We finish up Week 1 with Russell Wilson returning home to Seattle in his first game as a Bronco. The question here is can the Seahawks hang around with the Denver’s new found offensive firepower? Let’s find out.

The Spread: Broncos -6.5

This line has jumped around a lot but currently sits at 6.5. I’m not particularly high on either of these teams so it’s tough for me to gauge where this game is going to go. On one hand, it seems like a surefire lock that Denver will run Seattle out of their own building. On the other, it’s hard to think that with a totally new QB, Head Coach, and offensive system that Denver is going to waltz into the 12th man and dominate. I think a slow start for the Broncos is very much within the cards. If Geno Smith can hang onto the ball and not give Denver any short fields they should be able to stick around in this one. From what I’ve seen 78% of the total bets have come in on the Broncos, but only 58% of the money. This opened up as a 4 point spread and the amount of bettors on the Broncos have pushed the line between 2 and 3 points depending on where you look. I think you have to take Seattle here with the cushion that was given by the amount of people taking the Broncos. This will be a tough one to watch if it gets out of hand, but we’re riding with the 12th man.

The Play: Seahawks +6.5

Over/Under 43.5

This pick in my brain basically comes down to who I’m taking with the spread. If I went with Denver the over probably would have been the move because I’d expect them to put up points. I’m taking Seattle though and for them to keep this within a touchdown they’re going to have to muddy the waters a little bit. They can’t keep up with the Broncos if this becomes a shootout so the only way they stick around and cover this spread is if it’s a low scoring game. I could hedge the spread pick a little and go with the over here, but I’m not a coward and I’m willing to go down with the ship.

The Play: Under 43.5