ravens (-1.5)

Baltimore seems to be controlling a large portion of the bets and the handle (on Draftkings) and for good reason. They have been the better team this year for sure. I just don’t know how much I trust them as they haven’t performed great ATS this season. The Saints are always dangerous at home, but they might be biting off a little more than they can chew against the Ravens. With the line at 1.5 you’re basically taking the team you think is going to win the game here. My head is telling me Baltimore walks away with this one, but my messed up gambling mind (which always seems to win out) is saying the Saints win this game at home because everyone is counting them out. WynnBET is also reporting 77% of the money is on New Orleans tonight while the bet count on Baltimore is at 65%. A vast difference from Draftkings. It feels like the smart money is on the Saints here. I don’t love it, but I’m rolling with it.

The Play: Saints +1.5

Over/Under 46.5

I’m also having trouble with this one. I think I like the over, but I’ve been burned by both of these teams picking totals this year. Last week the Saints put up 24 points, but blanked the Raiders and gave me no shot at that over. I had the over in Ravens/Bengals earlier this year as well and that turned into a slugfest that went way under the total. The Saints are 2-2 to the over at home and the Ravens are the same on the road. I will say though, I can never turn down a nice dome game over. I’m getting back to my roots here. Give me points.

The Play: Over 46.5

Final Prediction

Saints 27 Ravens 24