Week 7 comes to an end with the Chicago Bears coming to visit my New England Patriots. Another absolutely riveting game to cap off killer slate from Week 7 (sense the sarcasm). Thankfully I have a vested interest in this game or I wouldn’t be too fired up about this one. There’s always money to be made though, let’s take a look at how we can do that tonight.

The Spread: Patriots (-8.5)

On paper this seems like an obvious bet. The only thing I worry about is just how healthy is Mac Jones going to be coming off his high ankle sprain from Week 3? The Bears pass defense has performed well so far this season which means we’ll probably see a healthy dose of Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris. I also think the Pats will try and protect Mac in his first game back by not asking him to do too much. Expect some long, calculated, time consuming drives from the Patriots offense tonight.

The Bears have been quite one-dimensional offensively and I think that plays right into Belichick’s hands. He’s always able to take away the thing you do best and make you beat him another way. Well when the only thing you do well is hand the ball to David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert you’re going to have a hard time against the Patriots defense. My only real worry is Justin Fields scrambling and ability to get outside the pocket and make plays. Outside of that it’s going to be a long night for the Bears offense. With that being said I think my pick is kind of obvious. Come on, did you think I was going any other way with this? Pats by double digits.

The Play: Patriots -8.5

Over/Under (40)

Again I think this pick is pretty clear as well. It’s going to be cold, windy, and rainy in Foxboro. The Bears offense stinks. The Pats will probably be running the ball for the majority of the game. I mean this screams under to me. Admittedly I’d be perfectly fine losing this bet if the Patriots go out and hang a 40 spot on the Bears, but I don’t see it happening. Once again we ride with a Primetime Under.

The Play: Under 40

Final Prediction

With my earlier predictions of Patriots -8.5 and under 40 give me the Patriots 24-7.