Now that we’ve looked at the AFC it’s time to check out the totals for the NFC. I’ll be using the lines from the same Action Network article I pulled the AFC lines from. Same as last time you’ll see the team, the line, and payout for the over and under. Let’s rip.
Dallas Cowboys 10 -110/-110
We’ll kick off the NFC with America’s team. Starting with a really tough one too. Dallas won 12 games last year, but seems like they might take a step back this year. They couldn’t feel like more of a 10 win team if they tried, and that is evidenced by the juice for each bet being exactly the same. I’m really torn here. I have them going 4-2 in division and I think there are 6 wins out there otherwise. I think I’m going to go with the over here and bank on them stealing one of those away games with Washington or Philly.
The Play: Over 10
New York Giants 7 -110/-110
Another really tricky line. I don’t think the Giants are very good, but their schedule lines up nicely for them to get in range for this over. I think they’ll struggle in division, but they play a good amount of weaker opponents. They’ll see Chicago, Jacksonville, Seattle, Houston, and Detroit. The latter 4 they play in a row sandwiched around their Week 9 bye. We could be looking at a scenario where after 10 games the Giants are 5-5 and only need to win 3 out of their last 7 to hit the over. Those games include 2 against Washington and Philly, and one with Dallas, Indy, and, Minnesota. Could there be 3 wins in there? Yes, absolutely. Is this the Giants we are talking about though? Also yes. All it takes is for them to slip up once against an inferior team and it makes the climb to 8 wins a lot more difficult. It’s close, but take the under.
The Play: Under 7
Washington Commanders 8 +100/-120
This division is riddled with difficult lines to predict. Another team that has a weaker schedule, but also a team I think is better than the Giants. Same with Dallas I’m feeling a push again with this line. This is a team that was able to win 7 games last year and seemingly upgraded at QB. If Wentz can round into form a bit I think this could be a 9 win team given their schedule. Best of all, the game that potentially decides whether or not they can get to 9 wins is probably their Week 9 matchup when Kirk Cousins and the Vikings come to Raljon. You like that!?
The Play: Over 8
Philadelphia Eagles 9.5 -150/+125
I didn’t think I’d be ripping 3 overs in this division, but I think I’m going to. Philly just has an unbelievably easy schedule this year and are a better team than Washington. If they can get to 4 wins in division I don’t think they have a problem getting to 10 wins. It’s going to be a tight division race between them and the Cowboys the question is just how far can Jalen Hurts take them?
The Play: Over 9.5
Green Bay Packers 11 -110/-110
Obviously by losing Devante Adams the Packers got worse when it comes to pass catchers. They still have Aaron Rodgers though. I know some would question his motivation at this point in his career, but let’s face the facts when he’s been healthy Green Bay has been a very good regular season team. At worst they go 5-1 in the division this year unless they punt the Week 18 game against Detroit again this year like they did in 2021. I think at worst they push 11. You have to go over here.
The Play: Over 11
Detroit Lions 6.5 -120/+100
Detroit seems like a team that’s on the cusp of being relevant again. I just don’t think this is the year. They’ll probably max out at 6 wins. 5 is probably where they end up. So take the under, but watch out Dan Campbell will have these boys playing scrappy. They might cover a lot of spreads this year even in losses.
The Play: Under 6.5
Chicago Bears 6.5 +150/-190
As an Ohio State ride or die I still love Justin Fields. The issue is the Bears front office has failed to put anything competent around him. They feel like they’re already tanking which sucks because Fields has maybe one more year after this to prove himself before all the assholes in the media start talking about how OSU QBs don’t pan out. I’m hoping his talent shines through, but he isn’t carrying this roster to 7 wins.
The Play: Under 6.5
Minnesota Vikings 9 -125/+105
The Vikings feel like a team destined to finish in the middle of the pack year after year with Kirk Cousins at QB. Could they have a year like 2019 where they end up at 10 wins and win a playoff game? Sure, but I don’t see it happening this year. They have some serious weapons on offense in Jefferson, Thielen, and Cook which obviously helps. I’m just not a believer that Cousins can be the guy for a high level team. 9 wins is their ceiling for me and I think 8 is realistic so take the under here especially at +105.
The Play: Under 9
New Orleans Saints 8.5 -105/-115
I really like this line for the Saints. They were able to win 9 games last year and Jameis was injured during the 7th game of the season. Now they do have a new coach, but I don’t see how the roster got worse. On top of that they’ll have a competent QB for a full season. If they can continue to play Tampa well in the regular season and get a split there they should be in good position to get to 9 wins.
The Play: Over 8.5
Carolina Panthers 6.5 -110/-110
This is going to be a close call. Looking at the way their schedule lines up I think they’ll either win 6 or 7 games. The trade for Baker Mayfield gives them a little more at QB than what they would’ve had with Sam Darnold. I don’t love most of their roster though and I think they’ll struggle in division with the Saints and Bucs. Have to go under here.
The Play: Under 6.5
Atlanta Falcons 5 +130/-150
The Falcons are a team with some fun young pieces on offense, but are not equipped to win now. Marcus Mariota is best served in that change-of-pace role he played in Las Vegas at this point in his career. He isn’t a starter anymore. To be honest I wouldn’t be surprised to see Desmond Ridder start a game or two this year so the Falcons can see what they have in him. At best I think Atlanta can get to 5 wins so go under on this one.
The Play: Under 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11.5 +110/-130
Tampa Bay is still a very good team and clear favorites to win the division this year. Could they do that by winning only 11 games though? Absolutely. The Bucs are banged up right now and Tom Brady also took time away from the team during preseason for personal reasons. While I don’t think that will effect Brady’s performance, I do think the injury situation piling up might come into play against a good team early in the season. This will be close, but I think the under is the smart move.
The Play: Under 11.5
Arizona Cardinals 8.5 -105/-115
This line dropped from 9 down to 8.5 which makes it a little tougher. I think if it stayed at 9 it would be a no brainer to take the under having the push at 9 to bail you out. Looking at the schedule they figure to finish between 8-10 wins, 10 being if everything goes perfectly. At the end of the day I think the Cards are competitive, but fall just short of hitting the over.
The Play: Under 8.5
Seattle Seahawks 5.5 -140/+120
Never did I think I’d consider a win total over with a team starting Geno Smith at QB, but I think I am here. Look, this isn’t a good team and they won’t be in playoff contention, but they are well coached. They also have enough games against bad teams to get to 6 wins. They see the Falcons, Lions, Giants, Panthers, and Jets. They could very easily win all of those games. Will they? Probably not, but this isn’t an 0-17 team we’re looking at here. I have no doubt they’ll also play spoiler and steal a division game they have no business winning as well. I think you have to go with the over. If they can win 3 of the aforementioned games against lesser teams and take 2 divisional matchups that leaves them 1 win away from the over. Any Given Sunday who knows what can happen.
The Play: Over 5.5
San Francisco 49ers 10 +100/-120
This basically comes down to how much you believe in Trey Lance. I’m not sure I’m ready to buy in on him 100% yet. I could be totally wrong about this, but I just have to see something first before I can trust a guy to win 11 games in a tough division. Shanahan will no doubt have a great scheme to highlight what Lance does best, and he has great weapons around him. 11 is just a little to high of a number for me. I think they’re ceiling is pushing this at 10 wins.
The Play: Under 10
Los Angeles Rams 10.5 +105/-125
We’ll finish off part 2 with the defending Super Bowl Champs. The Rams just continue to add to their roster with no regard for draft picks or the salary cap. I think at this point the cap doesn’t even exist for them. They have some tough games on the schedule, but they’re still very good. 11 wins seems to be well within reach for them and I think they get there. I love the Allen Robinson addition and Bobby Wagner will provide veteran leadership to their defense. Look for the Rams to win the West with 11 wins.
The Play: Over 10.5
So there you have it, win total predictions for all 32 teams. The NFC isn’t as loaded as the AFC and that showed in the amount of overs picked for each conference. If you remember the in the AFC we took 10 overs and here we only took 7. Which means we went under 9 times in the NFC. Overall that’s 17 overs and 15 unders for the entirety of the league. Keep an eye out for more NFL betting blogs coming soon.