7-0 vs. 1-5-1. Can’t wait for another riveting Thursday Night game. The only Houston vs. Philly I want to see is the World Series and they’ll be playing right up against this game. There is some value to be had here I think, but what do I know I haven’t had a great run of picks lately.
The Spread: Eagles (-13)
I mean you can’t take the Texans and be serious right? I know this is a ton of points, but come on Houston stinks. This seems like a classic scenario where Philly pulls ahead in the second quarter and never looks back. The first half line is 7.5 and I like that too. I hate double digit favorites, but I’d kick myself for taking Houston and watching the Eagles win by 20+ points like I did with the Steelers last week. If you’re worried about this being too many points take the first half line the Eagles are 7-0 on it this year.
The Play(s): Eagles -13, or Eagles 1H -7.5
Over/Under (45)
This one’s tricky because the Eagles are going to get theirs, but just how many points are the Texans going to score? They’ve kind of been all over the place with scoring and have topped out at 24. If Houston can score somewhere in the mid-teens, in order for Philly to cover the spread the over would most certainly have to hit as well. So that’s really the big question what Houston offense shows up? If you think they score less than 14 points and the Eagles land somewhere in the low 30s. That covers the spread and stays under the total. The problem I keep coming back to though is that there isn’t a lot of leeway with that. If you think the Eagles are going to ball out and score points then you have to go over and hope Houston can cover you on the backside. I came into this thinking I was going under and changed my mind mid paragraph. That always works out great.
The Play: Over 45
Final Prediction
With my earlier predictions of Eagles -13 and Over 45 give me the Eagles 34-14.