I decided to do the betting guide a little different for Week 7. After pouring over the data I realized I basically only like underdogs this week. So in keeping with the Chappelle’s Show theme to the underdog pick (and the fact that it’s Week “SEVEN”), this week we’re going to do the Grits ‘n’ Gravy Lucky Number 7 dogs of the week. Hopefully after this week you can buy your momma a car, and spend the rest on PCP if that’s your thing.

Roll #1

Falcons (+6.5) vs. Bengals

They’re just going to keep disrespecting the Falcons huh? I mean obviously the Bengals are the better team and they probably win this game, but all this Atlanta team has done this year is cover. They’re 6-0 against the spread and you want to give me 6.5 points? I’m going to take that every single time. I thought after their win last week they would start closing the gap on their lines, but I guess not. The Bengals have been playing good football as of late, but Atlanta has shown they can hang around with anyone. Time to go from ashy to classy. Falcons Cover

Roll #2

Commanders (+5) vs. Packers

This line is already starting to move so get it here while you can. I understand the Commanders haven’t looked great this year, but that was the Carson Wentz led Commanders. Now we throw it back to the Taylor Heinicke days and anything can happen. Green Bay has struggled to this point and are coming off a beatdown at the hands of the Jets. Conventional wisdom would tell you the Packers should roll here, but you might’ve thought the same thing last week coming off a loss to the Giants. I don’t really have any stats to back it up, but I just feel like this is a good spot for Washington. A shakeup to the offense will be good for them and I think their defense can play well enough to keep the Packers offense in check. Someone wins by a field goal. Either way we cover.

Roll #3

Texans (+7) vs. Raiders

This is the sharp play this week. Everybody and their mother is going to take the Raiders in this game because of how they played against the Chiefs in their last game. Not to mention the fact that the Texans suck. I just don’t think the Raiders should be laying 7 points to anyone right now. They’re sitting at 1-4 and outside of the Chiefs game they haven’t looked great this year especially offensively. Houston has had a tendency to play close games this year as well. They’ve only lost by more than a touchdown once and even in that game they were within a field goal in the fourth quarter. The Raiders probably win, but Houston keeps it close.

Roll #4

The Local Thug Rodney “Quills” Dinkins Rat Line of the Week

Giants (+3) vs. Jaguars (-3)

Stay the fuck away from this game. Vegas is clearly baiting giving the 5-1 Giants 3 points against the 2-4 Jaguars. At first glance this seems like an easy bet on New York, but it isn’t. I’m sure the game being in Jacksonville plays a role in the line, but regardless just stay away here somethings fishy and I smell a rat. You don’t want to end up like my friend Grits ‘n’ Gravy getting snake eyes on an all in roll against Leonard Washington, and that’s what’ll happen if you take the Giants here. Just be careful “Quills” doesn’t come in and take the money we won on the other three games and you’ll be walking out of Sunday with some money in your pocket.