Week 2 kicks off with a doozy as the Chargers head out to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Both teams were impressive last week and we’ll see if they can keep that momentum rolling on a short week. Will the Chiefs offense continue to dominate or can the Chargers new look defense slow them down? Let’s take a look.

The Spread: Chiefs -4

This line continues to jump around. It started at 3 points in favor of Kansas City, but has now jumped up to 4. Yesterday it even got as high as 4.5. I’m guessing it’ll continue to move as we approach Thursday night, but for now I am going to base my pick off the current line. I think this has continued to swing more in favor of the Chiefs because the Chargers are dealing with two pretty significant injuries to WR Keenan Allen and CB J.C Jackson. They are both listed as questionable and I’m guessing once their status becomes official it will effect the final line. The Chiefs were no doubt impressive last week in their rout of the Cardinals, but I think that may have inflated this line a bit. The Chargers are still very good and although they may have slowed down a touch in the second half against the Raiders last week when Keenan Allen went out they absolutely can keep up with the Chiefs vaunted offense. The public is on the Chiefs at 76% and the handle is at 78%. I understand the hype for the Chiefs, but at the same time these two teams have played some very close games in the last two seasons including two OT games. Even with the Chargers injury problems they still have a top tier QB. I think they are able to keep this close enough to cover. Kansas City by a field goal sounds about right to me. I’d bet this down to +3.5 anything lower than that I’d be careful taking the Chargers. We ride with the dogs again.

The Play: Chargers +4

Over/Under 54

This is brutal for me. My heart is telling me to take the over and my brain is saying under. Last year I tried to big brain myself and I took the under in their Week 15 matchup. That line was also at 54 and there were only 27 points scored after 3 quarters. Well wouldn’t you know these two offenses put on a clinic in the 4th quarter totaling 29 points and hitting the over. I’m not letting that happen again. That’s right no analytics where I pretend like I know what I’m talking about here. This is straight up manalytics. A personal revenge over if you will. Let’s go.

The Play: Over 54

Final Prediction

With my earlier prediction of Chargers +4 and Over 54 give me the Chiefs 33-30 in OT.