We have another Thursday Night snoozer on the horizon it seems. Or who knows this might be the game of the week after everyone preemptively shit on it after last weeks Broncos-Colts debacle. I have no idea which way I’m leaning here so I’m just going to talk myself into something while I write this. Let’s get into it.

The Spread: PK

You can get this line anywhere between a point on either side, but I’m going to roll with a pick’em for the purposes of this blog because that’s what my book has. You could give a million reasons as to why you’d take either of these teams here too that’s what makes this pick so difficult. The Commanders have looked terrible since their Week 1 win, although they did hang around with the Titans on Sunday which is at least encouraging. The Bears won a sloppy game against the 49ers and beat a lowly Texans team. Not a ton to write home about for either of these two. I think in a situation like this you have to look at what team has more talent and that is probably the Commanders. Offensively they still have three very good WRs and two good RBs. If Carson Wentz can limit mistakes and stop running around in the pocket like he has his shoes tied together, I think Washington can do enough to pull this one out. The Bears have come across as one dimensional this season and I think that will work against them. The Commanders defensive strength is their front four so if they can stifle the Bears rushing attack and force Justin Fields to beat them they can come out of Chicago with a much needed win. This feels like a spot to take the desperate team and especially one that the public is fading at 65%. Hop on the riverboat this is going to be a bumpy ride.

The Play: Commanders PK

Over/Under 38

This seems like another classic primetime under to get your week started. The number is so low it scares me a bit, but Soldier Field has also yielded 69% to the under since 2019. I’m skeptical here to take the under because it feels like one that we could lose quickly if there’s some early scoring. I’m going to bank on these offenses stalling for a large portion of this game though and begrudgingly take this under.

The Play: Under 38

Final Prediction

With my earlier predictions of Commanders PK and Under 38 give me the Commanders 17-14.